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159-161 W Fourth St Duplex
C+ Composite 61.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

159-161 W Fourth St · Lewistown, PA 17044
8 bd · 0.0 ba · 2,084 sqft · MultiFamily · 81 Days on market
Built 1935 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot $91/sqft · 75% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This unique multi-unit property offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or owner occupants. In addition to the main duplex, the property features a separate unit above the garage ready to be finished your way, providing an excellent opportunity for additional rental income or flexible living space. Each main unit offers comfortable living areas with separate entrances, While the garage apartment adds even more value and versatility. Whether used as a third rental Unit, guest space, or home office, this bonus unit enhances the property's income potential. Conveniently situated near local shops, dining, schools, and everyday amenities, With multiple income Streams and a practical layout, it's a strong addition to any real estate portfolio. Don't miss this opportunity to own a versatile, income producing property. * Buyer agent to verify square footage of property

Key facts

  • Garage apartment
  • Separate entrances
  • Multi-unit property

Tags

MULTI-UNIT PROPERTYSEPARATE UNIT ABOVE GARAGEADDITIONAL RENTAL INCOMEFLEXIBLE LIVING SPACESEPARATE ENTRANCESGARAGE APARTMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $231/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in Lewistown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,057 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $190k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,847
List price
$190,000
Delta
74.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,374
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$36,772
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17044

Home prices YoY
-6.7%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
14.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,662
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 74%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $190,000 Pending 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $190,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-04-27
    price $210,000 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This unique multi-unit property offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or owner occupants. In addition to the main duplex, the property features a separate unit above the garage ready to be finished your way, providing an excellent opportunity for additional rental income or flexible living space. Each main unit offers comfortable living areas with separate entrances, While the garage apartment adds even more value and versatility. Whether used as a third rental Unit, guest space, or home office, this bonus unit enhances the property's income potential. Conveniently situated near local shops, dining, schools, and everyday amenities, With multiple income Streams and a practical layout, it's a strong addition to any real estate portfolio. Don't miss this opportunity to own a versatile, income producing property. * Buyer agent to verify square footage of property

  15. 2026-04-09
    price $225,000 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This unique multi-unit property offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or owner occupants. In addition to the main duplex, the property features a separate unit above the garage ready to be finished your way, providing an excellent opportunity for additional rental income or flexible living space. Each main unit offers comfortable living areas with separate entrances, While the garage apartment adds even more value and versatility. Whether used as a third rental Unit, guest space, or home office, this bonus unit enhances the property's income potential. Conveniently situated near local shops, dining, schools, and everyday amenities, With multiple income Streams and a practical layout, it's a strong addition to any real estate portfolio. Don't miss this opportunity to own a versatile, income producing property. * Buyer agent to verify square footage of property

  16. 2026-03-27
    listed $235,000 Active 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This unique multi-unit property offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or owner occupants. In addition to the main duplex, the property features a separate unit above the garage ready to be finished your way, providing an excellent opportunity for additional rental income or flexible living space. Each main unit offers comfortable living areas with separate entrances, While the garage apartment adds even more value and versatility. Whether used as a third rental Unit, guest space, or home office, this bonus unit enhances the property's income potential. Conveniently situated near local shops, dining, schools, and everyday amenities, With multiple income Streams and a practical layout, it's a strong addition to any real estate portfolio. Don't miss this opportunity to own a versatile, income producing property. * Buyer agent to verify square footage of property

  17. 2010-03-25
    historical
  18. 2010-03-25
    listed $58,000
  19. 2010-03-25
    listed $58,000
  20. 2010-03-25
    historical
  21. 2003-10-10
    soldstatus $40,000
  22. 2003-07-08
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,952
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,156
− Management
−$2,156
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$2,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$641
After-tax cash flow
$4,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family property is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. The property offers excellent income potential with a separate unit above the garage ready to be finished.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mifflin County SD
NCES district ID
4215290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,718
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5755
State rank
#380 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lewistown

Score
66/100
State rank
#1057
US rank
#11920

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewistown, PA
Population (ZIP)
20,526

Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,611 people
By 2030
43,212 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,197 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,813 · -17.5%
By 2075
28,833 · -35.4%
By 2100
20,296 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Polish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.27%
Current HPI
214.2729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+366.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-25 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-25 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-10-10 Sold (MLS) $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-07-08 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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