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187 County Road 1997
D- Composite 39.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$290,000

187 County Road 1997 · Alba, TX 75497
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1988 0.40 ac lot $144/sqft · 25% below area Est $388k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover an incredible opportunity to own a home in one of the most desirable established neighborhoods around Lake Fork! This charming property offers beautiful lake views from across the street plus your very own waterfront lot just down the road at the end of the point — an ideal spot to build a private pier with SRA approval. Inside, the spacious open-concept design features a huge living area with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends. The kitchen offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and plenty of room for entertaining. The primary suite includes a large bathroom and generous closet space, while upstairs you’ll find two additional bedrooms and a full bath for guests or family. Outdoor features add even more appeal, including a huge covered deck for relaxing evenings, a versatile outbuilding that can function as a workshop, storage space, or garden shed, and a large concrete driveway with plenty of room for easy boat maneuvering. Between the attached garage and workshop, storage is abundant. For golf lovers, The Links at Land's End is just minutes away, offering golf, dining, and beautiful scenery. Being sold as-is at a value-reflective price, this property presents an affordable chance to create your dream lake retreat and enjoy everything Lake Fork has to offer. Don’t miss this rare opportunity!

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Lake views
  • Private pier

Tags

LAKE VIEWSWATERFRONT LOTPRIVATE PIEROPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNHUGE LIVING AREAGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Will not subdivide; Horse not permitted
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Aerobic septic; Co-op electric; Electricity connected; Overhead utilities; Outside city limits
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Accessible full bath; Not attached to another property; Built in 1988; Subdivision: Wolfcreek Bay; Faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Gutters; Landscaped yard; Large backyard with grass; Subdivision setting; Water/lake view; Outbuilding; Easements for utilities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Granite counters; Pantry; Double vanity; High-speed internet available
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Full-size washer/dryer area; Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-976 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (59.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (55.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (59.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 1.7% in Alba — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#724 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Yantis ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #660 of 1,141 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Yantis El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 192 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 50% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,666 (59.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.44%
Cap rate
2.26%
Cash-on-cash
-14.42%
DSCR
0.36
GRM
18.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$387,912
List price
$290,000
Delta
-25.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 County Road 1992 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,900 (-6%) 2mo $315,000 $166 68
253 CR 1995 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,832 (-9%) 14mo $369,500 $202 66
206 CR 1995 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-12%) 9mo $770,000 $432 63
114 CR 1990 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,752 (-13%) 20mo $415,000 $237 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$95,819
Equity at exit
$261,255
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$331,053
Equity at exit
$563,406

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75497

Home prices YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
18.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$348 /mo · $4,177/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$-976

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,519
Max offer price $117,666
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $290,000 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $290,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $290,000 Active Option Contract 18 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $290,000 Active Option Contract 17 DOM
  5. 2026-05-13
    listed $290,000 Active 1395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1395 chars)

    Discover an incredible opportunity to own a home in one of the most desirable established neighborhoods around Lake Fork! This charming property offers beautiful lake views from across the street plus your very own waterfront lot just down the road at the end of the point — an ideal spot to build a private pier with SRA approval. Inside, the spacious open-concept design features a huge living area with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends. The kitchen offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and plenty of room for entertaining. The primary suite includes a large bathroom and generous closet space, while upstairs you’ll find two additional bedrooms and a full bath for guests or family. Outdoor features add even more appeal, including a huge covered deck for relaxing evenings, a versatile outbuilding that can function as a workshop, storage space, or garden shed, and a large concrete driveway with plenty of room for easy boat maneuvering. Between the attached garage and workshop, storage is abundant. For golf lovers, The Links at Land's End is just minutes away, offering golf, dining, and beautiful scenery. Being sold as-is at a value-reflective price, this property presents an affordable chance to create your dream lake retreat and enjoy everything Lake Fork has to offer. Don’t miss this rare opportunity!

  6. 2026-05-12
    listed $290,000 Active 1395-char remark
  7. 2009-12-09
    soldstatus
  8. 2008-10-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,177 · $348/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,307 · $442/mo
Expected delta
+$1,130/yr (+$94/mo · 27.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,405
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$4,177
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$17,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,168
After-tax cash flow
$-7,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yantis ISD
NCES district ID
4846590
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,900
Composite
37.78/100
National rank
#8742
State rank
#660 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Alba

Score
65/100
State rank
#724
US rank
#13473

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,920
Population (ZIP)
3,794

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,480 people
By 2030
47,796 · +2.8%
By 2040
50,142 · +7.9%
By 2050
52,122 · +12.1%
By 2075
57,033 · +22.7%
By 2100
56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.09%
Current HPI
278.18
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $290,000 GTAR
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $290,000 NTREIS
  • 2009-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,177 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…