CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
161 Jefferson Ave
C+ Composite 64.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

161 Jefferson Ave · Downingtown, PA 19335
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 738 sqft · Townhouse public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1920 1,338 sqft lot Est $215k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 91 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Located in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; 200+ amp electrical service; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Downingtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#13 in PA, #56 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+.
  • Downingtown Area SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #9 of 539 in PA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $215k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.59%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,758
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
161 Jefferson Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 738 (0%) 1mo $215,000 $291 94
126 Washington Ave 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (+6%) 20mo $231,950 $296 66
163 Jefferson Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (+12%) 14mo $210,000 $254 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-10,024
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$16,936
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19335

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$207 /mo · $2,484/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,873
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Woodbine Rd Downingtown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 917 $2,864 $3.12 1d 8 1.08mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-18
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-03-05
    price $215,000
  6. 2026-02-12
    price $220,000
  7. 2026-01-15
    listed $225,000 Active
  8. 2026-01-08
    historical $225,000
  9. 2025-12-02
    soldstatus $135,000
  10. 2025-11-14
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

  11. 2025-10-17
    status Pending 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

  12. 2025-09-11
    price $170,000 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

  13. 2025-08-13
    price $180,000 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

  14. 2025-06-29
    listed $199,000 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord

  15. 2022-08-02
    historical
  16. 2022-06-30
    listed $189,000 Active
  17. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $130,000
  18. 2021-06-10
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed
  19. 2021-05-28
    status Pending
  20. 2021-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2021-04-09
    listed $150,000 Active
  22. 1998-10-09
    historical
  23. 1998-10-09
    listed $70,000
  24. 1997-01-21
    historical
  25. 1996-07-09
    soldstatus $50,000
  26. 1994-07-10
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,484 · $207/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,941 · $245/mo
Expected delta
+$456/yr (+$38/mo · 18.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,942
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,484
− Insurance
−$1,742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,315
− Management
−$2,315
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$1,788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$429
After-tax cash flow
$4,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Downingtown Area SD
NCES district ID
4207710
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
83% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$104,515
Composite
68.66/100
National rank
#338
State rank
#9 of 539 in PA

Livability — Downingtown

Score
91/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#56

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Downingtown, PA
County
Chester County · 432,350 people
City population
53,629
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
53,629
Household income
$143,249
Rent vs Own
20.8% rent · 79.2% own
Severe rent burden
689.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Asian 8% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.84%
Current HPI
288.2999
Rent YoY
▲ 2.03%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.9% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-08 Coming Soon $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-29 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-30 Listed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-10 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-28 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-13 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-09 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-10-09 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-10-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-01-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1994-07-10 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,484 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…