161 Jefferson Ave · Downingtown, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 91 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Located in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; 200+ amp electrical service; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $196k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Downingtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#13 in PA, #56 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+.
- Downingtown Area SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #9 of 539 in PA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $215k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.59%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,758
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 Jefferson Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 738 (0%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $291 | 94 |
| 126 Washington Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (+6%) | 20mo | $231,950 | $296 | 66 |
| 163 Jefferson Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 828 (+12%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $254 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-10,024
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $16,936
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19335
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,412 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Woodbine Rd Downingtown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $2,864 | $3.12 | 1d | 8 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-18status Active
-
2026-04-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-05price $215,000
-
2026-02-12price $220,000
-
2026-01-15$225,000 Active
-
2026-01-08historical $225,000
-
2025-12-02soldstatus $135,000
-
2025-11-14soldstatus $135,000 Closed 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
-
2025-10-17status Pending 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
-
2025-09-11price $170,000 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
-
2025-08-13price $180,000 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
-
2025-06-29$199,000 Active 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant-occupied, offering immediate rental income for investors. With a strong rental history and location in a high-demand area, this property is a smart addition to any portfolio. The interior was updated within the last 4 years and includes relatively new appliances and hot water heater. While some additional updates may be desired, the home is being sold as-is, providing a value-add opportunity. Enjoy a private backyard space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Situated directly across from the site of a future train station, the location offers excellent long-term growth potential. Don’t miss this chance to invest in a desirable neighborhood with solid upside! Listing agent is also owner/landlord
-
2022-08-02historical
-
2022-06-30$189,000 Active
-
2021-06-22soldstatus $130,000
-
2021-06-10soldstatus $130,000 Closed
-
2021-05-28status Pending
-
2021-04-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-04-09$150,000 Active
-
1998-10-09historical
-
1998-10-09$70,000
-
1997-01-21historical
-
1996-07-09soldstatus $50,000
-
1994-07-10$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,484 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,941 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- +$456/yr (+$38/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,942
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,484
- − Insurance
- −$1,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,315
- − Management
- −$2,315
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Downingtown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207710
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $104,515
- Composite
- 68.66/100
- National rank
- #338
- State rank
- #9 of 539 in PA
Livability — Downingtown
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #56
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Downingtown, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 53,629
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,629
- Household income
- $143,249
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 689.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 8% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.84%
- Current HPI
- 288.2999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.03%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+290.9% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-18 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-08 Coming Soon $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-29 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-30 Listed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-10 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-09 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-10-09 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-10-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-01-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1994-07-10 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,484 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…