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215 Goldenleaf Rd
F Composite 33.88
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0

$729,900

215 Goldenleaf Rd · Mars Hill, NC 28754
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,898 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1996 0.75 ac lot Est $655k · 11% over $243/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great log cabin, fabulously maintained & landscaped. Paved road & driveway, Front porch w/waterfall, back porch, close mtn view. Cool summers! Great room & 2nd level with cathedral ceilings. Wood & drywall combinations through-out. Central sound thru-out, Wood floors on main, Lots of windows, Office/sitting area off master. Sauna in M-shw Mostly furnished, & hot tub. Great value! Seller is member of Amenity Program. NO GATE ENTRY W/O APPT

Key facts

  • 0.75 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community amenities include fitness center, game court, gated entry, golf, outdoor pool, picnic area, playground, pond, putting green, recreation area, ski slopes, sport court, tennis courts and walking trails; Road is privately maintained and paved/asphalt; Lot elevation approximately 4000 feet; Property is subject to community restrictions (architectural review, livestock restriction, manufactured homes not allowed, short term rental allowed)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with mandatory dues; HOA dues $195 monthly (also shown as $585 annually); Association contact available

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car) with garage door opener; garage faces side; Basement garage door; Driveway parking
  • Security: Security service
  • Utilities: Community well; Septic system installed; Propane available; Electricity connected with underground power lines; Cable available; Fiber optics available; Phone connected; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; Site-built log construction; One and one-half levels; Multiple access exits
  • Construction: Log construction; Basement foundation; Built as site-built
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Covered porch; Deck; Front porch; Hot tub; Cul-de-sac lot; Private setting; Wooded lot; Views; Artificial waterfall

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total — 1 on the main level, 1 on the upper level, 1 in the basement
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows; Skylights; Window treatments; French doors; Insulated exterior doors; Screen doors; Wood-burning fireplace; Finished basement with daylight, exterior entry, interior entry, storage space and walk-out access
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room located in the basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $730k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-981 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $557k (23.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $450k (38.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $450k (38.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.3% in Mars Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#49 in NC, #4,088 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Yancey County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #56 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mountain Heritage High (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 639 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 100 units permitted in Yancey County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $55k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
  • Yancey County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($664k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $270k; list at $730k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $450,000 (38.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.76%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$654,948
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Zebulon Ln 0.18mi 3/3.5 (+1) 3,028 (+4%) 4mo $685,000 $226 70
3182 El Miner Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,694 (-7%) 18mo $699,000 $259 40
101 Oakridge Ct Unit 701/700 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,464 (-15%) 14mo $450,000 $183 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$187,882
Equity at exit
$501,274
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$592,824
Equity at exit
$948,122

Cash invested: $204,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28754

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,828
Tax from tax record
$161 /mo · $1,937/yr
Insurance
$304
HOA
$243
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$945
Net cashflow
$-981

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,742
Max offer price $556,561
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$182,475
Closing costs
$21,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2535 El Miner Dr Mars Hill, NC 3.0 3.0 2850 $4,500 $1.58 21d 1 1.08mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$243 · $2,916/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $729,900 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $729,900 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $729,900 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $729,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $729,900 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $729,900 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $729,900 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $729,900 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $729,900 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $729,900 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $729,900 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $729,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $729,900 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $729,900 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $729,900 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-03-11
    listed $749,900 Active
  17. 2026-01-15
    price $749,900
  18. 2025-11-22
    price $786,000
  19. 2025-09-11
    listed $799,900 Active
  20. 2013-10-30
    soldstatus $270,000 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Great log cabin, fabulously maintained & landscaped. Paved road & driveway, Front porch w/waterfall, back porch, close mtn view. Cool summers! Great room & 2nd level with cathedral ceilings. Wood & drywall combinations through-out. Central sound thru-out, Wood floors on main, Lots of windows, Office/sitting area off master. Sauna in M-shw Mostly furnished, & hot tub. Great value! Seller is member of Amenity Program. NO GATE ENTRY W/O APPT

  21. 2013-10-30
    soldstatus $270,000 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Great log cabin, fabulously maintained & landscaped. Paved road & driveway, Front porch w/waterfall, back porch, close mtn view. Cool summers! Great room & 2nd level with cathedral ceilings. Wood & drywall combinations through-out. Central sound thru-out, Wood floors on main, Lots of windows, Office/sitting area off master. Sauna in M-shw Mostly furnished, & hot tub. Great value! Seller is member of Amenity Program. NO GATE ENTRY W/O APPT

  22. 2013-10-29
    soldstatus $270,000
  23. 2013-10-03
    historical 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Great log cabin, fabulously maintained & landscaped. Paved road & driveway, Front porch w/waterfall, back porch, close mtn view. Cool summers! Great room & 2nd level with cathedral ceilings. Wood & drywall combinations through-out. Central sound thru-out, Wood floors on main, Lots of windows, Office/sitting area off master. Sauna in M-shw Mostly furnished, & hot tub. Great value! Seller is member of Amenity Program. NO GATE ENTRY W/O APPT

  24. 2013-06-24
    listed $294,000 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Great log cabin, fabulously maintained & landscaped. Paved road & driveway, Front porch w/waterfall, back porch, close mtn view. Cool summers! Great room & 2nd level with cathedral ceilings. Wood & drywall combinations through-out. Central sound thru-out, Wood floors on main, Lots of windows, Office/sitting area off master. Sauna in M-shw Mostly furnished, & hot tub. Great value! Seller is member of Amenity Program. NO GATE ENTRY W/O APPT

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,937 · $161/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,985 · $499/mo
Expected delta
+$4,048/yr (+$337/mo · 209.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,000
− Mortgage interest
−$40,886
− Property taxes
−$1,937
− Insurance
−$3,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,320
− Management
−$4,320
− HOA
−$2,916
− Depreciation
−$21,233
Taxable loss
−$25,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,063
After-tax cash flow
$-5,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yancey County Schools
NCES district ID
3705070
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$37,576
Composite
44.52/100
National rank
#2795
State rank
#56 of 178 in NC

Livability — Mars Hill

Score
75/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#4088

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,897

Population outlook (Yancey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,797 people
By 2030
16,215 · -3.5%
By 2040
14,830 · -11.7%
By 2050
13,469 · -19.8%
By 2075
10,583 · -37.0%
By 2100
7,497 · -55.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Yancey

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.3% · R 66.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.7pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -34.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.7 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.91%
Current HPI
304.2399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+155.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $749,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $749,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $786,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $799,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-30 Sold (MLS) $270,000 NCMMLS
  • 2013-10-30 Sold (MLS) $270,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-03 Delisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-24 Listed $294,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,937 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…