CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2422 Somersworth Dr
D Composite 40.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2422 Somersworth Dr · Shreveport, LA 71118
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,303 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1979 0.26 ac lot $98/sqft · at area comps Est $225k · at est. ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.

Key facts

  • Formal dining
  • New carpet
  • Vaulted ceiling

Tags

NEW CARPETVAULTED CEILINGFIREPLACEBREAKFAST AREAFORMAL DININGNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Hill Elementary School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 499 students, 75% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Southwood High School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #151 of 265 statewide, top 57%, 1,308 students, 68% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,986/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,628 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.61%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$224,865
List price
$225,000
Delta
0.06%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2424 Somersworth Dr 0.02mi 4/2.5 2,181 (-5%) 6mo $199,900 $92 83
10030 Stonehaven 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,176 (-6%) 9mo $350,000 $161 74
2412 Somersworth Dr 0.08mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,585 (+12%) 4mo $265,000 $103 66
2310 Somersworth Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,126 (-8%) 13mo $239,000 $112 61
2046 Holly Oak Dr 0.58mi 4/2.5 2,292 (-0%) 12mo $111,000 $48 60
9503 Stonehaven Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,090 (-9%) 7mo $269,000 $129 55
2104 Chase Wls 0.35mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,513 (+9%) 10mo $324,000 $129 53
2144 Crabapple Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,210 (-4%) 0mo $174,500 $79 52
9466 Baird Rd 0.63mi 4/2.0 2,059 (-11%) 4mo $124,000 $60 46
2125 Shartel Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,181 (-5%) 12mo $230,000 $105 38
2020 Dulverton Ct 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,005 (-13%) 3mo $199,900 $100 34
9756 Amblewood Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,961 (-15%) 10mo $274,900 $140 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-36,896
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-39,384
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71118

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,163/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,946
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $159 -5% $96 +0% $32 +5% $-32 +10% $-95
Rent -10% $-125 -5% $-47 +0% $32 +5% $110 +10% $189
Rate -1.0pp $145 -0.5pp $89 base $32 +0.5pp $-26 +1.0pp $-86

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1021 Willow Dr Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.5 2265 $1,800 $0.79 22d 1 1.05mi
3321 Colquitt Rd Shreveport, LA 5.0 3.0 2724 $2,400 $0.88 22d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
  18. 2026-04-20
    status Active 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.

  19. 2026-04-09
    status Pending 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.

  20. 2026-03-25
    price $225,000 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.

  21. 2026-03-10
    listed $234,900 Active 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.

  22. 2026-02-11
    historical
  23. 2025-08-11
    listed $254,000 Active
  24. 2006-10-13
    soldstatus
  25. 1997-03-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,163 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,163 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,835
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,163
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,907
− Management
−$1,907
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$820
After-tax cash flow
$1,203/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
23,219
Household income
$50,287
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1046.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.81%
Current HPI
129.1782
Rent YoY
▲ 1.74%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $234,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-08-11 Listed $254,000 NTREIS
  • 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,163 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…