2422 Somersworth Dr · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
Key facts
- Formal dining
- New carpet
- Vaulted ceiling
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Forest Hill Elementary School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 499 students, 75% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Southwood High School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #151 of 265 statewide, top 57%, 1,308 students, 68% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,986/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.61%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,865
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- 0.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2424 Somersworth Dr | 0.02mi | 4/2.5 | 2,181 (-5%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $92 | 83 |
| 10030 Stonehaven | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,176 (-6%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $161 | 74 |
| 2412 Somersworth Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,585 (+12%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $103 | 66 |
| 2310 Somersworth Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,126 (-8%) | 13mo | $239,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 2046 Holly Oak Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 | 2,292 (-0%) | 12mo | $111,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 9503 Stonehaven Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,090 (-9%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $129 | 55 |
| 2104 Chase Wls | 0.35mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,513 (+9%) | 10mo | $324,000 | $129 | 53 |
| 2144 Crabapple Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,210 (-4%) | 0mo | $174,500 | $79 | 52 |
| 9466 Baird Rd | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 2,059 (-11%) | 4mo | $124,000 | $60 | 46 |
| 2125 Shartel Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,181 (-5%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $105 | 38 |
| 2020 Dulverton Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,005 (-13%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $100 | 34 |
| 9756 Amblewood Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,961 (-15%) | 10mo | $274,900 | $140 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-36,896
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-39,384
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71118
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,163/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $96 | +0% $32 | +5% $-32 | +10% $-95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-47 | +0% $32 | +5% $110 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $89 | base $32 | +0.5pp $-26 | +1.0pp $-86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 Willow Dr Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2265 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3321 Colquitt Rd Shreveport, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2724 | $2,400 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-04-20status Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
-
2026-04-09status Pending 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
-
2026-03-25price $225,000 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
-
2026-03-10$234,900 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
4 bedroom, 2.5 bath with new carpet in all 4 bedrooms, living room with vaulted ceiling and fireplace, as well as a breakfast area and separate formal dining. New roof in 2025. This home is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
-
2026-02-11historical
-
2025-08-11$254,000 Active
-
2006-10-13soldstatus
-
1997-03-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,163 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,163 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,163
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,415
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$820
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,219
- Household income
- $50,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1046.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.81%
- Current HPI
- 129.1782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.74%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-11.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $234,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-08-11 Listed $254,000 NTREIS
- 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-03-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,163 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…