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Jessup Grant Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 46.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

Jessup Grant Plan · Evansville, WY 82636
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing the "Grant" by Jessup Housing, a spacious 16' x 76' single wide home designed for modern living. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home offers comfort and functionality in equal measure. The cornered-in kitchen steals the spotlight with a large island at its center, providing ample space for meal preparation and casual dining. Abundant cabinet space ensures storage is never an issue. Adjacent to the kitchen lies a convenient pantry and laundry room, adding to the home's practicality. The master bathroom is a haven of relaxation, featuring a large soaking tub, a stand-up glass shower, and double sinks, offering a luxurious retreat after a long day. With its thoughtful design and attention to detail, the "Grant" promises to be the perfect blend of comfort and style for modern living.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Large island
  • Convenient pantry

Tags

CORNERED-IN KITCHENLARGE ISLANDABUNDANT CABINET SPACECONVENIENT PANTRYLAUNDRY ROOMMASTER BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $80,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $130,393.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($680/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 10.1% in Evansville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $902 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.86%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,393
List price
$80,000
Delta
-25.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-17,502
Equity at exit
$19,442
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,520
Equity at exit
$11,274

Cash invested: $36,510 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82636

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$684
Tax est. 1.5%
$163 /mo · $1,956/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $130,393
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,598
Closing costs
$3,912
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on marketlisting id $80,000 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,000 Active 811 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,000 Active 810 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $97,000 Active 807 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,000 Active 806 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $97,000 Active 805 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,000 Active 804 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,000 Active 803 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $97,000 Active 802 DOM
  18. 2025-01-29
    price $97,000 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Introducing the "Grant" by Jessup Housing, a spacious 16' x 76' single wide home designed for modern living. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home offers comfort and functionality in equal measure. The cornered-in kitchen steals the spotlight with a large island at its center, providing ample space for meal preparation and casual dining. Abundant cabinet space ensures storage is never an issue. Adjacent to the kitchen lies a convenient pantry and laundry room, adding to the home's practicality. The master bathroom is a haven of relaxation, featuring a large soaking tub, a stand-up glass shower, and double sinks, offering a luxurious retreat after a long day. With its thoughtful design and attention to detail, the "Grant" promises to be the perfect blend of comfort and style for modern living.

  19. 2025-01-17
    price $96,000 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Introducing the "Grant" by Jessup Housing, a spacious 16' x 76' single wide home designed for modern living. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home offers comfort and functionality in equal measure. The cornered-in kitchen steals the spotlight with a large island at its center, providing ample space for meal preparation and casual dining. Abundant cabinet space ensures storage is never an issue. Adjacent to the kitchen lies a convenient pantry and laundry room, adding to the home's practicality. The master bathroom is a haven of relaxation, featuring a large soaking tub, a stand-up glass shower, and double sinks, offering a luxurious retreat after a long day. With its thoughtful design and attention to detail, the "Grant" promises to be the perfect blend of comfort and style for modern living.

  20. 2024-06-28
    price $93,900 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Introducing the "Grant" by Jessup Housing, a spacious 16' x 76' single wide home designed for modern living. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home offers comfort and functionality in equal measure. The cornered-in kitchen steals the spotlight with a large island at its center, providing ample space for meal preparation and casual dining. Abundant cabinet space ensures storage is never an issue. Adjacent to the kitchen lies a convenient pantry and laundry room, adding to the home's practicality. The master bathroom is a haven of relaxation, featuring a large soaking tub, a stand-up glass shower, and double sinks, offering a luxurious retreat after a long day. With its thoughtful design and attention to detail, the "Grant" promises to be the perfect blend of comfort and style for modern living.

  21. 2024-03-19
    listed $99,999 Active 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Introducing the "Grant" by Jessup Housing, a spacious 16' x 76' single wide home designed for modern living. Boasting 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home offers comfort and functionality in equal measure. The cornered-in kitchen steals the spotlight with a large island at its center, providing ample space for meal preparation and casual dining. Abundant cabinet space ensures storage is never an issue. Adjacent to the kitchen lies a convenient pantry and laundry room, adding to the home's practicality. The master bathroom is a haven of relaxation, featuring a large soaking tub, a stand-up glass shower, and double sinks, offering a luxurious retreat after a long day. With its thoughtful design and attention to detail, the "Grant" promises to be the perfect blend of comfort and style for modern living.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,548
− Mortgage interest
−$7,304
− Property taxes
−$1,956
− Insurance
−$652
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,164
− Management
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$3,793
Taxable loss
−$1,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$356
After-tax cash flow
$1,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with a modern interior and exterior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the current maintenance is up to date. The home is ready for a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natrona County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604510
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,217
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3437
State rank
#32 of 41 in WY

Livability — Evansville

Score
68/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#9711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, WY
Population (ZIP)
3,856

Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,530 people
By 2030
107,084 · +8.7%
By 2040
124,838 · +26.7%
By 2050
143,617 · +45.8%
By 2075
192,378 · +95.2%
By 2100
228,435 · +131.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Natrona

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.77%
Current HPI
195.2252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-01-29 Price Changed $97,000 Zillow
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $96,000 Zillow
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $93,900 Zillow
  • 2024-03-19 Listed $99,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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