83 School House Rd · Clinton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Cash flow +6.0/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2-bedroom, 1 bath home, eat-in-kitchen and family room directly across from Montgomery High School. Currently used as an investment property but would also make a nice starter home. The home has central air, economical gas heat and a full basement. Owner is in the process of finishing the basement to include a half-bathroom and possible bedroom/family room. The home is tenant occupied.
Key facts
- Eat-in-kitchen
- Economical gas heat
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $92k (33.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (37.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.8% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#556 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Montgomery Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #180 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Montgomery El Sch (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C-, #578 of 1,518 statewide, top 38%, 523 students, 48% FRL); Montgomery Jshs (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #196 of 437 statewide, top 47%, 417 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($964 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $140k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.17%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,091
- List price
- $139,500
- Delta
- -2.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,080
- Equity at exit
- $69,332
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $38,015
- Equity at exit
- $112,297
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17752
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $879 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $-266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-187 | -5% $-227 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-306 | +10% $-345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-336 | -5% $-301 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-197 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-196 | -0.5pp $-231 | base $-266 | +0.5pp $-302 | +1.0pp $-339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 S Main St Unit 2 Montgomery, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $865 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 114 W Houston Ave Montgomery, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $900 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Nice 2-bedroom, 1 bath home, eat-in-kitchen and family room directly across from Montgomery High School. Currently used as an investment property but would also make a nice starter home. The home has central air, economical gas heat and a full basement. Owner is in the process of finishing the basement to include a half-bathroom and possible bedroom/family room. The home is tenant occupied.
-
2026-04-11$139,500 Active 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Nice 2-bedroom, 1 bath home, eat-in-kitchen and family room directly across from Montgomery High School. Currently used as an investment property but would also make a nice starter home. The home has central air, economical gas heat and a full basement. Owner is in the process of finishing the basement to include a half-bathroom and possible bedroom/family room. The home is tenant occupied.
-
2023-12-01soldstatus $85,000
-
2001-01-04soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,051 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,128 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$77/yr (+$6/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$2,051
- − Insurance
- −$698
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$844
- − Management
- −$844
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable loss
- −$5,759
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,382
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215660
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,345
- Composite
- 42.69/100
- National rank
- #3172
- State rank
- #180 of 539 in PA
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #556
- US rank
- #5185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,867
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.83%
- Current HPI
- 241.8799
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+365.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — WBVAR
- 2026-04-11 Listed $139,500 WBVAR
- 2023-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,051 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…