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622 Creek Rd 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 52.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

622 Creek Rd · Cherryville, PA 18014
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,568 sqft · Other public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1960 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

Key facts

  • New electric
  • Completely renovated
  • New roof

Tags

2 UNIT MULTI FAMILY PROPERTYUNOBSTRUCTED VIEW OF THE CREEKCOMPLETELY RENOVATEDUPDATED KITCHEN AND BATHNEW ROOFNEW ELECTRIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($91/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,483 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northampton Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #153 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Moore El Sch (math 64% / reading 74%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 354 students, 30% FRL); Northampton Area Ms (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,256 students, 42% FRL); Northampton Area Hs (math 60% / reading 24%, grade F, #230 of 437 statewide, top 53%, 1,862 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $192k; list at $350k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $339,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.73%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.1%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-55,971
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-47,056
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18014

Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$316 /mo · $3,789/yr
Insurance
$146
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $206 -5% $107 +0% $8 +5% $-91 +10% $-191
Rent -10% $-269 -5% $-131 +0% $8 +5% $146 +10% $284
Rate -1.0pp $184 -0.5pp $97 base $8 +0.5pp $-83 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3250 Vista Dr Danielsville, PA 4.0 2.5 1972 $3,500 $1.77 16d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

  2. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

  3. 2026-03-25
    price $350,000
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

  4. 2026-03-25
    price $350,000 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

  5. 2026-03-16
    listed $380,000 Active 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.

  6. 2026-03-04
    listed $380,000 Active
  7. 2020-03-31
    soldstatus $192,500
  8. 2020-03-27
    soldstatus $192,500 Sold
  9. 2020-02-05
    status Pending
  10. 2020-02-05
    status Pending
  11. 2020-01-31
    price $189,900
  12. 2020-01-31
    price $189,900
  13. 2019-12-26
    listed $194,900 Active
  14. 2019-12-02
    listed $194,000 Active
  15. 2014-08-04
    soldstatus $156,000
  16. 2014-07-28
    soldstatus $156,000
  17. 2014-07-28
    soldstatus $156,000
  18. 2013-09-18
    listed $159,900
  19. 2013-09-18
    listed $159,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,789 · $316/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,659 · $388/mo
Expected delta
+$871/yr (+$73/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$3,789
− Insurance
−$7,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$5,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,337
After-tax cash flow
$1,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northampton Area SD
NCES district ID
4217370
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$62,326
Composite
44.35/100
National rank
#2822
State rank
#153 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cherryville

Score
60/100
State rank
#1483
US rank
#19164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
21
Population (ZIP)
12,474

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 3% Danish 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.54%
Current HPI
212.4688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $350,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $350,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $380,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $380,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $192,500 Public Records
  • 2020-03-27 Sold (MLS) $192,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-02-05 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2020-02-05 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2020-01-31 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-01-31 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2019-12-26 Listed $194,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2019-12-02 Listed $194,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2014-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2013-09-18 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2013-09-18 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,789 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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