🌊 Lakefront
622 Creek Rd · Cherryville, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
Key facts
- New electric
- Completely renovated
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($91/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $340k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,483 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northampton Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #153 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moore El Sch (math 64% / reading 74%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 354 students, 30% FRL); Northampton Area Ms (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,256 students, 42% FRL); Northampton Area Hs (math 60% / reading 24%, grade F, #230 of 437 statewide, top 53%, 1,862 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $192k; list at $350k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.73%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-55,971
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-47,056
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18014
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,789/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $206 | -5% $107 | +0% $8 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-269 | -5% $-131 | +0% $8 | +5% $146 | +10% $284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $97 | base $8 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3250 Vista Dr Danielsville, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1972 | $3,500 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending 1268-char remark
Show marketing remark (1268 chars)
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
-
2026-04-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (1268 chars)
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
-
2026-03-25price $350,000
Show marketing remark (1268 chars)
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
-
2026-03-25price $350,000 1268-char remark
Show marketing remark (1268 chars)
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
-
2026-03-16$380,000 Active 1268-char remark
Show marketing remark (1268 chars)
Where income potential meets scenic serenity; Welcome to 622 Creek Rd in Bath — a rare 2-unit multi-family property offering flexibility, strong rental appeal, and a view that truly sets it apart. Whether you’re an investor seeking dependable returns or an owner-occupant looking to offset your mortgage, this property delivers. The second-floor unit boasts an incredible, unobstructed view of the creek — the kind of peaceful backdrop tenants dream about. Imagine morning coffee overlooking the water, the sound of the current replacing traffic noise, and sunsets reflecting off the surface. It’s a lifestyle feature that commands attention and rental demand. 3 Beds/1 Bath. The bottom unit has been completely renovated, offering modern finishes, updated systems, and move-in-ready appeal. Fresh flooring, updated kitchen and bath, contemporary fixtures, and clean design make this unit turnkey for immediate occupancy or premium rental pricing. 2 Bed/2 Full Bath. This property provides the perfect blend of practicality and charm — stable income potential paired with a setting that elevates everyday living. New Roof (2022), New Electric, New Plumbing, New Furnace, New Mini Splits, New Water Heaters (2) in 2021, New Sump Pump 2026.
-
2026-03-04$380,000 Active
-
2020-03-31soldstatus $192,500
-
2020-03-27soldstatus $192,500 Sold
-
2020-02-05status Pending
-
2020-02-05status Pending
-
2020-01-31price $189,900
-
2020-01-31price $189,900
-
2019-12-26$194,900 Active
-
2019-12-02$194,000 Active
-
2014-08-04soldstatus $156,000
-
2014-07-28soldstatus $156,000
-
2014-07-28soldstatus $156,000
-
2013-09-18$159,900
-
2013-09-18$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,789 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,659 · $388/mo
- Expected delta
- +$871/yr (+$73/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$3,789
- − Insurance
- −$7,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$5,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northampton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217370
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,326
- Composite
- 44.35/100
- National rank
- #2822
- State rank
- #153 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cherryville
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1483
- US rank
- #19164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 21
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,474
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 3% Danish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.54%
- Current HPI
- 212.4688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+118.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $350,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $350,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $380,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $380,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $192,500 Public Records
- 2020-03-27 Sold (MLS) $192,500 GLVRMLS
- 2020-02-05 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2020-02-05 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2020-01-31 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
- 2020-01-31 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
- 2019-12-26 Listed $194,900 GLVRMLS
- 2019-12-02 Listed $194,000 GLVRMLS
- 2014-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GLVRMLS
- 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GLVRMLS
- 2013-09-18 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
- 2013-09-18 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,789 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…