6068 Bucking Bronco Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32234

$250,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,395 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 5,227 sqft lot 2-car garage $179/sqft · 17% below area Est $301k · 17% under $9/mo HOA ↓ 7% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.7/30.0
• Appreciation +5.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.8/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

Key facts

• 5,227 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-294 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (20.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (17.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $198k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Marine Science Education Center (31 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 380 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 58d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $198,129 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.88%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.03%
• DSCR: 0.78
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $300,573
• List price: $250,000
• Delta: -16.83%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15773 Equine Gait Dr	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,402 (+0%)	1mo	$231,715	$165	92
15679 Strawberry Roan Ct	0.08mi	3/2.0	1,618 (+16%)	0mo	$223,500	$138	71
6433 Bucking Bronco Dr	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,564 (+12%)	9mo	$255,000	$163	63
6214 Wild Mustang Trl	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,618 (+16%)	1mo	$239,999	$148	53
15319 Bareback Dr	0.79mi	3/2.0	1,540 (+10%)	3mo	$250,000	$162	45
8953 Angels Landing Ct	0.79mi	3/2.0	1,211 (-13%)	1mo	$291,900	$241	42
15941 Delicate Arch Ave	0.80mi	3/2.0	1,212 (-13%)	1mo	$286,900	$237	42
15905 Delicate Arch Ave	0.77mi	3/2.0	1,211 (-13%)	1mo	$296,900	$245	42
15174 Bareback Dr	0.83mi	3/2.0	1,548 (+11%)	6mo	$244,500	$158	42
15959 Delicate Arch Ave	0.82mi	3/2.0	1,212 (-13%)	2mo	$280,900	$232	42
5717 Lagoon Cruise Way	0.98mi	3/2.0	1,622 (+16%)	5mo	$309,990	$191	36
5728 Lagoon Cruise Way	1.03mi	3/2.0	1,622 (+16%)	7mo	$309,990	$191	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-20,527
• Equity at exit: $78,271

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-2,402
• Equity at exit: $98,745

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 25 active · 8 under contract
• Months of supply: 11.5 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $291,900 ($221/sqft)
• Median days on market: 105 d
• This list price: 4% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -2.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32234

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 380
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,060 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,311
• Tax from tax record: −$496 /mo · $5,957/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$9
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$432
• Net cashflow: $-294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,431

Max offer price $198,129

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-152	-5% $-223	+0% $-294	+5% $-364	+10% $-435
Rent	-10% $-456	-5% $-375	+0% $-294	+5% $-212	+10% $-131
Rate	-1.0pp $-168	-0.5pp $-230	base $-294	+0.5pp $-358	+1.0pp $-424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,500
• Closing costs: $7,500
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
6092 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1778	$1,995	$1.12	103d	1	0.02mi
15729 Equine Gait Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1650	$1,850	$1.12	9d	1	0.11mi
6137 Black Stallion Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1862	$1,955	$1.05	58d	1	0.26mi
6137 Black Stallion Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1862	$1,995	$1.07	0d	1	0.26mi
15574 Palfrey Chase Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1862	$1,995	$1.07	58d	1	0.32mi
15647 Woodbury Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1863	$1,699	$0.91	0d	15	0.44mi
15818 Queensway Dr Jacksonville, FL	2.0–4.0	2.0–3.0	1446	$2,218	$1.53	0d	1	0.58mi
15246 Hidden Foal Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1730	$1,900	$1.10	107d	1	0.84mi
15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1840	$1,899	$1.03	82d	1	0.86mi
5450 Normandy Acres Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1080	$1,400	$1.30	93d	1	1.24mi

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community association with clubhouse, park, and playgroundAssociation fee $110 annuallyCDD fee applicable

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Electricity connectedSewer connectedWater connected
• Home design: Single family residenceOne story
• Construction: Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Community pool (not private)City street frontageAsphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric rangeElectric oven
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heatingCentral air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fansEntrance foyerKitchen islandOpen floorplanPrimary bathroom with shower (no tub)Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: In-unit laundryWasherDryerElectric water heater

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-23
   days on market $250,000 Active 151 DOM
2. 2026-09-22
   days on market $250,000 Active 150 DOM
3. 2026-09-21
   days on market $250,000 Active 149 DOM
4. 2026-09-19
   days on market $250,000 Active 147 DOM
5. 2026-09-18
   days on market $250,000 Active 146 DOM
6. 2026-09-17
   days on market $250,000 Active 145 DOM
7. 2026-09-16
   days on market $250,000 Active 144 DOM
8. 2026-09-15
   days on market $250,000 Active 143 DOM
9. 2026-09-14
   days on market $250,000 Active 142 DOM
10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 141 DOM
11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $250,000 Active 140 DOM
12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $250,000 Active 139 DOM
13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 133 DOM
14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 132 DOM
15. 2026-08-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 128 DOM
16. 2026-08-29
    days on market $250,000 Active 126 DOM
17. 2026-08-28
    days on market $250,000 Active 125 DOM
18. 2026-08-27
    days on market $250,000 Active 124 DOM
19. 2026-08-25
    days on market $250,000 Active 122 DOM
20. 2026-08-24
    days on market $250,000 Active 121 DOM
21. 2026-08-23
    days on market $250,000 Active 120 DOM
22. 2026-08-22
    days on market $250,000 Active 119 DOM
23. 2026-08-21
    days on market $250,000 Active 118 DOM
24. 2026-08-20
    days on market $250,000 Active 117 DOM
25. 2026-08-19
    days on market $250,000 Active 116 DOM
26. 2026-08-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 115 DOM
27. 2026-08-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 114 DOM
28. 2026-08-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 113 DOM
29. 2026-08-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 112 DOM
30. 2026-08-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 111 DOM
31. 2026-08-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 110 DOM
32. 2026-08-12
    days on market $250,000 Active 109 DOM
33. 2026-08-11
    days on market $250,000 Active 108 DOM
34. 2026-08-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 107 DOM
35. 2026-08-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 106 DOM
36. 2026-08-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 105 DOM
37. 2026-08-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 104 DOM
38. 2026-08-06
    days on market $250,000 Active 103 DOM
39. 2026-08-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 102 DOM
40. 2026-08-04
    pricedays on market $250,000 Active 101 DOM
41. 2026-08-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 100 DOM
42. 2026-07-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
43. 2026-07-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
44. 2026-07-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
45. 2026-07-28
    days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
46. 2026-07-24
    days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
47. 2026-07-23
    days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
48. 2026-07-22
    days on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
49. 2026-07-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
50. 2026-07-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,957 · $496/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,957 · $496/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,714
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,004
• − Property taxes: −$5,957
• − Insurance: −$1,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,977
• − Management: −$1,977
• − HOA: −$108
• − Depreciation: −$7,273
• Taxable loss: −$7,832
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,880
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,975–$20,925 screening

This nearly new home in Winchester Ridge is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. The exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
• Rental Trim and mulch landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 41/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School C- FL #990/2,144 Nat'l #11,263/41,679 Middle Joseph Stilwell Middle School F FL #448/571 Nat'l #8,317/14,009 High Baldwin Middle-Senior High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,013,010 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 9,678
• Household income: $87,331
• Rent vs Own: 13.6% rent · 86.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 33% of renters

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Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

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Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.45%
• Current HPI: 288.4613
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community association with clubhouse, park, and playgroundAssociation fee $110 annuallyCDD fee applicable

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Electricity connectedSewer connectedWater connected
• Home design: Single family residenceOne story
• Construction: Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Community pool (not private)City street frontageAsphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric rangeElectric oven
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heatingCentral air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fansEntrance foyerKitchen islandOpen floorplanPrimary bathroom with shower (no tub)Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: In-unit laundryWasherDryerElectric water heater

Price history

-7.5% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-10 Price Changed $260,000 realMLS
• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $265,000 realMLS
• 2026-04-24 Listed $260,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2024-08-23 Price Changed $275,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-09 Price Changed $286,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-07 Listed $295,000 realMLS
• 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $280,990 realMLS
• 2022-02-14 Pending — realMLS
• 2022-02-11 Listed $280,990 realMLS

Property tax history

+30.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,957 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.