6068 Bucking Bronco Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32234

$260,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,395 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 5,227 sqft lot Est $250k · at est. $9/mo HOA ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.8/30.0
• ARV discount +5.6/15.0
• Appreciation +5.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.9/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

Key facts

• 5,227 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community association with clubhouse, park, and playground; Association fee $110 annually; CDD fee applicable

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Community pool (not private); City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-287 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (19.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (17.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $209k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $209,267 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.97%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.73%
• DSCR: 0.79
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $249,705
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6093 Bucking Bronco Dr	0.06mi	3/2.0	1,219 (-13%)	10mo	$230,000	$189	67
6433 Bucking Bronco Dr	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,564 (+12%)	6mo	$255,000	$163	65
15748 Equine Gait Dr	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,219 (-13%)	20mo	$259,000	$212	55
15644 Saddled Charger Dr	0.32mi	3/2.0	1,564 (+12%)	22mo	$275,000	$176	46
6113 Dappled Bay Ct	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,540 (+10%)	24mo	$275,000	$179	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-20,203
• Equity at exit: $81,402

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $-59
• Equity at exit: $102,695

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32234

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 232
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,139 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,363
• Tax from tax record: −$496 /mo · $5,957/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• HOA: −$9
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$449
• Net cashflow: $-287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,503

Max offer price $209,267

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $65,000
• Closing costs: $7,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
6092 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1778	$1,995	$1.12	8d	1	0.02mi
15729 Equine Gait Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1650	$1,950	$1.18	2d	1	0.11mi
15647 Woodbury Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1863	$1,773	$0.95	2d	27	0.44mi
15246 Hidden Foal Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1730	$1,900	$1.10	12d	1	0.84mi
15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1840	$1,999	$1.09	3d	1	0.86mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $9 · $108/yr

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $260,000 Active 54 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $260,000 Active 53 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $260,000 Active 52 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $260,000 Active 51 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $260,000 Active 48 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $265,000 Active 45 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $265,000 Active 44 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $265,000 Active 43 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $265,000 Active 40 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 39 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 38 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 37 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 36 DOM
14. 2026-04-27
    price $265,000
15. 2026-04-24
    listed $260,000 Active
16. 2024-08-30
    historical 330-char remark

    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

17. 2024-08-23
    price $275,000 330-char remark

    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

18. 2024-08-09
    price $286,000 330-char remark

    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

19. 2024-08-07
    listed $295,000 Active 330-char remark

    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Come see this gorgeous less than 2 years old home. This home gives you quick access to RiverCity MarketPlace, Jax Airport, along with many other attractions within the Jax Area. With full offer presented, this home will come a one year home warranty. Dont miss this great opportunity. Showings can be scheduled via Showing Assist.

20. 2022-06-30
    soldstatus $280,990 Sold 390-char remark

    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    D. R. Horton is bringing its popular and affordable Express homes to Winchester Ridge, an established community with fantastic amenities located in the popular Westside area of Jacksonville. Homeowners will enjoy the short commute to any part of the greater Jacksonville area, including Jacksonville International Airport, River City Shopping Complex, downtown Jacksonville and the beaches.

21. 2022-02-14
    status Pending 390-char remark

    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    D. R. Horton is bringing its popular and affordable Express homes to Winchester Ridge, an established community with fantastic amenities located in the popular Westside area of Jacksonville. Homeowners will enjoy the short commute to any part of the greater Jacksonville area, including Jacksonville International Airport, River City Shopping Complex, downtown Jacksonville and the beaches.

22. 2022-02-11
    listed $280,990 Active 390-char remark

    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    D. R. Horton is bringing its popular and affordable Express homes to Winchester Ridge, an established community with fantastic amenities located in the popular Westside area of Jacksonville. Homeowners will enjoy the short commute to any part of the greater Jacksonville area, including Jacksonville International Airport, River City Shopping Complex, downtown Jacksonville and the beaches.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,957 · $496/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,957 · $496/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,672
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,564
• − Property taxes: −$5,957
• − Insurance: −$1,300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,054
• − Management: −$2,054
• − HOA: −$108
• − Depreciation: −$7,564
• Taxable loss: −$7,929
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,903
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,543/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This nearly new home in Winchester Ridge is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. The exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
• Rental Trim and mulch landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
• Rental Trim and mulch landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,015,274 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 9,678
• Household income: $87,331
• Rent vs Own: 13.6% rent · 86.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 62.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.45%
• Current HPI: 288.4613
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-5.7% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $265,000 realMLS
• 2026-04-24 Listed $260,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2024-08-23 Price Changed $275,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-09 Price Changed $286,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-07 Listed $295,000 realMLS
• 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $280,990 realMLS
• 2022-02-14 Pending — realMLS
• 2022-02-11 Listed $280,990 realMLS

Property tax history

+30.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,957 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.