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728 Sir Richard Rd
C Composite 58.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,000

728 Sir Richard Rd · Fort Braden, FL 32310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 210 Days on market
Built 1997 2.50 ac lot Est $89k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

Key facts

  • Private land
  • Newer updates
  • Fruit bearing trees

Tags

DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOMEPRIVATE LANDMATURE TREESNEWER UPDATESFRUIT BEARING TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: For sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Vinyl siding; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: 2.5-acre lot; Unimproved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Icemaker; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen (14x14)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (12x12); Bedroom 3 (10x12)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Wood heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Split bedrooms; Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Braden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,453/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $188 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-676 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.51%
Cash-on-cash
11.48%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,100
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
833 Sir Richard Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-10%) 6mo $79,900 $55 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$14,519
Equity at exit
$32,950
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$53,002
Equity at exit
$37,027

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32310

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,263/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,029
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 210 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 205 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 202 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 196 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 195 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 191 DOM
  16. 2025-11-20
    listed $130,000 Active
  17. 2022-04-22
    soldstatus $122,000 Closed 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

  18. 2022-04-22
    soldstatus $122,000
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

  19. 2022-03-15
    historical Active Under Contract 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

  20. 2022-03-07
    price $120,000 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

  21. 2022-02-13
    listed $140,000 Active 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    This home is a beautiful double wide and sits a little over 2 acres. It is a 3 bed/ 2 bath.

  22. 2008-08-01
    soldstatus $59,900
  23. 2008-07-31
    soldstatus $59,900 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Peaceful country living 1 mile from Lake Talquin, a great area for sportsmen and nature lovers. Close to Ft. Braden elementary school and public library. Plenty of room in this Doublewide MH on 2.5 acres for a growing family. Spacious open living area has lots of windows making it bright and airy. Kitchen overlooks great room and FP & has lots of storage & work surfaces, including a work island. Convenient split plan provides privacy to master bedroom suite with enormous walk in closets. Make an offer!

  24. 2008-06-12
    listed $59,900 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Peaceful country living 1 mile from Lake Talquin, a great area for sportsmen and nature lovers. Close to Ft. Braden elementary school and public library. Plenty of room in this Doublewide MH on 2.5 acres for a growing family. Spacious open living area has lots of windows making it bright and airy. Kitchen overlooks great room and FP & has lots of storage & work surfaces, including a work island. Convenient split plan provides privacy to master bedroom suite with enormous walk in closets. Make an offer!

  25. 2004-12-02
    soldstatus $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,434
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,263
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,395
− Management
−$1,395
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,118
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$3,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Braden

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Braden, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,888
Household income
$38,288
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1272.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.54%
Current HPI
270.5721
Rent YoY
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $130,000 CATRS
  • 2022-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-22 Sold (MLS) $122,000 CATRS
  • 2022-03-15 Contingent CATRS
  • 2022-03-07 Price Changed $120,000 CATRS
  • 2022-02-13 Listed $140,000 CATRS
  • 2008-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 2008-07-31 Sold (MLS) $59,900 CATRS
  • 2008-06-12 Listed $59,900 CATRS
  • 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,263 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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