1404 Sebastian Dr · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER! Welcome to this nicely maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Forney! Offering 1,510 square feet of comfortable living space, this home features fresh interior paint and move-in ready condition that makes settling in effortless. The inviting floor plan provides spacious living and dining areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen opens to the main living space, creating a warm and functional layout for family and guests alike. The private primary suite offers a relaxing retreat, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Also, has a spacious back yard!
Key facts
- Spacious back yard
- Inviting floor plan
- 5,924 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (20.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lewis El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 763 students, 50% FRL); Brown Middle (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 673 students, 56% FRL); North Forney H S (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 2,502 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 26% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2639 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.06%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,081
- List price
- $219,500
- Delta
- -10.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Sebastian Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+2%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $173 | 88 |
| 1628 Seadrift Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+3%) | 2mo | $242,900 | $156 | 88 |
| 1651 Seadrift Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+2%) | 2mo | $244,900 | $159 | 86 |
| 1268 Delmita Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+2%) | 13mo | $259,990 | $169 | 78 |
| 1065 Old Oaks Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-7%) | 11mo | $289,000 | $206 | 70 |
| 1247 Delmita Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-12%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $188 | 69 |
| 4423 Culrin Way | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (-1%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $154 | 68 |
| 1659 Seadrift Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-12%) | 5mo | $244,500 | $184 | 65 |
| 2423 Lemco Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (-1%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $161 | 64 |
| 6267 Unbridled Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-13%) | 12mo | $237,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 2529 Real Quiet Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (+6%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $181 | 49 |
| 1515 Dilley Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-11%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $178 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-55,047
- Equity at exit
- $32,728
- IRR
- -33.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-80,986
- Equity at exit
- $18,978
Cash invested: $61,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 19 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.1 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $251,599 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2639
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,067 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,151
- Tax from tax record
- −$617 /mo · $7,401/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$33
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $-259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-135 | -5% $-197 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-321 | +10% $-383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-422 | -5% $-341 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-177 | +10% $-96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-149 | -0.5pp $-203 | base $-259 | +0.5pp $-316 | +1.0pp $-374 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,875
- Closing costs
- $6,585
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5811 Grindstone Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,999 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6038 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,895 | $1.54 | 93d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6021 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,095 | $1.40 | 73d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 6011 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 53d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6011 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6077 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 73d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5628 Elwood Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 48d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 6005 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,895 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5837 Grindstone Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6001 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,679 | $1.17 | 71d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6084 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 52d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6094 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,049 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 6101 Determine Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5906 Nyquist Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,899 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5452 Montrose Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,750 | $1.48 | 53d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1102 Old Oaks Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2232 | $2,375 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4423 Culrin Way Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4349 Johnstown Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,250 | $1.79 | 19d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4101 Wintergreen Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,645 | $1.33 | 55d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2157 Clarion Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,975 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4307 Johnstown Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,745 | $1.40 | 73d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2412 Bold Venture Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 93d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2527 Real Quiet Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2402 Buchanan Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,399 | $1.29 | 73d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2402 Buchanan Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,299 | $1.24 | 51d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2401 Lalun Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $2,049 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5516 Berea St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 93d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5537 Berea St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,740 | $1.40 | 28d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5529 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 55d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5529 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 62d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1304 Broaddus Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5661 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,945 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5681 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $2,070 | $1.06 | 70d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5693 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1685 | $1,839 | $1.09 | 56d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5672 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $1,879 | $0.96 | 30d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2415 Anton Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 66d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 715 Bowie St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 602 Heritage Hill Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,995 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 600 Carl C Senter St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 30d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 604 Carl C Senter St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,895 | $1.44 | 10d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property type: Residential - Single Family ResidenceMunicipal Utility District present
- Financial info
- Listing accepts Cash, Conventional and FHA financing
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAAnnual association feeAssociation fee covers full use of facilities and management feesHOA managed by Travis Ranch HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage (garage faces front; 2 covered spaces)Garage dimensions approximately 20' x 20'
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerMUD waterCable availableConcrete curbs
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne storyBuilt in 2021Brick constructionComposition roofSlab foundationLocated in the Travis Ranch South Mesquite subdivision
- Construction
- Brick exteriorComposition roofSlab foundationYear built 2021
- Exterior features
- Fenced backyard with wood fenceUtilities easement on property
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalElectric cooktopElectric ovenMicrowaveGranite countertops
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom (13 x 13) on main levelBedroom (12 x 11) on main levelBedroom (12 x 11) on main level
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air (electric)
- Interior features
- Cable TV availableGranite countersSingle-level layoutFive total rooms (includes living/dining/kitchen/bedrooms)
- Laundry & utility
- Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $219,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-07price $219,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $224,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $224,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $224,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $224,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $224,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $224,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $224,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $224,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $224,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $224,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-23price $224,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $229,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $229,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $229,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $229,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $229,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $229,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $229,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $229,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $229,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $229,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $229,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $229,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $229,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $229,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $229,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $229,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $229,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $229,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $229,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-02price $229,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $239,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $239,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $239,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $239,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $239,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $239,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $239,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $239,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $239,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 17 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,401 · $617/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,401 · $617/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,807
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,295
- − Property taxes
- −$7,401
- − Insurance
- −$1,098
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,985
- − Management
- −$1,985
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$6,385
- Taxable loss
- −$6,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,617
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready home in Forney, TX, offers a good condition with fresh paint and well-maintained landscaping. Minor updates to exterior paint and landscaping can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-26.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-23 Price Changed $224,900 NTREIS
- 2026-07-02 Price Changed $229,900 NTREIS
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $239,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $249,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $244,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $254,900 NTREIS
- 2025-06-21 Listed $259,900 NTREIS
- 2025-06-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $259,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $264,900 NTREIS
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed $269,900 NTREIS
- 2024-11-27 Price Changed $274,990 NTREIS
- 2024-11-07 Price Changed $284,990 NTREIS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $289,990 NTREIS
- 2024-09-13 Price Changed $294,999 NTREIS
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $299,900 NTREIS
- 2024-06-30 Price Changed $309,900 NTREIS
- 2024-06-07 Price Changed $319,900 NTREIS
- 2024-05-18 Listed $329,900 NTREIS
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-07-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-06-28 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-06-22 Listed $304,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+67.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,401 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…