41144 Morgan Ave · Pennington Gap, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1939
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#410 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lee County Public School District (rural): math 53% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #62 of 131 in VA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 436 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 436 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.05%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,778
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 21.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775 N Kentucky St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-2%) | 14mo | $158,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 40736 Morgan Ave | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,279 (-14%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $63 | 48 |
| 198 Church Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+4%) | 23mo | $95,000 | $62 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $44,259
- Equity at exit
- $72,308
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $121,082
- Equity at exit
- $128,559
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24277
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $537/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $231 | +0% $197 | +5% $163 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $151 | +0% $197 | +5% $243 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $258 | -0.5pp $228 | base $197 | +0.5pp $166 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $119,900 1487-char remark
Show marketing remark (1487 chars)
Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''
-
2025-09-15price $129,900 1487-char remark
Show marketing remark (1487 chars)
Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''
-
2025-05-30price $139,900 1487-char remark
Show marketing remark (1487 chars)
Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''
-
2025-04-09$149,900 Active 1487-char remark
Show marketing remark (1487 chars)
Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $537 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$446/yr (+$37/mo · 83.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$537
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102190
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,356
- Composite
- 50.06/100
- National rank
- #1913
- State rank
- #62 of 131 in VA
Livability — Pennington Gap
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #410
- US rank
- #17149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pennington Gap, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,379
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,861 people
- By 2030
- 21,701 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,188 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 16,619 · -27.3%
- By 2075
- 11,795 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 8,290 · -63.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.8% · R 85.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Current HPI
- 165.997
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $119,900 TVRMLS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $129,900 TVRMLS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $139,900 TVRMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $149,900 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $537 · +31.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…