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41144 Morgan Ave
C Composite 55.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$119,900

41144 Morgan Ave · Pennington Gap, VA 24277
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 436 Days on market
Built 1939 0.28 ac lot $81/sqft · 21% above area Est $99k · 21% over ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1939

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#410 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Lee County Public School District (rural): math 53% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #62 of 131 in VA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 436 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 436 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.05%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,778
List price
$119,900
Delta
21.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
775 N Kentucky St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-2%) 14mo $158,000 $109 52
40736 Morgan Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,279 (-14%) 3mo $80,000 $63 48
198 Church Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+4%) 23mo $95,000 $62 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$44,259
Equity at exit
$72,308
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$121,082
Equity at exit
$128,559

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24277

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $537/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $916
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $265 -5% $231 +0% $197 +5% $163 +10% $129
Rent -10% $105 -5% $151 +0% $197 +5% $243 +10% $289
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $228 base $197 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 436 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 434 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 433 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 432 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 431 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 430 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 429 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 428 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 425 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 424 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 423 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 422 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 419 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 418 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 417 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 416 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    price $119,900 1487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1487 chars)

    Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''

  18. 2025-09-15
    price $129,900 1487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1487 chars)

    Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''

  19. 2025-05-30
    price $139,900 1487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1487 chars)

    Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''

  20. 2025-04-09
    listed $149,900 Active 1487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1487 chars)

    Welcome to this enchanting 1939 brick Craftsman bungalow, a true gem brimming with character and endless potential! This charming home features 4 bedrooms and 1 bath, providing ample living space for anyone looking to enjoy the convenience of one-level living as all your essential rooms are on the main level. As you step inside, the inviting living room welcomes you with a cozy fireplace, perfect for gatherings. The layout flows effortlessly into the dining room and kitchen, making this space ideal for hosting dinner parties or simply hanging out with your friends. This home offers versatile spaces with two additional rooms that can be customized to fit your lifestyle—whether you envision them as an office, craft room, or additional guest area, the possibilities are endless! Outside, enjoy your morning coffee or evening gatherings on the covered back porch, or relax on the large front porch that adds to the home's charm and curb appeal—perfect for summertime barbecues or simply unwinding at the end of the day. The property also includes a 1-car carport for your convenience. While some updating and improvements are needed, this home is a wonderful opportunity for those ready to put their personal touch on a beloved classic. Don't miss out on the chance to own a piece of history and create your dream home in a charming neighborhood. Schedule your showing today and unlock the potential of this lovely Craftsman bungalow! * * * * Property sold ''as is''

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$537 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$446/yr (+$37/mo · 83.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,987
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$537
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,119
− Management
−$1,119
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$409
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$98
After-tax cash flow
$2,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102190
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$31,356
Composite
50.06/100
National rank
#1913
State rank
#62 of 131 in VA

Livability — Pennington Gap

Score
62/100
State rank
#410
US rank
#17149

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pennington Gap, VA
Population (ZIP)
6,379

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,861 people
By 2030
21,701 · -5.1%
By 2040
19,188 · -16.1%
By 2050
16,619 · -27.3%
By 2075
11,795 · -48.4%
By 2100
8,290 · -63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.8% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.0 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.59%
Current HPI
165.997
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $119,900 TVRMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $129,900 TVRMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $139,900 TVRMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $149,900 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $537 · +31.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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