472 Yorkshire Blvd · Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$203,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Have you been looking for a quiet space that feels like you are away from the hustle and bustle, but you are just a few minutes from town? Here it is! And it's priced to move. Plenty of room in this split floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. With endless potential throughout, this home is a fantastic opportunity to add your personal touch and build instant equity. Let your creativity shine and truly make it your own. Step outside and be wowed by the great outdoor space with a huge fenced corner lot, a great detached garage and a covered back porch where you can relax and take in the serene surroundings. Don't miss your chance to see all this property has to offer!
Key facts
- 0.71 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1994
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Yorkshire Estate subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee; No monthly maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Driveway and front entry
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Ranch-style residential home; Single-story (1 story)
- Construction: Built in 1994; Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 154 x 200; Full wood and farm fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dining area on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor; Primary bedroom located on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, including a primary full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; One HVAC unit
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Six closets; No basement; First-floor primary bedroom and primary bathroom; First-floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $203k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($185/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $203k implies a 353% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.32%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,816
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 574 Yorkshire Blvd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-4%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $149 | 76 |
| 745 Hill Top Rd | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,465 (+13%) | 16mo | $359,900 | $246 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,888
- Equity at exit
- $30,268
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-26,396
- Equity at exit
- $17,552
Cash invested: $56,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40165
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,065
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$254 /mo · $3,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,750
- Closing costs
- $6,090
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-12$203,000 Active
-
1977-05-23soldstatus $44,788
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,371
- − Property taxes
- −$3,045
- − Insurance
- −$1,015
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − Depreciation
- −$5,905
- Taxable loss
- −$3,240
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$778
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bullitt County
- NCES district ID
- 2100750
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,009
- Composite
- 30.78/100
- National rank
- #6151
- State rank
- #55 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Bullitt County · 62,065 people
- City population
- 419,741
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,403
- Household income
- $79,540
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,555 people
- By 2030
- 94,389 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 102,759 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 108,955 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 121,898 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 126,383 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.91%
- Current HPI
- 247.1595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
+353.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $203,000 Metro Search MLS
- 1977-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $44,788 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $304 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…