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3108 Vineland Fourplex
F Composite 18.32
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,800,000

3108 Vineland · Baldwin Park, CA 91706
62 bd · 52.0 ba · 35,954 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1978 1.64 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

We are proud to present Villa Monterey, a Well-Maintained 41-Unit Asset Located at 3108 Vineland Avenue in the city of Baldwin Park. Situated one block from the 10 Freeway, this pride-of-ownership property benefits from a high-demand rental pocket, proximity to major retail hubs, and consistent occupancy levels. Baldwin Park’s central location and the property’s historical stability make this an ideal investment choice for steady rental income and long-term appreciation in the heart of the San Gabriel Valley. Villa Monterey is a 41-unit community featuring a total building size of ±35,954 SF situated on an expansive ±71,546 SF lot (±1.64 Acres). The property features an excellent unit mix consisting of (20) 1-bedroom/1-bathroom, (10) 2-bedroom/1-bathroom, and (11) 2-bedroom/2-bathroom floor plans with an impressive average unit size of ±879 SF. Meticulously cared for, the asset features an open garden-style layout with amenities that include a swimming pool, ample covered parking, secured access, storage space, and two on-site laundry facilities. Units are well-appointed with high-speed internet access, AC & heating, ceiling fans, and full kitchen appliances including dishwashers. This opportunity features an assumable loan at a 2.95% interest-only rate until June 2030. This rare financing allows a new investor to realize a 6.84% Cash-on-Cash return on current income, with the potential to reach a 11.05% return on pro forma income. The property currently operates at a 4.84% Cap Rate, with a clear path to a 6.90% Cap Rate at market rents. The City of Baldwin Park is ideally located within Southern California, offering exceptional “hub” access to the 10 and 605 freeways. Its prime location is within walking distance to major retail centers featuring Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Food 4 Less, Starbucks, and LA Fitness. Significant employment and entertainment hubs within a 20-mile radius include Downtown Los Angeles, the City of Commerce, the City of Industry, Pasadena, and Dodger Stadium. Villa Monterey represents a premier income-producing asset in a high-rental-demand location, presenting a stable and lucrative opportunity for 1031 exchange buyers and seasoned investors seeking a large-scale footprint with significant 30% financial upside.

Key facts

  • Central location
  • Swimming pool
  • 1.64 acre lot

Tags

HIGH DEMAND RENTAL POCKETPROXIMITY TO MAJOR RETAIL HUBSCENTRAL LOCATIONOPEN GARDEN STYLE LAYOUTSWIMMING POOLAMPLE COVERED PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $10.80M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58k ($-698k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-15k/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.16M (89.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.01M (90.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.01M (90.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate -0.2% vs local median 2.8% in Baldwin Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#357 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Baldwin Park Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #359 of 517 in CA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Foster Elementary (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,150 of 1,571 statewide, top 74%, 425 students, 85% FRL); Charles D. Jones Middle (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #260 of 498 statewide, top 54%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Baldwin Park High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #352 of 1,170 statewide, top 31%, 1,414 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,127/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1946% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $75k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $324k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($9.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2.00M; list at $10.80M implies a 440% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,012,700 (90.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 91% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.09%
Cap rate
-0.17%
Cash-on-cash
-23.08%
DSCR
-0.03
GRM
88.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-66.7%
Equity multiple
-0.81×
Total profit
$-5,458,756
Equity at exit
$1,610,315
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-2.16×
Total profit
$-9,542,967
Equity at exit
$933,787

Cash invested: $3,024,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91706

Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
355.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$56,636
Tax from tax record
$5,014 /mo · $60,172/yr
Insurance
$4,500
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,127
Net cashflow
$-58,150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $83,735
Max offer price $1,157,660
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-52,037 -5% $-55,094 +0% $-58,150 +5% $-61,207 +10% $-64,264
Rent -10% $-58,950 -5% $-58,550 +0% $-58,150 +5% $-57,750 +10% $-57,350
Rate -1.0pp $-52,712 -0.5pp $-55,404 base $-58,150 +0.5pp $-60,949 +1.0pp $-63,796

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $10,127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,700,000
Closing costs
$324,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,800,000 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-02-09
    listed $10,800,000 Active 2336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2336 chars)

    We are proud to present Villa Monterey, a Well-Maintained 41-Unit Asset Located at 3108 Vineland Avenue in the city of Baldwin Park. Situated one block from the 10 Freeway, this pride-of-ownership property benefits from a high-demand rental pocket, proximity to major retail hubs, and consistent occupancy levels. Baldwin Park’s central location and the property’s historical stability make this an ideal investment choice for steady rental income and long-term appreciation in the heart of the San Gabriel Valley. Villa Monterey is a 41-unit community featuring a total building size of ±35,954 SF situated on an expansive ±71,546 SF lot (±1.64 Acres). The property features an excellent unit mix consisting of (20) 1-bedroom/1-bathroom, (10) 2-bedroom/1-bathroom, and (11) 2-bedroom/2-bathroom floor plans with an impressive average unit size of ±879 SF. Meticulously cared for, the asset features an open garden-style layout with amenities that include a swimming pool, ample covered parking, secured access, storage space, and two on-site laundry facilities. Units are well-appointed with high-speed internet access, AC & heating, ceiling fans, and full kitchen appliances including dishwashers. This opportunity features an assumable loan at a 2.95% interest-only rate until June 2030. This rare financing allows a new investor to realize a 6.84% Cash-on-Cash return on current income, with the potential to reach a 11.05% return on pro forma income. The property currently operates at a 4.84% Cap Rate, with a clear path to a 6.90% Cap Rate at market rents. The City of Baldwin Park is ideally located within Southern California, offering exceptional “hub” access to the 10 and 605 freeways. Its prime location is within walking distance to major retail centers featuring Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Food 4 Less, Starbucks, and LA Fitness. Significant employment and entertainment hubs within a 20-mile radius include Downtown Los Angeles, the City of Commerce, the City of Industry, Pasadena, and Dodger Stadium. Villa Monterey represents a premier income-producing asset in a high-rental-demand location, presenting a stable and lucrative opportunity for 1031 exchange buyers and seasoned investors seeking a large-scale footprint with significant 30% financial upside.

  17. 2025-04-30
    historical $2,195
  18. 2025-04-26
    price $2,195
  19. 2025-04-12
    price $2,295
  20. 2025-03-08
    listed $2,295
  21. 2024-11-04
    historical $1,795
  22. 2024-10-26
    listed $1,795
  23. 2022-06-22
    price $1,895
  24. 1986-07-15
    soldstatus $2,000,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$60,172 · $5,014/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$82,080 · $6,840/mo
Expected delta
+$21,908/yr (+$1,826/mo · 36.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$121,524
− Mortgage interest
−$604,968
− Property taxes
−$60,172
− Insurance
−$54,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,722
− Management
−$9,722
− Depreciation
−$314,182
Taxable loss
−$931,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$223,498
After-tax cash flow
$-474,307/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin Park Unified
NCES district ID
0603690
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$53,156
Composite
25.2/100
National rank
#7510
State rank
#359 of 517 in CA

Livability — Baldwin Park

Score
66/100
State rank
#357
US rank
#12192

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment B+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baldwin Park, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
71,082
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
71,082
Household income
$81,122
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
1946.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 24% Asian 22% Native American 3% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 63%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
21% English-only · Spanish 60% Chinese 10% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1031.00%
Current HPI
458.8227
Rent YoY
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+440.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $10,800,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Rental Removed $2,195 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-04-26 Price Changed $2,195 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-04-12 Price Changed $2,295 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-08 Listed for Rent $2,295 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-11-04 Rental Removed $1,795 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-10-26 Listed for Rent $1,795 RENTALBEAST
  • 2022-06-22 Price Changed $1,895 RENT.
  • 1986-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $2,000,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $60,172 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…