893 8th St · Chipley, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
Key facts
- City utilities
- 1.34 acres
- 0.91 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Chipley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#614 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Washington (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #45 of 73 in FL (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 775 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 699 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 699 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.90%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,569
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -17.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1249 Woodrow Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,088 (-2%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $156 | 84 |
| 1179 South Blvd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 2,156 (+1%) | 7mo | $92,920 | $43 | 71 |
| 1277 South Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,903 (-11%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $163 | 46 |
| 853 1st St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,917 (-10%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $52 | 45 |
| 868 2nd St | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,050 (-4%) | 21mo | $240,000 | $117 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-28,674
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-32,395
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32428
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 775
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$256 /mo · $3,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $-96
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2026-01-13price $139,900 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2025-06-18price $149,900 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2025-05-29status Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2025-05-12status Pending 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2025-01-14status Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2025-01-14price $159,900 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2024-06-27price $165,000 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
-
2024-05-17$180,000 Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Rare opportunity in Chipley city limits! This expansive block house features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, with city utilities. Inside, you'll find a living room, family room, and a large bonus room that would make a perfect area for entertaining once a HVAC is added. The breakfast bar and lots of cabinets in the kitchen offer ample storage space, while the oversized laundry room adds extra convenience. * * * * * * SELLERS ARE SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS IS * * * * * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,068 · $256/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,068 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,068
- − Insurance
- −$1,497
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$3,481
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $-316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington
- NCES district ID
- 1202010
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,948
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3561
- State rank
- #45 of 73 in FL
Livability — Chipley
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #614
- US rank
- #11863
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chipley, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,015
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,087 people
- By 2030
- 23,600 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 22,643 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 21,524 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 18,432 · -23.5%
- By 2100
- 13,298 · -44.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 17.0% · R 82.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+57.1 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+47.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.96%
- Current HPI
- 247.8492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-22.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $139,900 CPARMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $149,900 CPARMLS
- 2025-05-29 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2025-01-14 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $159,900 CPARMLS
- 2024-06-27 Price Changed $165,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-05-17 Listed $180,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+26.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,068 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…