6440 150th Ave N · South Highpoint, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +0.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE , complete rehab needed
Key facts
- 4,752 sq ft lot
- Built 1973
- Listed 63 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-4; Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Living area about 1,224 sq ft (public records list 1,296 sq ft building area)
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; North-facing entry
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a fixer
- Exterior features: Sliding doors; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-350/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#267 in FL, #4,332 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, employment D-.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: High Point Elementary School (math 54% / reading 48%, grade C-, #1,043 of 2,144 statewide, top 49%, 609 students, 80% FRL); Pinellas Park High School (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #424 of 667 statewide, top 64%, 1,919 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.1%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $240k implies a 823% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.52%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $267,996
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14934 Mockingbird Ln W | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-3%) | 8mo | $152,500 | $162 | 85 |
| 14998 Mockingbird Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+11%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $139 | 63 |
| 15623 Morgan St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (-1%) | 11mo | $266,000 | $276 | 56 |
| 15367 Bedford Cir E | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+5%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $358 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-46,567
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-65,424
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33760
- Rents YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,832/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $39 | +0% $-29 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-186 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-29 | +5% $49 | +10% $127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $92 | -0.5pp $32 | base $-29 | +0.5pp $-91 | +1.0pp $-155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19137 US Highway 19 N Unit 2 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,738 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14603 64th St N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6430 142nd Ave N Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1216 | $3,619 | $2.97 | 2d | 68 | 0.60mi |
| 6262 142nd Ave N Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1183 | $1,725 | $1.46 | 25d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 7001 142nd Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15648 Morgan St Unit B Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,595 | $1.93 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2770 Roosevelt Blvd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,636 | $2.06 | 15d | 10 | 0.72mi |
| 7001 142nd Ave N Lot 179 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,495 | $2.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7001 142nd Ave N #157 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,795 | $2.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14330 58th St N Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1161 | $2,815 | $2.42 | 3d | 19 | 0.81mi |
| 15301 58th St N Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $3,442 | $3.50 | 18d | 100 | 0.97mi |
| 16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $3,313 | $3.37 | 2d | 249 | 0.97mi |
| 15414 Avalon Ave Unit 2 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,700 | $2.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15406 Avalon Ave Unit 3 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15406 Avalon Ave Unit 4 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,800 | $2.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15616 Avalon Ave #1 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,525 | $1.79 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15616 Avalon Ave #1 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,595 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15616 Avalon Ave Unit 2 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,595 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15616 Avalon Ave Unit 2 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,595 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15000 Westminister Ave Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15149 Westminister Ave Unit A Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,775 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 305 Glades Cir Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 875 | $1,885 | $2.15 | 2d | 34 | 1.07mi |
| 4500 E Bay Dr #138 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4500 E Bay Dr #149 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15950 Bay Vista Dr Unit 201 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,495 | $2.63 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15950 Bay Vista Dr Unit 206 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15950 Bay Vista Dr Unit 203 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $2,295 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2878 Whitney Rd Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,725 | $1.54 | 8d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1884 Clearbrooke Dr Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $2,300 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15696 Bolesta Rd Unit B Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,325 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15696 Bolesta Rd Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,350 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7298 Ulmerton Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $1,750 | $2.32 | 4d | 3 | 1.40mi |
| 7298 Ulmerton Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,000 | $2.05 | 18d | 4 | 1.40mi |
| 7298 Ulmerton Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $1,750 | $2.32 | 2d | 4 | 1.40mi |
| 2913 Lichen Ln Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,695 | $2.25 | 8d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1851 Oak St Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $2,350 | $2.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2900 Lichen Ln Unit B Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 853 | $2,500 | $2.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12700 66th St Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $2,680 | $2.43 | 2d | 20 | 1.43mi |
| 1819 Clearbrooke Dr Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 997 | $2,125 | $2.13 | 18d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08price $240,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $245,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-26status Active
-
2026-04-19price $250,000
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-08$234,500 Active
-
2011-11-14soldstatus $26,000 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
SHORT SALE , complete rehab needed
-
2011-09-22historical
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
SHORT SALE , complete rehab needed
-
2011-09-22$30,000 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
SHORT SALE , complete rehab needed
-
2011-08-24$30,000
-
2008-08-19$114,000
-
1993-12-02soldstatus $29,000
-
1993-09-01soldstatus $24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,832 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,832 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,832
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,902
- − Management
- −$1,902
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$4,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Highpoint
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #4332
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Highpoint, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 20,501
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,501
- Household income
- $69,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1311.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% American 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.13%
- Current HPI
- 258.297
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -7.07%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+920.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $234,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-14 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-22 Listed $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-24 Listed $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-19 Listed $114,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,832 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…