Fourplex
73624 Sunnyvale · Twentynine Palms, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$589,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Great rental appeal
- Newer roofing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property contains 4 residential units totaling 3,808 building area; No ADU on property; Common wall: 1 common wall
- Financial info: Total actual rent collected: $4,215; Gross scheduled/gross income: $50,580; Net operating income: $30,897; Operating expenses: $19,683; Insurance expense: $4,830; Water and sewer expense: $1,200; Trash expense: $1,200; All four units are leased
- HOA & community: Subject to rent control
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 8 parking spaces; 4 uncovered spaces; Garage spaces: 4 (each unit includes 1 garage space); Paved driveway with uphill slope from street; Driveway and single garage doors
- Security: Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
- Utilities: District/public water; Septic tank sewer; Natural gas connected and available; Cable available; Separate electric meters for each unit (4); Separate gas meters for each unit (4); One separate water meter for property
- Home design: Attached property; Single-story (one story); Two buildings on the parcel
- Construction: Built (year from public records); Stucco exterior; Composition/shingle roof; Concrete slab foundation
- Exterior features: Storage building on property; Fenced yard (average condition); Desert front and desert back lot features; 0–1 unit per acre neighborhood character; No pool; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Gas range and gas oven; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the main level; Four units total, each with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 2 bathrooms (1 full and 1 three-quarter)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall heater(s); Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Entry at ground level; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Living room with fireplace; Galley kitchen layout; All bedrooms on main level
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $589k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $208/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $562k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $562k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,615/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1057% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($580k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $235k; list at $589k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.06%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $571,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5827 Bagley Ave | 0.16mi | 8/4.0 | 4,168 (+10%) | 7mo | $575,000 | $138 | 55 |
| 73420 El Paseo Dr | 0.32mi | 8/4.0 | 4,168 (+10%) | 20mo | $625,000 | $150 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-34,321
- Equity at exit
- $87,822
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $72,680
- Equity at exit
- $50,926
Cash invested: $164,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92277
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 35.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,089
- Tax from tax record
- −$269 /mo · $3,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$245
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,179
- Net cashflow
- $832
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 2 | $5,616 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #3 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #4 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,615 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $147,250
- Closing costs
- $17,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $589,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $589,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $589,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $589,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $589,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $589,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $589,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $589,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $589,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $589,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $589,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $589,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $589,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $589,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-22$589,000 Active
-
2024-04-18historical $1,195
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2024-04-10$1,195
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2024-04-10historical $1,195
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2023-12-28$1,195
-
2016-06-01soldstatus $235,000 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-06-01soldstatus $235,000 Closed Sale 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-06-01soldstatus $235,000
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-05-20status Pending Sale 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-05-04status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-04-18status Pending Sale 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-03-23status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-03-10status Pending Sale 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-03-09$255,000 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2016-03-09$255,000 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Each of these apartments are 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom. Two of them have a fireplace in the living room. Each apartment has it's own garage. Owner pays water and trash. There is a laundry room with coin op appliances. All of these amenities make them easy to rent The ones without fireplaces are rented for $700.00. With fireplace $725.00
-
2015-09-09soldstatus $130,000 Closed Sale
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2015-09-09soldstatus $130,000
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2015-09-09soldstatus $130,000
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2015-07-13historical
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2015-07-13$125,000
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2015-07-13$125,000
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2004-09-29soldstatus $255,000
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1992-12-03soldstatus $171,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,231 · $269/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,476 · $373/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,245/yr (+$104/mo · 38.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,993
- − Property taxes
- −$3,231
- − Insurance
- −$2,945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,390
- − Management
- −$5,390
- − Depreciation
- −$17,135
- Taxable income
- $295
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$71
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Twentynine Palms
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #622
- US rank
- #19731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Twentynine Palms, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 26,277
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,277
- Household income
- $60,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.15%
- Current HPI
- 380.5083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+243.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $589,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-18 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-28 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2016-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-01 Sold (MLS) $235,000 CRMLS
- 2016-06-01 Sold (MLS) $235,000 SDMLS
- 2016-05-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2016-05-04 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2016-04-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2016-03-23 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2016-03-10 Pending — CRMLS
- 2016-03-09 Listed $255,000 CRMLS
- 2016-03-09 Listed $255,000 SDMLS
- 2015-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 SDMLS
- 2015-09-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 CRMLS
- 2015-07-13 Listed $125,000 SDMLS
- 2015-07-13 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2015-07-13 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2004-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $171,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,231 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…