12-Plex
8794 15th Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$3,158,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 12 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Introducing one-of-a-kind Brick 20-Family in the most desired neighborhood, Bath Beach of Brooklyn, NY. This gem has a building size of 60 x 78 sitting on a 60 x 97 lot. Total 18,720 living SF. This property features 20 apartments. Most of the units have been updated. 3 units with 3 bedrooms with a Kitchen and living room and Dining room (6 rooms); 9 units with 2 bedrooms and a Kitchen and living room and Dining room (5 rooms); 8 units with 1 bedroom and a Kitchen and living room and Dining room (4 rooms). This investment generates a gross income of $297,840/yr, with 10 leases for renewal ready with a boost of rent increase. The building offers a Cap Rate that is about 6.25%. This high-inco
Key facts
- Updated units
- Close to restaurants
- Tree-lined street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is in Brooklyn (cross streets: Bath Ave and Cropsey Ave)
- Financial info: Financing options may include cash, bank mortgage, or exchange considered; This is a 20-unit multifamily property (unit mix includes 1–3 bedroom apartments; many units are leased with current rents shown in unit details); Reported monthly utility expense (operating figure) included in utilities
- HOA & community: Resident superintendent (building amenity)
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Security: Resident superintendent
- Utilities: Electric supply includes 110V and 220V with circuit breakers; Gas hot water and heating; Utility expense listed (operating figure)
- Home design: Detached residential building; Flat / rubber roof; Poured concrete foundation; Zoned R4
- Construction: Brick construction; Building footprint approximately 4,680 sq ft; Building dimensions roughly 78 x 60
- Exterior features: Front, side and back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Building total includes multiple bedrooms across units: Level 1 has 8 bedrooms, Level 2 has 9 bedrooms, Level 3 has 9 bedrooms, Level 4 has 9 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile floors; Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 20 full bathrooms total (distributed as 5 on each level 1–4)
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas-fired hot water; Wall and window A/C units
- Interior features: Wall and window air conditioning units (5+ units); Refrigerator; Stove
- Laundry & utility: No specific in-unit laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 12 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $3.16M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($156k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($44k rent vs $3.16M).
- Recommended offer: $2.78M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $44,044/mo this rent would consume 632% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $22k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $95k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $884k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.78M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $3.16M implies a 2005% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.63%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.96% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $547,238
- Equity at exit
- $470,868
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $2,594,341
- Equity at exit
- $273,046
Cash invested: $884,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11228
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 71.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $44,044 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$16,561
- Tax from tax record
- −$3,925 /mo · $47,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,316
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$9,249
- Net cashflow
- $12,993
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $14,780 | -5% $13,886 | +0% $12,993 | +5% $12,099 | +10% $11,205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $9,513 | -5% $11,253 | +0% $12,993 | +5% $14,732 | +10% $16,472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $14,583 | -0.5pp $13,796 | base $12,993 | +0.5pp $12,174 | +1.0pp $11,342 |
12-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12× units | 3 | — | $44,040 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #5 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #6 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #7 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #8 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #9 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #10 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #11 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| #12 | 3 | — | $3,670 |
| Total (12 units) | $44,044 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $789,500
- Closing costs
- $94,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $3,158,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $3,158,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $3,158,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $3,158,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $3,158,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,158,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $3,158,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $3,158,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $3,198,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $3,198,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2025-12-06$3,198,000 Active
-
2025-03-27price $3,580,000
-
2024-11-20price $3,780,000
-
1982-06-01soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $47,104 · $3,925/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $50,237 · $4,186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,133/yr (+$261/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $528,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$176,897
- − Property taxes
- −$47,104
- − Insurance
- −$15,790
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$42,282
- − Management
- −$42,282
- − Depreciation
- −$91,869
- Taxable income
- $112,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$26,953
- After-tax cash flow
- $128,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,241
- Household income
- $83,665
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Asian 36% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Chinese 28% Other Indo-European 12% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.00%
- Current HPI
- 381.4834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.96%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+2032.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2026-04-07 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $3,198,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $3,580,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-11-20 Price Changed $3,780,000 RLS at REBNY
- 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $47,104 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…