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2501 Creekside Ln
D+ Composite 48.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$319,900

2501 Creekside Ln · North Bend, OR 97459
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Manufactured public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1991 5,227 sqft lot $200/sqft · 65% above area $20/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.

Key facts

  • Double-sink vanity
  • Marble countertop
  • Private back deck

Tags

CORNER LOTPRIVATE BACK DECKSIDE PATIODOUBLE-SINK VANITYMARBLE COUNTERTOPFLEXSTONE STEP-IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-557/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (20.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $253k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#105 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $210k; list at $320k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $253,156 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.62%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,076
List price
$319,900
Delta
64.83%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2101 Lynne Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,716 (+7%) 16mo $430,000 $251 67
2505 Creekside Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (-12%) 18mo $296,700 $211 58
3104 Cedar St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-9%) 13mo $330,000 $227 42
2220 N 16th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,417 (-11%) 15mo $298,000 $210 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$171,205
Equity at exit
$288,191
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$506,371
Equity at exit
$621,495

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97459

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,532 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$216 /mo · $2,586/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$20
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,590
Max offer price $311,694
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
510 Lombard St North Bend, OR 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,200 $1.59 44d 1 1.16mi
971 Inlet Loop Coos Bay, OR 3.0 3.0 1792 $3,150 $1.76 44d 1 1.36mi
1449 Anderson Ave Coos Bay, OR 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,700 $1.51 44d 1 1.39mi
2146 Monroe Ave Unit 2146 North Bend, OR 3.0 1.5 1456 $2,100 $1.44 44d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$20 · $240/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $319,900 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,900 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,900 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,900 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $319,900 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $319,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,900 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,900 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $319,900 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $335,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $335,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $335,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,000 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $335,000 Active 106 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    price $335,000 969-char remark
    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.

  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $345,000 Active 969-char remark
    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.

  19. 2021-07-26
    soldstatus $210,000 Sold 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!

  20. 2021-07-26
    soldstatus $210,000
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!

  21. 2021-06-10
    status Pending 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!

  22. 2021-05-22
    listed $210,000 Active 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!

  23. 2003-01-21
    soldstatus $114,000
  24. 2003-01-21
    soldstatus $114,100
  25. 2000-02-02
    listed $114,900
  26. 1997-09-10
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,586 · $216/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,103 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$517/yr (+$43/mo · 20.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥76°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,379
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$2,586
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,430
− Management
−$2,430
− HOA
−$240
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$6,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,472
After-tax cash flow
$914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Bend SD 13
NCES district ID
4108820
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,614
Composite
32.57/100
National rank
#5681
State rank
#21 of 58 in OR

Livability — North Bend

Score
72/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5876

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Bend, OR
Population (ZIP)
15,328

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,222 people
By 2030
61,120 · -1.8%
By 2040
58,478 · -6.0%
By 2050
56,819 · -8.7%
By 2075
54,915 · -11.7%
By 2100
51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.02%
Current HPI
887.7
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1020.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $335,000 RMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $345,000 RMLS
  • 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-26 Sold (MLS) $210,000 RMLS
  • 2021-06-10 Pending RMLS
  • 2021-05-22 Listed $210,000 RMLS
  • 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $114,100 Public Records
  • 2003-01-21 Sold (MLS) $114,000 RMLS
  • 2000-02-02 Listed $114,900 RMLS
  • 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,586 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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