2501 Creekside Ln · North Bend, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.
Key facts
- Double-sink vanity
- Marble countertop
- Private back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-557/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#105 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $210k; list at $320k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.62%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,076
- List price
- $319,900
- Delta
- 64.83%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2101 Lynne Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+7%) | 16mo | $430,000 | $251 | 67 |
| 2505 Creekside Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-12%) | 18mo | $296,700 | $211 | 58 |
| 3104 Cedar St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-9%) | 13mo | $330,000 | $227 | 42 |
| 2220 N 16th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,417 (-11%) | 15mo | $298,000 | $210 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $171,205
- Equity at exit
- $288,191
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $506,371
- Equity at exit
- $621,495
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97459
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,586/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Lombard St North Bend, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 971 Inlet Loop Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1792 | $3,150 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1449 Anderson Ave Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2146 Monroe Ave Unit 2146 North Bend, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $319,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $319,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $319,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $335,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $335,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $335,000 969-char remark
Show marketing remark (969 chars)
Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.
-
2026-02-13$345,000 Active 969-char remark
Show marketing remark (969 chars)
Spacious & Updated 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in 55+ Community.Located on a desirable corner lot, this well-maintained home offers comfort, space, and thoughtful upgrades throughout—all in a welcoming 55+ community. Enjoy two generous living areas, perfect for entertaining or relaxing, along with a private back deck and side patio for outdoor enjoyment. The attached garage provides convenience and additional storage.Inside, the primary suite features a double-sink vanity with a marble countertop, Flexstone step-in shower, and skylight for natural light. The main bathroom is equally well-appointed with granite counters and a second Flexstone step-in shower. Additional highlights include granite kitchen countertops, heat pump for efficient climate control, a whole house air purifier, and a spacious layout that makes daily living easy and enjoyable.If you're seeking a low-maintenance home with quality finishes and an excellent location, this is one to see.
-
2021-07-26soldstatus $210,000 Sold 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!
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2021-07-26soldstatus $210,000
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!
-
2021-06-10status Pending 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!
-
2021-05-22$210,000 Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Spacious 2BR, 2BA home in a 55 plus community. Nice corner lot, great kitchen, and attached garage. Lots of potential for only $210,000!
-
2003-01-21soldstatus $114,000
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2003-01-21soldstatus $114,100
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2000-02-02$114,900
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1997-09-10soldstatus $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,586 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,103 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- +$517/yr (+$43/mo · 20.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥76°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,379
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$2,586
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,430
- − Management
- −$2,430
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$6,133
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bend SD 13
- NCES district ID
- 4108820
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,614
- Composite
- 32.57/100
- National rank
- #5681
- State rank
- #21 of 58 in OR
Livability — North Bend
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bend, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.02%
- Current HPI
- 887.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1020.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $335,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $345,000 RMLS
- 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-26 Sold (MLS) $210,000 RMLS
- 2021-06-10 Pending — RMLS
- 2021-05-22 Listed $210,000 RMLS
- 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $114,100 Public Records
- 2003-01-21 Sold (MLS) $114,000 RMLS
- 2000-02-02 Listed $114,900 RMLS
- 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,586 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…