11002 Hammerly Boulevard Blvd #212 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2.5-bath townhome in the heart of the Energy Corridor. This spacious unit offers two living areas, in-unit laundry, a private balcony, and two assigned parking spaces directly behind the home. Interior features include fresh paint, luxury vinyl flooring, a welcoming family room, and a well-kept kitchen with granite countertops, updated cabinets, and stainless-steel appliances. Bedrooms are generously sized with walk-in closets, and the bathrooms have been refreshed for comfort and style. Enjoy an easy walk to the community pool and gym, plus quick access to City Centre, I-10, Beltway 8, Katy, and Downtown. A solid opportunity in a prime location you won’t
Key facts
- Updated cabinets
- Community pool
- Private balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association managed by Creative Management Company; Community pool; Clubhouse
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; 2 stories; Built in 1976; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (approx. 14 x 12); Bedroom on second floor (approx. 12 x 10); Bedroom on second floor (approx. 12 x 10)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen open to family room; Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-243 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Spring Branch ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #215 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sherwood El (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,500 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 460 students, 66% FRL); Spring Forest Middle (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 962 students, 56% FRL); Stratford H S (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 2,272 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $164k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.34%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,542
- List price
- $164,000
- Delta
- 2.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-47,100
- Equity at exit
- $24,453
- IRR
- -77.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.75×
- Total profit
- $-80,457
- Equity at exit
- $14,180
Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77043
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,865 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$860
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
- −$464
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $-243
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,000
- Closing costs
- $4,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10829 Hammerly Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $2,064 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10850 Hammerly Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,320 | $2.63 | 2d | 22 | 0.25mi |
| 1888 Brittmoore Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $2,025 | $2.24 | 1d | 13 | 0.26mi |
| 1599 Brittmoore Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,983 | $1.75 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1839 Sherwood Forest St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1752 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10580 Hammerly Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 987 | $1,357 | $1.37 | 1d | 31 | 1.04mi |
| 1707 Upland Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,309 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1707 Upland Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,465 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1707 Upland Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,465 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11918 Clay Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,014 | $2.11 | 7d | 34 | 1.27mi |
| 11810 Clay Rd Unit 1738 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11810 Clay Rd Unit 90222 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11810 Clay Rd Unit 60228 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,575 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1701 Upland Dr Houston, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1340 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 43d | 8 | 1.32mi |
| 1521 Sherwood Forest St Apt 303 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,379 | $1.23 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1521 Sherwood Forest St Apt 1203 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1188 | $1,299 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1521 Sherwood Forest St Unit 702 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1108 | $1,359 | $1.23 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1521 Sherwood Forest St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 878 | $1,459 | $1.66 | 24d | 16 | 1.36mi |
| 2226 Triway Ln #100 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1584 | $1,900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 11019 Cane Oak Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1980 | $2,650 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $164,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-13$165,000 Active 716-char remark
-
2021-09-15soldstatus
-
2021-07-12soldstatus
-
2016-03-21historical
-
2015-09-22$99,000 Active
-
2015-07-14soldstatus
-
2014-07-08historical
-
2014-06-06$75,000 Active
-
2011-07-12soldstatus
-
2011-07-01soldstatus
-
2011-06-28historical
-
2011-05-16$48,900
-
2011-04-29historical
-
2010-07-21$47,500
-
2006-01-19historical
-
2005-10-20$75,900
-
2005-08-31historical
-
2005-02-09$75,500
-
2004-11-25historical
-
2004-05-06$77,500
-
2000-10-11soldstatus
-
2000-10-01soldstatus $57,639
-
1997-01-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,882 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,882 · $324/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,187
- − Property taxes
- −$3,882
- − Insurance
- −$820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − HOA
- −$5,568
- − Depreciation
- −$4,771
- Taxable loss
- −$5,428
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,303
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Branch ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841100
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,311
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3624
- State rank
- #215 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,048
- Household income
- $79,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1667.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 37% Two or more races 25% Black 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 36% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -283.51%
- Current HPI
- 286.4053
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.86%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+184.5% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $164,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2021-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-03-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-09-22 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2015-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-07-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $75,000 HARMLS
- 2011-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-07-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2011-06-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-05-16 Listed $48,900 HARMLS
- 2011-04-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-07-21 Listed $47,500 HARMLS
- 2006-01-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2005-10-20 Listed $75,900 HARMLS
- 2005-08-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2005-02-09 Listed $75,500 HARMLS
- 2004-11-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2004-05-06 Listed $77,500 HARMLS
- 2000-10-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,639 Public Records
- 1997-01-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,882 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…