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2870 Riser Rd
D Composite 41.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2870 Riser Rd · Ruston, LA 71270
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 1.92 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this 2023 single wide mobile home situated on approximately 1.92 +/- acres in a peaceful setting. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home measures approximately 14x64 and offers a comfortable open-concept layout with the living area and kitchen flowing together for easy everyday living. The split-bedroom floor plan provides added privacy, with each bedroom located on opposite ends of the home. The property is set back from the road and shares a driveway with the neighboring home, while still offering a quiet retreat where you can enjoy the outdoors and nature around you. Call a local REALTOR today to schedule your private showing!

Key facts

  • Open-concept layout
  • 1.92 acre lot
  • Built 2023

Tags

APPROXIMATELY 1.92 ACRESOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Gravel parking surface
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Natural gas not available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One level; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Irregular lot; Paved road access; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane windows; Window blinds; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-160/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (1.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (13.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Ruston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#86 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Jackson Parish (rural): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #50 of 98 in LA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Jonesboro-Hodge Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #633 of 646 statewide, top 99%, 340 students, 84% FRL); Jonesboro-Hodge Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #192 of 218 statewide, top 88%, 162 students, 77% FRL); Jonesboro-Hodge High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #239 of 265 statewide, top 91%, 228 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jackson Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 277 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency.
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,663 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-17,046
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,988
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71270

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
277
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,077 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $123,074
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $73 -5% $30 +0% $-13 +5% $-57 +10% $-100
Rent -10% $-98 -5% $-56 +0% $-13 +5% $29 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $50 -0.5pp $18 base $-13 +0.5pp $-46 +1.0pp $-79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-05-18
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,920
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,034
− Management
−$1,034
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$549
After-tax cash flow
$389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 23 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2023 single-wide mobile home is in excellent condition with new updates throughout, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances safety and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances safety and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Parish
NCES district ID
2200780
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$37,823
Composite
23.36/100
National rank
#7909
State rank
#50 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ruston

Score
68/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#9522

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lincoln Parish · 32,885 people
City population
32,885
Metro
Ruston, LA
Population (ZIP)
32,885
Household income
$36,791
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2476.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,022 people
By 2030
14,489 · -3.5%
By 2040
13,361 · -11.1%
By 2050
12,269 · -18.3%
By 2075
9,848 · -34.4%
By 2100
7,510 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -35.3pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+37.5 2008: R+35.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.69%
Current HPI
212.8211
Rent YoY
▲ 6.60%
Metro
Ruston, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $125,000 NELABOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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