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209 Lajodepa St
D Composite 43.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$175,000

209 Lajodepa St · Grand Saline, TX 75140
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition 0.32 ac lot Est $176k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

family friendly 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on a nice quiet street. Features include a metal roof, central heat and air, galley style kitchen, large living area with brick wood burning fireplace, carport and HUGE backyard complete with wood privacy fence. Plenty of room for the kids and pets to play and run! Perfect starter home. HOME HAS A LIFETIME FULLY TRANSFERABLE WARRANTY FOR THE FOUNDATION. SALE EXCLUDES REFRIGERATOR.

Key facts

  • Durable metal roof
  • Fresh paint
  • Flexible bonus room

Tags

FLEXIBLE BONUS ROOMUPDATED FLOORINGFRESH PAINTMODERN FIXTURESWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEDURABLE METAL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: Buchanan Realty; Listing agent: Brad Buchanan
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking area
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1973 (preowned)
  • Exterior features: Lot under half an acre (approximately 0.32 acre); Subdivision: Richland Heights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Two living areas; One dining area; Room count of 3; Fireplace (wood burning) in living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-957/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Grand Saline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#800 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Grand Saline ISD (town): math 38% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #520 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grand Saline El (308 students, 68% FRL); Grand Saline Middle (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 273 students, 59% FRL); Grand Saline H S (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 341 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,995 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.95%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,938
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 N Oaks Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,269 (+2%) 1mo $168,000 $132 92
1209 Lakeside Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,269 (+2%) 2mo $199,900 $158 85
208 De Gail St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+7%) 11mo $199,000 $150 77
119 E High St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,189 (-4%) 13mo $199,999 $168 52
523 Clearwater Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+12%) 4mo $169,900 $122 51
1273 Vz County Road 1803 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-9%) 14mo $159,900 $142 47
800 N Main St 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,328 (+7%) 17mo $169,000 $127 46
219 E Jordan St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,418 (+14%) 2mo $59,900 $42 45
409 N Spring St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-11%) 12mo $165,000 $150 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$13,186
Equity at exit
$75,668
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$57,688
Equity at exit
$114,317

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75140

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$-80

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $163,464
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $-19 +0% $-80 +5% $-140 +10% $-201
Rent -10% $-193 -5% $-136 +0% $-80 +5% $-23 +10% $33
Rate -1.0pp $8 -0.5pp $-35 base $-80 +0.5pp $-125 +1.0pp $-171

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
543 Bradburn Rd Unit 101 Grand Saline, TX 2.0 1.0 1169 $1,500 $1.28 16d 1 0.47mi
1024 N Spring St Grand Saline, TX 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,500 $1.03 46d 1 0.50mi
605 W Hill St Grand Saline, TX 3.0 1.5 1032 $1,275 $1.24 16d 1 1.02mi
1260 Vz County Road 1810 Unit 1810 Grand Saline, TX 2.0 1.0 864 $1,195 $1.38 46d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $175,000 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active Option Contract 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active Option Contract 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active Option Contract 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $175,000 Active Option Contract 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    status $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-16
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,159
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$3,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$955
After-tax cash flow
$-2/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 16 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a spacious backyard and storage shed is in good condition and ready for move-in.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Saline ISD
NCES district ID
4821450
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,621
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6365
State rank
#520 of 826 in TX

Livability — Grand Saline

Score
64/100
State rank
#800
US rank
#14580

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Saline, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,596

Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,634 people
By 2030
56,479 · +1.5%
By 2040
57,672 · +3.7%
By 2050
57,913 · +4.1%
By 2075
57,544 · +3.4%
By 2100
52,659 · -5.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.69%
Current HPI
215.5979
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-06-10 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-03-31 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2015-01-09 Listed $69,500 GTAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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