153 River St · Grantsville, WV
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this home with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, dining room, kitchen, and nice level yard. The 4 bedrooms have hardwood floors and are very large. This home is within close distances to local shops in town. Price to sell $54900.
Key facts
- Level yard
- Hardwood floors
- Local shops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community features include golf and pool
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot; River frontage; On the waterfront (river front)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Ceiling fans; Central heating; Central air; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#162 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Calhoun County Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #46 of 55 in WV (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Hill School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #225 of 377 statewide, top 68%, 176 students, 0% FRL); Calhoun Middle/High School (math 11% / reading 34%, grade F, #96 of 110 statewide, top 87%, 524 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Calhoun County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.87%
- DSCR
- 4.51
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,918
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Elm St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (-13%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $58 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $26,202
- Equity at exit
- $21,826
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.83×
- Total profit
- $65,077
- Equity at exit
- $37,034
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26147
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $288 | +0% $274 | +5% $260 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $223 | +0% $274 | +5% $324 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $294 | -0.5pp $284 | base $274 | +0.5pp $264 | +1.0pp $253 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-23price $39,900
-
2026-04-16price $44,900
-
2026-03-26status Active
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-02-20price $49,900
-
2026-01-19price $54,900
-
2025-12-22$59,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$5,724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $3,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$760
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400210
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,492
- Composite
- 21.15/100
- National rank
- #8429
- State rank
- #46 of 55 in WV
Livability — Grantsville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #162
- US rank
- #15330
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grantsville, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,873
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,927 people
- By 2030
- 6,570 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 5,799 · -16.3%
- By 2050
- 5,071 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 3,678 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 2,580 · -62.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.8) · D 16.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.8 2020: R+60.5 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+22.6 2008: R+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Current HPI
- 144.026
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-33.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $39,900 NCWVREIN
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $44,900 NCWVREIN
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — NCWVREIN
- 2026-03-18 Pending — NCWVREIN
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $49,900 NCWVREIN
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $54,900 NCWVREIN
- 2025-12-22 Listed $59,900 NCWVREIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…