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C Composite 58.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

None · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1951 6,969 sqft lot $104/sqft · 22% above area Est $53k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a timeless single-family residence at 223 Nadine ST, Cahokia IL 62206, built in 1951, offering a unique opportunity to embrace a vibrant lifestyle in a home with enduring character. This thoughtfully crafted property invites you to envision your future within its charming walls. To truly appreciate the possibilities this property offers, schedule your private viewing today. This property has been recently renovated and is a blank slate ready for someone's creative hands to make it a home for themselves or someone else.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported from public records
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking surface
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Public water; Ameren electric; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; House; Private ownership; Property listed as fixer and updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built year from public records
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Awning(s) on porch/patio; Panel door(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen/dining room combo; Accessible central living area; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $65k implies a 1200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.73%
Cash-on-cash
26.57%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,439
List price
$65,000
Delta
21.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
227 Nadine St 0.02mi 2/1.0 624 (0%) 0mo $100,000 $160 95
211 Judith Ln 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 672 (+8%) 1mo $60,000 $89 74
208 Nadine St 0.09mi 2/1.0 680 (+9%) 8mo $100,000 $147 70
207 Edwards St 0.31mi 2/1.0 672 (+8%) 2mo $100,000 $149 68
457 Godin Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 608 (-3%) 16mo $95,000 $156 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$15,151
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$46,305
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $936/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $565
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $995 $1.48 4d 1 0.08mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 14d 1 0.51mi
115 Jerome Ln Unit 3 Sauget, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 0.52mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-12
    listed $65,000 Active 534-char remark
  10. 2026-05-08
    historical $65,000 534-char remark
  11. 2024-11-22
    status Active
  12. 2024-11-13
    historical
  13. 2024-09-13
    status Active
  14. 2024-08-23
    historical
  15. 2024-08-15
    listed $72,333 Active
  16. 2024-08-13
    historical
  17. 2017-08-21
    price $21,500
  18. 1994-07-07
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$936 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,206 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$22/mo · 28.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,896
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$936
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,032
− Management
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,040
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$970
After-tax cash flow
$3,867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1200.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-13 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-13 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-23 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-15 Listed $72,333 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-13 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-21 Price Changed $21,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $936 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…