812 Primrose Ln · Pilot Point, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Spacious kitchen
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-415 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (26.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#613 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Pilot Point ISD (town): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #303 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 491 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 190 units permitted in Cooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.47%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,227
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -16.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Orchid Way | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,899 (-5%) | 1mo | $294,990 | $155 | 85 |
| 743 Orchid Way | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,899 (-5%) | 0mo | $300,490 | $158 | 85 |
| 829 Primrose Ln | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 2,088 (+5%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $156 | 84 |
| 821 Orchid Way | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 | 2,090 (+5%) | 1mo | $304,990 | $146 | 81 |
| 721 Orchid Way | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 2,090 (+5%) | 1mo | $304,990 | $146 | 79 |
| 764 Tiger Lily Way | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,899 (-5%) | 4mo | $294,990 | $155 | 79 |
| 834 Snowdrop Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,123 (+6%) | 1mo | $367,990 | $173 | 76 |
| 811 Orchid Way | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,779 (-11%) | 1mo | $294,490 | $166 | 76 |
| 826 Snowdrop Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,128 (+7%) | 1mo | $376,990 | $177 | 75 |
| 749 Orchid Way | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,779 (-11%) | 0mo | $288,990 | $162 | 75 |
| 744 Orchid Way | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 2,152 (+8%) | 0mo | $325,490 | $151 | 74 |
| 768 Tiger Lily Way | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,779 (-11%) | 4mo | $348,990 | $196 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-70,800
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -25.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-94,864
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76258
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 491
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$554 /mo · $6,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$71
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-415
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-260 | -5% $-337 | +0% $-415 | +5% $-493 | +10% $-571 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-592 | -5% $-504 | +0% $-415 | +5% $-327 | +10% $-239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-277 | -0.5pp $-345 | base $-415 | +0.5pp $-486 | +1.0pp $-559 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 764 Primrose Ln Tioga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,200 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 811 Orchid Way Pilot Point, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,288 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 744 Orchid Way Pilot Point, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2242 | $2,400 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2310 Hydrangea Dr Pilot Point, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1893 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 598 Minnie Ln Pilot Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 579 Ruthye Ln Pilot Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $2,199 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 766 Carson Ln Pilot Point, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1736 | $2,320 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 721 N Jefferson St Pilot Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1485 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 721 N Jefferson St Unit 1188 Pilot Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,875 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 721 N Jefferson St Unit 1153 Pilot Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $71 · $852/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $275,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $275,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $275,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-04-08price $290,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-03-25status Active 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-02-17status Pending 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-02-11historical Active Option Contract 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-02-10price $315,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2026-01-20price $305,000 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
-
2025-12-26$307,000 Active 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Welcome to this stunning 5-bedroom, 2-bath home built in 2023, offering a perfect blend of modern design and everyday comfort. The open-concept layout is accented by contemporary finishes and abundant natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an island, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter space ideal for entertaining family and friends. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office, guest space, or growing household. Step outside to enjoy a private, fenced backyard, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or outdoor gatherings. The nearby community pool offers a fun atmosphere for families to cool off, play, and unwind on warm summer days. Conveniently located in the heart of Pilot Point, close to schools, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers comfort, design, and a welcoming neighborhood lifestyle all in one place. Discounted rate options and no lender fee for future refinancing may be available for qualified buyers of this home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,654 · $554/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,654 · $554/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$6,654
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,147
- − Management
- −$2,147
- − HOA
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$9,739
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2023-built home offers a modern and well-maintained interior with a spacious kitchen and two bathrooms. The exterior is clean and landscaped, making it an attractive property for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers and renters.
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can enhance the home's appeal to potential buyers.
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract renters looking for energy-efficient homes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can enhance the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract renters looking for energy-efficient homes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pilot Point ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,332
- Composite
- 36.85/100
- National rank
- #4555
- State rank
- #303 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pilot Point
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #613
- US rank
- #11604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pilot Point, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,042
Population outlook (Cooke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,965 people
- By 2030
- 39,974 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 39,772 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 39,258 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 37,262 · -6.8%
- By 2100
- 33,363 · -16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 19% Black 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cooke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.9) · D 16.2% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -58.7pp · 2024: -66.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.9 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+68.1 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+58.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.12%
- Current HPI
- 303.4015
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-10.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $290,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $315,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $305,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-26 Listed $307,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+209.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,654 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…