Multi-family
115 S Front St · Milton, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#951 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, health & safety D.
- Milton Area SD (town): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #264 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,260/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 112% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.37%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,344
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- 28.96%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $25,573
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $103,326
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17847
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 18.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$685
- Net cashflow
- $986
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 1 | 0.5 | $1,020 |
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,240 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,120 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,120 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,260 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Wilson Cir Milton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2531 | $1,600 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-19days on market $230,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $230,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $230,000 Active 266 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-03-09status Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.
-
2025-09-03$230,000 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,130
- − Management
- −$3,130
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $8,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,085
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
A moderate rehab project is needed to address exterior and interior wear, with updates to the HVAC and bathrooms providing significant value increases.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — No visible damage, but age is unknown
- Major bathrooms — No visible damage, but age is unknown
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace HVAC — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No visible damage, but age is unknown | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No visible damage, but age is unknown | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace HVAC — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215480
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,428
- Composite
- 38.87/100
- National rank
- #4101
- State rank
- #264 of 539 in PA
Livability — Milton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #951
- US rank
- #10433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milton, PA
- County
- Northumberland County · 11,260 people
- City population
- 11,260
- Metro
- Sunbury, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,260
- Household income
- $58,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 112.0
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 7% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.06%
- Current HPI
- 197.0117
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sunbury, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — CSVBR
- 2025-09-03 Listed $230,000 CSVBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…