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115 S Front St Multi-family
C+ Composite 61.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

115 S Front St · Milton, PA 17847
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,862 sqft · MultiFamily · 281 Days on market
Built 1900 Fair condition 2,613 sqft lot $80/sqft · 29% above area Est $178k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.

Key facts

  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#951 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, health & safety D.
  • Milton Area SD (town): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #264 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,260/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 112% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $202,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.37%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,344
List price
$230,000
Delta
28.96%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$25,573
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$103,326
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17847

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
18.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,260 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$685
Net cashflow
$986

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,012
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 65%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 0.5 $1,020
Total (3 units) $3,260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 Wilson Cir Milton, PA 3.0 1.0 2531 $1,600 $0.63 43d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $230,000 Active 281 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 280 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 279 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 275 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $230,000 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 271 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 270 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $230,000 Active 266 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 265 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 264 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 263 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 262 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active 261 DOM
  17. 2026-03-09
    status Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.

  18. 2025-09-03
    listed $230,000 Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Small commercial rental with two apartments. Commercial area is one room and half-bath. A one-bedroom apartment is on the first floor behind the commercial unit and a larger two-bedroom apartment is on the second floor. Parking for two vehicles behind the building - currently assigned as one space per residential unit. Sq Ftg obtained through Northumberland County tax assessment.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,120
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,130
− Management
−$3,130
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$8,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,085
After-tax cash flow
$9,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

A moderate rehab project is needed to address exterior and interior wear, with updates to the HVAC and bathrooms providing significant value increases.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — No visible damage, but age is unknown
  • Major bathrooms — No visible damage, but age is unknown

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace HVAC — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
bathrooms · No visible damage, but age is unknown Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace HVAC — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milton Area SD
NCES district ID
4215480
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,428
Composite
38.87/100
National rank
#4101
State rank
#264 of 539 in PA

Livability — Milton

Score
67/100
State rank
#951
US rank
#10433

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milton, PA
County
Northumberland County · 11,260 people
City population
11,260
Metro
Sunbury, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,260
Household income
$58,775
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
112.0

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.06%
Current HPI
197.0117
Rent YoY
Metro
Sunbury, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted CSVBR
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $230,000 CSVBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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