2316 R St · Richmond, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Richmond Best Buy * * Now is the time to buy this fabulous "4-bedroom" Home in Fairmount Park. This property was renovated a few years ago and has been a great rental for those years. Tenant just moved out and seller wants to sell. Property will be sold in As-Is condition, with no known defects. Property has 4 bedrooms, vinyl siding, HVAC, off street parking and a privacy fence. There is 1 bedroom on the first floor and 3 on the second floor, only 1 has a closet. Property just needs a shinning and is pretty much move in ready right now. Priced to sell so get here fast. Drive by and take a look today.
Key facts
- Hvac
- Off street parking
- Privacy fence
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built prior to current year (existing structure)
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Partial carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub and shower; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Electric heating
- Interior features: Bedroom on main level; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($177/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $230k implies a 784% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.27%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,878
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911 N 23rd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,284 (-1%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $202 | 68 |
| 2009 X St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (-4%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $173 | 67 |
| 510 N 28th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,320 (+2%) | 0mo | $435,000 | $330 | 66 |
| 3212 Q St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-4%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $284 | 66 |
| 870 Jessamine St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (+14%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $199 | 62 |
| 1209 N 19th St | 0.29mi | 3/3.0 | 1,424 (+10%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $211 | 62 |
| 1109 N 20th St | 0.23mi | 3/3.0 | 1,477 (+14%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $227 | 59 |
| 708 N 21st St | 0.44mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 1mo | $392,000 | $280 | 57 |
| 2012 Venable St | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,472 (+13%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $279 | 53 |
| 1829 N 29th St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,167 (-10%) | 0mo | $126,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 1601 Rogers St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,484 (+14%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $195 | 41 |
| 2117 Ford Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+11%) | 4mo | $199,990 | $139 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-29,529
- Equity at exit
- $34,286
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $5,392
- Equity at exit
- $19,882
Cash invested: $64,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23223
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,937 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,568/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $145 | -5% $80 | +0% $15 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-138 | -5% $-62 | +0% $15 | +5% $91 | +10% $168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $131 | -0.5pp $73 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,488
- Closing costs
- $6,898
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2209 Fairmount Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2200 Carrington St Unit 300 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,435 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2200 Carrington St Unit 301 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,435 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1107 N 27th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1792 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1108 N 21st St Unit B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2016 Fairmount Ave Apt 2 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,007 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2016 Fairmount Ave Apt 2 Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,007 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1427 N 22nd St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,700 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1004 1/2 N 21st St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 901 N 27th St Apt 1 Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2820 Q St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,195 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 803 N 26th St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,849 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1408 N 29th St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1528 | $1,150 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2914 R St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1404 N 30th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,195 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1617 N 21st St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,825 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3018 S St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $2,645 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1603 N 29th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3102 P St Unit B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $1,995 | $1.52 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2003 Cedar St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2906 Nine Mile Rd Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,845 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 517 N 21st St Unit 517B Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1447 | $1,884 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 500 N 18th St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $1,837 | $2.49 | 2d | 11 | 0.64mi |
| 1614 N 19th St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $2,395 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2106 Newbourne St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,875 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1903 E Marshall St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 723 | $1,799 | $2.49 | 2d | 57 | 0.69mi |
| 507 N 32nd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2001 E Broad St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,790 | $2.14 | 2d | 4 | 0.73mi |
| 15 N 18th St Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 852 | $1,438 | $1.69 | 15d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 1806 Sussex St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2201 E Franklin St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 905 | $2,349 | $2.59 | 4d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 2153 Cool Ln Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,080 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2213 E Franklin St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,049 | $2.38 | 5d | 6 | 0.87mi |
| 16 N 22nd St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $1,675 | $1.98 | 4d | 7 | 0.87mi |
| 3508 E Clay St Unit A Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,899 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1806 E Franklin St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,005 | $2.85 | 2d | 12 | 0.89mi |
| 2001 E Franklin St Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 761 | $1,862 | $2.45 | 4d | 34 | 0.90mi |
| 1901 E Franklin St Apt 5 Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1530 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,950 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,950 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,950 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,950 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,950 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 617-char remark
-
2026-06-08$229,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,568 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,568 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,881
- − Property taxes
- −$2,568
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,860
- − Management
- −$1,860
- − Depreciation
- −$6,689
- Taxable loss
- −$3,761
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$903
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103240
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,276
- Composite
- 33.09/100
- National rank
- #5564
- State rank
- #123 of 131 in VA
Livability — Richmond
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond, VA
- County
- Henrico County · 334,490 people
- City population
- 287,109
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,659
- Household income
- $55,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3530.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,263 people
- By 2030
- 284,503 · +8.5%
- By 2040
- 327,353 · +24.8%
- By 2050
- 367,946 · +40.3%
- By 2075
- 449,560 · +71.4%
- By 2100
- 500,301 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -257.81%
- Current HPI
- 324.0589
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.38%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+1696.5% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $229,950 CVRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $249,500 CVRMLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $249,750 CVRMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $249,850 CVRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $249,950 CVRMLS
- 2023-08-22 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2023-08-15 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2023-08-09 Price Changed $235,000 CVRMLS
- 2023-07-31 Price Changed $275,000 CVRMLS
- 2023-06-29 Listed $285,000 CVRMLS
- 2020-10-06 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2020-09-25 Price Changed $182,900 CVRMLS
- 2020-09-21 Price Changed $184,900 CVRMLS
- 2020-09-15 Price Changed $187,900 CVRMLS
- 2020-09-02 Price Changed $199,900 CVRMLS
- 2020-09-02 Listed $1,999,900 CVRMLS
- 2020-08-28 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2020-08-18 Price Changed $205,000 CVRMLS
- 2020-07-25 Listed $215,000 CVRMLS
- 2019-03-02 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2019-02-20 Listed $199,950 CVRMLS
- 2009-09-22 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2008-03-31 Sold (MLS) $26,000 CVRMLS
- 2008-03-31 Sold (MLS) $26,000 CVRMLS
- 2008-02-22 Listed $30,900 CVRMLS
- 2008-02-22 Listed $30,900 CVRMLS
- 2007-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-10 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2005-09-09 Listed $89,950 CVRMLS
- 2005-09-09 Listed $89,950 CVRMLS
- 1987-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $12,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.6%/yrLatest (2022): $2,568 · +36.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…