141 Fabion St · Kyle, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* This home is a Short Sale * Rare opportunity to own a newer home at a fantastic price in the desirable Casetta Ranch community of Kyle! This beautifully designed home offers an open and bright floor plan with soaring 10-foot ceilings and wood-like tile flooring throughout the main living areas. The spacious kitchen features quartz silestone countertops, stainless steel range and dishwasher, and a seamless flow into the living and dining areas. The primary suite is conveniently located on the main floor and boasts dual vanities, two walk-in closets, and a large, walk-in shower. An abundance of windows fills the home with natural light, while a versatile bonus space can easily serve as an office, playroom, or gym. Step outside to the fantastic covered patio and backyard—perfect for BBQs or relaxing evenings. Just minutes from I-35 and close to Ascension Seton Hospital, HEB, Target, Costco, and La Verde Park, this location is as convenient as it is charming. The Casetta Ranch community offers top-notch amenities including a pool, playground, soccer field, dog park, and pickleball courts, making it a wonderful place to call home.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Backyard
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-543 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (28.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#138 in TX, #3,993 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Susie Fuentes El (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 650 students, 60% FRL); Armando Chapa Middle (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 668 students, 65% FRL); Lehman H S (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,120 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 43% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hays CISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 2406 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 76d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 435 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 435 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.90%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,138
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -32.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 Catalina Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (-2%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $163 | 92 |
| 120 Desperado St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,754 (-2%) | 2mo | $315,020 | $180 | 90 |
| 210 Backwater Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,830 (+2%) | 5mo | $306,087 | $167 | 78 |
| 1220 Teychas Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (+8%) | 5mo | $324,730 | $168 | 69 |
| 351 Town Lake Bnd | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,852 (+4%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 1240 Twin Estates Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (-0%) | 5mo | $248,900 | $140 | 66 |
| 212 Catalina Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,025 (+13%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $148 | 63 |
| 161 Britni Loop | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (-7%) | 0mo | $252,500 | $151 | 58 |
| 168 Lake Washington Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 160 Orion Cv | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,611 (-10%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 1531 Twin Estates Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-10%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 1205 Twin Estates Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-13%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $176 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-78,047
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -90.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.03×
- Total profit
- $-133,283
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 66 active · 22 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $299,945 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 266 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78640
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 2406
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,949 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$702 /mo · $8,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-543
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-410 | -5% $-476 | +0% $-543 | +5% $-609 | +10% $-676 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-697 | -5% $-620 | +0% $-543 | +5% $-466 | +10% $-389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-424 | -0.5pp $-483 | base $-543 | +0.5pp $-604 | +1.0pp $-666 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,195 | $1.31 | 113d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 125 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,725 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 124 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2025 | $1,950 | $0.96 | 9d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 164 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,799 | $1.25 | 110d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 196 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,795 | $1.35 | 76d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 171 Catalina Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 74d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 171 Catalina Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 76d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2771 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2051 | $1,950 | $0.95 | 59d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2771 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2051 | $2,050 | $1.00 | 76d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2801 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 98d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2751 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $1,695 | $0.95 | 28d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2751 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 6d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1209 Goforth Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $1,895 | $1.13 | 67d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 220 Fabion St Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,795 | $1.35 | 76d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2721 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 94d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2681 Winding Creek Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,875 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1361 Goforth Rd Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1885 | $1,700 | $0.90 | 28d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 308 Catalina Dr Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 195 Hortus Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $2,100 | $1.08 | 76d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 125 Chesterfield Dr Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $2,350 | $1.18 | 139d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 311 Chesterfield Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $1,899 | $0.98 | 139d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 621 Running Creek Dr Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2247 | $2,295 | $1.02 | 28d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 117 Keltic Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,749 | $1.22 | 42d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 110 Keltic Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,895 | $1.08 | 110d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 451 Hortus Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $1,975 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 411 Town Lake Bnd Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 85d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 401 Town Lake Bnd Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 139d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 109 Granite Shoals Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 101 LBJ Ln Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2356 | $2,095 | $0.89 | 42d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 115 Greenbelt Reservoir Pass Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1852 | $1,995 | $1.08 | 9d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 202 Eagle Mountain Trl #1 Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 42d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 245 Loon Lake Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 28d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 145 Greenbelt Reservoir Pass Unit 1546380P Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $3,393 | $2.22 | 110d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 205 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 119d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 205 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 117d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 204 Inks Ln Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $1,995 | $0.93 | 108d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 117 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2120 | $1,730 | $0.82 | 64d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1216 Violet Ln Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 42d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 133 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,745 | $1.22 | 9d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 289 Lake Washington Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,649 | $1.19 | 72d | 1 | 0.61mi |
HOA detail $50/mo · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $235,000 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $235,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $235,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $235,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $235,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $235,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $235,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $235,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $235,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $235,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $235,000 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $235,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $235,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $245,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $245,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $245,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $245,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $245,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $245,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $245,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $245,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $245,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $245,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $245,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $245,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $245,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $245,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $245,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $245,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $245,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $245,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $245,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $245,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $245,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $245,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $245,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-08-09price $245,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $250,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $250,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $250,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $250,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $250,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $250,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $250,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $250,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $250,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $250,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $250,000 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $250,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $250,000 Active 372 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,428 · $702/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,428 · $702/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$8,428
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,871
- − Management
- −$1,871
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$10,555
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,533
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-family home in Kyle, TX, offers a good condition with a good ROI for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hays CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4800010
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,570
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5118
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kyle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #3993
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kyle, TX
- County
- Hays County · 286,948 people
- City population
- 77,531
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 77,531
- Household income
- $90,075
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,948 people
- By 2030
- 336,923 · +17.4%
- By 2040
- 441,894 · +54.0%
- By 2050
- 553,462 · +92.9%
- By 2075
- 838,261 · +192.1%
- By 2100
- 1,063,658 · +270.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 36% Two or more races 29% Black 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Hays
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.64%
- Current HPI
- 181.7969
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.34%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $250,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-16 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-28 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $244,999 Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+73.0%/yrLatest (2025): $8,428 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…