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1276 Meridian Dr
D- Composite 38.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

1276 Meridian Dr · Forney, TX 75126
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,162 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 2017 7,144 sqft lot $146/sqft · 11% below area Est $355k · 11% under $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

Key facts

  • Flex space
  • Granite countertops
  • Coffee bar

Tags

LAMINATE WOOD FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSUPDATED TILE BACKSPLASHCOFFEE BARFLEX SPACEEXTENDED CONCRETE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-396 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (22.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $245k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Henderson El (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C, #705 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 737 students, 50% FRL); Warren Middle (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 903 students, 26% FRL); Forney H S (math 64% / reading 58%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,272 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $244,990 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.39%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,174
List price
$315,000
Delta
-11.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1276 Meridian Dr 0.00mi 4/3.0 2,162 (0%) 0mo $315,000 $146 96
1557 Wyler Dr 0.17mi 4/3.0 2,064 (-4%) 2mo $325,000 $157 79
1553 Sugarberry Dr 0.21mi 4/3.0 2,298 (+6%) 1mo $350,000 $152 75
1560 Seminole Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,020 (-7%) 1mo $330,000 $163 73
1817 Bachman Ln 0.35mi 4/3.0 2,243 (+4%) 0mo $427,000 $190 73
1246 Herring Dr 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,338 (+8%) 1mo $299,000 $128 68
1282 Herring Dr 0.35mi 4/2.5 2,338 (+8%) 2mo $297,990 $127 67
1526 Bushman Ln 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,237 (+4%) 2mo $405,000 $181 64
1817 Lockhart Dr 0.52mi 4/3.0 2,322 (+7%) 1mo $372,400 $160 58
1328 Parkdale St 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,389 (+10%) 1mo $389,000 $163 54
1510 Bushman Ln 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,389 (+10%) 2mo $359,000 $150 54
1821 Bachman Ln 0.37mi 4/3.0 2,474 (+14%) 2mo $375,000 $152 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-80,195
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-33.5%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-117,860
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75126

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
2200
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$628 /mo · $7,537/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$-396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,147
Max offer price $244,990
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-218 -5% $-307 +0% $-396 +5% $-485 +10% $-575
Rent -10% $-605 -5% $-501 +0% $-396 +5% $-292 +10% $-187
Rate -1.0pp $-238 -0.5pp $-316 base $-396 +0.5pp $-478 +1.0pp $-561

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1260 Meridian Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1960 $2,200 $1.12 4d 1 0.05mi
1304 Meridian Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 2037 $2,269 $1.11 18d 1 0.07mi
1644 Pegasus Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2810 $2,795 $0.99 45d 1 0.13mi
1593 Kessler Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1868 $2,349 $1.26 0d 1 0.15mi
1581 Ferguson Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1922 $2,200 $1.14 0d 1 0.17mi
1665 Sheldon Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.5 2907 $3,200 $1.10 14d 1 0.19mi
1557 Wyler Dr Unit 1557 Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2064 $2,850 $1.38 45d 1 0.19mi
1560 Seminole Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 2020 $2,400 $1.19 14d 1 0.22mi
1553 Sugarberry Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2348 $2,900 $1.24 16d 1 0.22mi
1840 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2717 $2,566 $0.94 8d 1 0.31mi
1736 Everglades Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.5 2333 $2,650 $1.14 45d 1 0.32mi
1832 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.5 2058 $2,400 $1.17 45d 1 0.32mi
1822 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2338 $2,010 $0.86 0d 1 0.35mi
1822 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2338 $2,076 $0.89 8d 1 0.35mi
1210 Lambert Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2338 $2,695 $1.15 25d 1 0.35mi
1818 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 3.0 2.5 2060 $2,115 $1.03 0d 1 0.36mi
1825 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 5.0 3.0 2306 $2,450 $1.06 45d 1 0.37mi
1282 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2344 $2,995 $1.28 25d 1 0.37mi
1926 Honey Creek Rd Forney, TX 4.0 4.5 2874 $3,000 $1.04 45d 1 0.37mi
1253 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1906 $2,350 $1.23 45d 1 0.38mi
1237 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2338 $2,400 $1.03 45d 1 0.39mi
1633 Glacier Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2698 $3,000 $1.11 8d 1 0.39mi
1246 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2338 $2,995 $1.28 16d 1 0.40mi
1238 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 1912 $2,450 $1.28 8d 1 0.40mi
1284 Caprock Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2982 $3,300 $1.11 25d 1 0.41mi
1213 Herring Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1876 $2,150 $1.15 8d 1 0.41mi
1312 Caprock Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2890 $3,400 $1.18 45d 1 0.41mi
1804 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2338 $2,151 $0.92 22d 1 0.42mi
1817 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2331 $2,950 $1.27 8d 1 0.51mi
1836 Big Spring Dr Forney, TX 5.0 3.0 2680 $2,900 $1.08 45d 1 0.52mi
1836 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1900 $2,450 $1.29 0d 1 0.56mi
1829 Pueblo St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,250 $1.23 0d 1 0.63mi
1816 Pueblo St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2204 $2,350 $1.07 45d 1 0.66mi
1869 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX 5.0 3.0 2300 $3,299 $1.43 0d 1 0.66mi
1820 Pueblo St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1900 $2,245 $1.18 45d 1 0.66mi
1832 Pueblo St Forney, TX 3.0 2.5 2060 $2,090 $1.01 3d 1 0.67mi
1874 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX 5.0 3.0 2212 $3,099 $1.40 20d 1 0.67mi
1876 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2058 $2,950 $1.43 45d 1 0.70mi
1888 Everglades Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1961 $3,235 $1.65 8d 1 0.70mi
1848 McCree St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,450 $1.27 45d 1 0.71mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr
Likely covers
gaslandscapingpool

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Active 1994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1994 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

  2. 2026-05-06
    historical Active Option Contract 1994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1994 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

  3. 2026-05-05
    price $315,000 1994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1994 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

  4. 2026-04-03
    price $325,000 1994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1994 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

  5. 2026-03-20
    listed $339,000 Active 1994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1994 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained Highland Home in the family friendly community of Gateway Parks in Forney, where comfort, style, and thoughtful upgrades come together seamlessly. This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 full bathroom home offers a functional layout designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Step inside to find laminate wood flooring flowing through the main living areas with carpet in the bedrooms for added comfort. The open concept design creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, centered around a cozy gas log fireplace that anchors the living space perfectly. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, featuring granite countertops, stylish updated tile backsplash, coffee bar and ample cabinetry, making it ideal for both cooking and gathering. Fresh interior paint completed within the last three years gives the home a clean, modern feel that is move in ready. In addition to the main living areas, the home offers a versatile office or dining room space, perfect for working from home, hosting dinners, or creating a flex space to fit your lifestyle. The primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a beautifully updated bath featuring tile finishes and a spacious layout. Three additional bedrooms and two full bathrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office setup. Step outside to enjoy the extended concrete patio, perfect for grilling, relaxing, or hosting friends and family. The backyard also includes a 7 x 7 storage shed that will convey with the property, offering extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. One of the standout features is the fully decked attic, providing an abundance of easily accessible storage rarely found in homes today. A two car garage completes this exceptional property. The amazing landscaping is the cherry on top of this move in ready home! Located in Gateway Parks, residents enjoy fantastic amenities including pools, parks, walking trails, and community events

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,537 · $628/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,537 · $628/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,746
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$7,537
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,540
− Management
−$2,540
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$10,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,437
After-tax cash flow
$-2,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forney ISD
NCES district ID
4819560
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$86,679
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3812
State rank
#234 of 826 in TX

Livability — Forney

Score
76/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#3339

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forney, TX
County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
84,799
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
84,799
Household income
$103,673
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.93%
Current HPI
148.5749
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $315,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $325,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $339,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+23.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,537 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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