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4911 Key Lime Dr Unit 108
D Composite 43.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,000

4911 Key Lime Dr Unit 108 · Jacksonville, FL 32256
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,145 sqft · Condo public records · 166 Days on market
Built 2012

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

Key facts

  • Built 2012
  • Listed 166 days

Tags

LAKESIDE GROUND FLOOR CONDOKITCHEN APPLIANCES CONVEYSTACK WASHER DRYER CONVEYSMARTINIQUE FLOOR PLANSPLIT BEDROOM ARRANGEMENTABUNDANCE OF CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-923/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 513 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.74%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.58% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-28,300
Equity at exit
$40,434
10-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-37,152
Equity at exit
$38,180

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32256

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
513
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,718 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,249/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
$260
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$-77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,815
Max offer price $175,410
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8201 Green Parrot Rd #202 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,450 $1.27 23d 1 0.07mi
8215 Green Parrot Rd #103 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 978 $1,429 $1.46 11d 1 0.09mi
4931 Key Lime Dr #205 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 927 $1,350 $1.46 21d 1 0.11mi
8649 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $2,007 $1.84 1d 21 0.15mi
8409 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1110 $1,695 $1.53 23d 1 0.15mi
8235 Lobster Bay Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1151 $1,500 $1.30 14d 2 0.17mi
8235 Lobster Bay Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1151 $1,500 $1.30 17d 2 0.17mi
8235 Lobster Bay Ct #206 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1158 $1,500 $1.30 23d 1 0.17mi
8362 Retrograde Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 3.0 1009 $1,650 $1.64 3d 1 0.17mi
8362 Retrograde Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1009 $1,650 $1.64 16d 1 0.17mi
4974 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 927 $1,650 $1.78 23d 1 0.19mi
8330 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0 3.0 1109 $1,650 $1.49 23d 1 0.21mi
8330 Zenith Cir Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1109 $1,650 $1.49 23d 1 0.21mi
8319 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1110 $1,700 $1.53 14d 1 0.21mi
8241 Pelican Landing Rd #206 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1158 $1,500 $1.30 21d 1 0.21mi
4982 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,575 $1.38 21d 1 0.21mi
4982 Key Lime Dr #107 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,600 $1.40 2d 1 0.21mi
8317 Asteroid St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1109 $1,650 $1.49 23d 1 0.23mi
5006 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,335 $1.25 20d 2 0.24mi
5006 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,335 $1.25 21d 2 0.24mi
5006 Key Lime Dr #206 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1158 $1,370 $1.18 12d 1 0.25mi
5006 Key Lime Dr #206 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1158 $1,370 $1.18 13d 1 0.25mi
8283 Meridian Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1582 $2,475 $1.56 2d 5 0.27mi
8681 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $2,039 $1.85 1d 22 0.29mi
8181 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–3.0 1055 $3,262 $3.09 3d 40 0.40mi
4890 Florida Club Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1298 $1,840 $1.42 1d 14 0.52mi
8450 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1194 $2,115 $1.77 3d 19 0.53mi
8876 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–3.0 1050 $2,429 $2.31 2d 35 0.58mi
7738 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 960 $2,187 $2.28 1d 13 0.59mi
8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,899 $1.91 14d 5 0.60mi
8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,899 $1.91 4d 4 0.60mi
8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,899 $1.91 17d 7 0.60mi
8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,899 $1.91 13d 6 0.60mi
8451 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1107 $2,187 $1.97 10d 21 0.74mi
9734 Tapestry Park Cir Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1094 $2,128 $1.94 1d 41 0.76mi
7524 Southside Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,350 $1.74 16d 10 0.79mi
8290 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,600 $1.59 23d 5 0.83mi
8290 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $1,450 $1.53 1d 8 0.83mi
4870 Deer Lake Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 953 $1,980 $2.08 1d 1 0.90mi
7595 Baymeadows Cir W Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1027 $1,657 $1.61 1d 29 0.92mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 166 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 165 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,000 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-03-27
    soldstatus $145,000
  12. 2026-03-24
    soldstatus $145,000 Closed 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  13. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  14. 2026-03-05
    price $159,900 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  15. 2026-02-23
    price $169,900 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  16. 2026-02-12
    price $174,900 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  17. 2026-02-02
    listed $177,900 Active 951-char remark
    Show marketing remark (951 chars)

    DRASTICALLY REDUCED FOR IMMECIATE SALE! INVESTOR ALERT!!! CLEAN 3/2 SOUTHSIDE area GROUND FLOOR condo BUILT in 2012, in GATED COMMUNITY! This one could be a TERRIFIC OPPORTUNITY TO START OR EXPAND A RENTAL PORTFOLIO AS PART OF A LONG TERM WEALTH BUILDING STRATEGY, or perhaps afford an astute end-user, willing to expend a bit of elbow grease, plenty of instant sweat equity! Low-maintenance living with HOA fees under $300/month. Community amenities include a resort-style pool, clubhouse, fitness center, indoor basketball court and playground. Prime Location conveniently located near shopping, dining and major roadways. Corporate Seller has equitable interest, has never occupied the property, makes no representations regarding property condition, & would prefer CASH OR HARD MONEY, but may consider conventionally financed offers under the right terms and conditions. Seller will make NO REPAIRS, lender/insurance co. required or otherwise.

  18. 2026-01-02
    listed $189,000 Active
  19. 2017-09-01
    soldstatus $117,990 Sold 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    3/2 Lakeside ground floor condo. All kitchen appliances convey, stack washer/ dryer conveys. Popular Martinique floor plan. Split bedroom arrangement. Kitchen has abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops.

  20. 2017-08-09
    status Pending 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    3/2 Lakeside ground floor condo. All kitchen appliances convey, stack washer/ dryer conveys. Popular Martinique floor plan. Split bedroom arrangement. Kitchen has abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops.

  21. 2017-08-09
    listed $121,990 Active 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    3/2 Lakeside ground floor condo. All kitchen appliances convey, stack washer/ dryer conveys. Popular Martinique floor plan. Split bedroom arrangement. Kitchen has abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,249 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,569 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$319/yr (+$27/mo · 25.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,614
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,249
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− HOA
−$3,120
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$4,084
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$980
After-tax cash flow
$57/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
58,192
Household income
$73,570
Rent vs Own
61.3% rent · 38.7% own
Severe rent burden
2706.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 18% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.58%
Current HPI
216.5115
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-24 Sold (MLS) $145,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $159,900 realMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $169,900 realMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $174,900 realMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $177,900 realMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $189,000 Fizber.com
  • 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $117,990 realMLS
  • 2017-08-09 Pending realMLS
  • 2017-08-09 Listed $121,990 realMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,249 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…