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5159 Haverford Dr
D+ Composite 46.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

5159 Haverford Dr · Lyndhurst, OH 44124
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1921 6,185 sqft lot Est $207k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming classic Colonial nestled in the heart of Lyndhurst. This inviting home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, blending timeless character with everyday comfort. Original hardwood floors flow throughout the interior, adding warmth and classic appeal to every room. The spacious living and dining areas create a cozy and welcoming atmosphere, perfect for both quiet evenings at home and entertaining family and friends. Natural character and charm can be felt throughout the home, offering a space that feels comfortable from the moment you walk in. Step outside to a generously sized backyard, ideal for hosting gatherings, enjoying time with loved ones, or simply relaxin

Key facts

  • 6,185 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1921

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSGENEROUSLY SIZED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($41/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (3.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#76 in OH, #1,152 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • South Euclid-Lyndhurst City (suburban): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #556 of 656 in OH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $189k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $181,907 (3.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,976
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5115 Oakmont Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+0%) 0mo $249,000 $211 91
5255 Haverford Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,235 (+5%) 1mo $217,500 $176 83
5299 Haverford Dr 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+2%) 1mo $159,000 $133 81
5363 Summit Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,218 (+4%) 0mo $192,500 $158 68
5179 Dogwood Trl 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+10%) 1mo $241,000 $187 66
1516 Sunview Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,197 (+2%) 2mo $165,000 $138 66
1520 Jaeger Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,326 (+13%) 1mo $206,000 $155 64
5115 Eastover Rd 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+8%) 1mo $295,000 $233 63
1608 Sunview Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+4%) 1mo $272,000 $222 61
1367 Churchill Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,251 (+6%) 0mo $215,000 $172 59
1207 Irene Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (+7%) 0mo $219,900 $175 48
5404 Beacon Rd 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+15%) 1mo $245,000 $181 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-27,609
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-11,950
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44124

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,819 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$364 /mo · $4,365/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,815
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $57 +0% $3 +5% $-50 +10% $-104
Rent -10% $-140 -5% $-68 +0% $3 +5% $75 +10% $147
Rate -1.0pp $99 -0.5pp $52 base $3 +0.5pp $-46 +1.0pp $-95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5112 Haverford Dr Cleveland, OH 2.0 2.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 21d 1 0.10mi
1547 Commodore Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 980 $1,795 $1.83 15d 1 0.43mi
4994 N Sedgewick Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 44d 1 0.72mi
1207 Churchill Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,895 $1.67 24d 1 0.76mi
2112 Acacia Park Dr #220 Cleveland, OH 2.0 2.0 1222 $1,700 $1.39 44d 1 1.13mi
27200 Cedar Rd Beachwood, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 782 $5,521 $7.06 2d 1 1.26mi
27040 Cedar Rd Beachwood, OH 3.0 1.0–2.5 845 $1,881 $2.22 2d 99 1.36mi
1344 S Green Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,150 $1.07 17d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $189,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-08
    historical
  18. 2025-10-06
    listed $199,000 Active
  19. 2013-09-17
    historical
  20. 2013-05-10
    listed $79,900
  21. 2012-08-20
    soldstatus $42,000
  22. 2012-06-25
    listed $49,900
  23. 2010-04-09
    soldstatus $35,000
  24. 2009-10-04
    listed $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,365 · $364/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,365 · $364/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,829
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$4,365
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,746
− Management
−$1,746
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$3,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$734
After-tax cash flow
$775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Euclid-Lyndhurst City
NCES district ID
3904479
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,244
Composite
30.51/100
National rank
#6212
State rank
#556 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lyndhurst

Score
82/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#1152

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lyndhurst, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
39,779
Household income
$82,392
Rent vs Own
35.6% rent · 64.4% own
Severe rent burden
1286.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.96%
Current HPI
164.108
Rent YoY
▲ 4.45%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+344.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $189,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-08 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $199,000 MLSNOW
  • 2013-09-17 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2013-05-10 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
  • 2012-08-20 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
  • 2012-06-25 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
  • 2010-04-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MLSNOW
  • 2009-10-04 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,365 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…