5159 Haverford Dr · Lyndhurst, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming classic Colonial nestled in the heart of Lyndhurst. This inviting home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, blending timeless character with everyday comfort. Original hardwood floors flow throughout the interior, adding warmth and classic appeal to every room. The spacious living and dining areas create a cozy and welcoming atmosphere, perfect for both quiet evenings at home and entertaining family and friends. Natural character and charm can be felt throughout the home, offering a space that feels comfortable from the moment you walk in. Step outside to a generously sized backyard, ideal for hosting gatherings, enjoying time with loved ones, or simply relaxin
Key facts
- 6,185 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1921
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($41/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#76 in OH, #1,152 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- South Euclid-Lyndhurst City (suburban): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #556 of 656 in OH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $189k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5115 Oakmont Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+0%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $211 | 91 |
| 5255 Haverford Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,235 (+5%) | 1mo | $217,500 | $176 | 83 |
| 5299 Haverford Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+2%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $133 | 81 |
| 5363 Summit Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+4%) | 0mo | $192,500 | $158 | 68 |
| 5179 Dogwood Trl | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+10%) | 1mo | $241,000 | $187 | 66 |
| 1516 Sunview Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,197 (+2%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $138 | 66 |
| 1520 Jaeger Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+13%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $155 | 64 |
| 5115 Eastover Rd | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,268 (+8%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $233 | 63 |
| 1608 Sunview Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+4%) | 1mo | $272,000 | $222 | 61 |
| 1367 Churchill Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,251 (+6%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $172 | 59 |
| 1207 Irene Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+7%) | 0mo | $219,900 | $175 | 48 |
| 5404 Beacon Rd | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+15%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $181 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-27,609
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,950
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44124
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,819 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$364 /mo · $4,365/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $110 | -5% $57 | +0% $3 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-68 | +0% $3 | +5% $75 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $99 | -0.5pp $52 | base $3 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-95 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5112 Haverford Dr Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1547 Commodore Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,795 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4994 N Sedgewick Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1207 Churchill Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,895 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2112 Acacia Park Dr #220 Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 27200 Cedar Rd Beachwood, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $5,521 | $7.06 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 27040 Cedar Rd Beachwood, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 845 | $1,881 | $2.22 | 2d | 99 | 1.36mi |
| 1344 S Green Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$189,000 Active
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2025-10-06$199,000 Active
-
2013-09-17historical
-
2013-05-10$79,900
-
2012-08-20soldstatus $42,000
-
2012-06-25$49,900
-
2010-04-09soldstatus $35,000
-
2009-10-04$42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,829
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$4,365
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,746
- − Management
- −$1,746
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,059
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$734
- After-tax cash flow
- $775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Euclid-Lyndhurst City
- NCES district ID
- 3904479
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,244
- Composite
- 30.51/100
- National rank
- #6212
- State rank
- #556 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lyndhurst
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #1152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyndhurst, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,779
- Household income
- $82,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1286.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.96%
- Current HPI
- 164.108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+344.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $189,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-10-06 Listed $199,000 MLSNOW
- 2013-09-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2013-05-10 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2012-08-20 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
- 2012-06-25 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
- 2010-04-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MLSNOW
- 2009-10-04 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,365 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…