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2500 Springs Rd #130
C+ Composite 63.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.6

$69,000

2500 Springs Rd #130 · Vallejo, CA 94591
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured · 128 Days on market
Manufactured home likely 55+ (park) Built 1974 Good condition $144/sqft · 32% below area Est $101k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at this 1 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home. Home is needing a bit of TLC. Add a bit of creation with your personal touch and make it shine like a bright star.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1974
  • Listed 127 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 3.2% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Annie Pennycook Elementary (451 students, 75% FRL); Hogan Middle (867 students, 85% FRL); Jesse M. Bethel High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #472 of 1,170 statewide, top 42%, 1,481 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 62% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 25% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Vallejo City Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $69k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.85%
Cash-on-cash
37.72%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,299
List price
$69,000
Delta
-31.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2500 Springs Rd #125 0.02mi 1/1.0 500 (+4%) 35mo $90,000 $180 72
2500 Springs Rd #226 0.02mi 2/1.0 (+1) 600 (+25%) 10mo $80,000 $133 61
2500 Springs Rd #126 0.07mi 1/1.0 420 (-12%) 23mo $30,000 $71 56
2500 Springs Rd #222 0.02mi 2/1.0 (+1) 576 (+20%) 25mo $100,000 $174 49
1161 Benicia Rd #13 1.15mi 2/1.0 (+1) 580 (+21%) 9mo $125,000 $216 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$25,276
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$63,000
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active
Median asking
$72,450 ($132/sqft)
Median days on market
227 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+60.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 94591

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
278
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $655 -5% $631 +0% $607 +5% $583 +10% $560
Rent -10% $499 -5% $553 +0% $607 +5% $661 +10% $716
Rate -1.0pp $642 -0.5pp $625 base $607 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $571

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
Monthly land lease: $999
HOA & community
No homeowners associationNot a senior communityLocated in Trailer City park

Exterior

Parking
Assigned parkingDetached parking2 total parking spaces
Utilities
Public sewer
Home design
Manufactured in-park homeSingle wideMade by Buddy / Skyline
Construction
Aluminum skirting
Exterior features
Covered patioPorch awningCorner lot

Interior

Kitchen
Free-standing gas ovenFree-standing gas range
Bedrooms
1 bedroom
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom with tub/shower combo
Heating & cooling
Central heatingNo cooling
Interior features
Updated/remodeled conditionHood over rangeCarbon monoxide detectorDouble-strapped water heaterSmoke detector
Laundry & utility
No laundry hookups inside

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $69,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $69,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $69,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $69,000 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 105 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 104 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 103 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 102 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 101 DOM
  20. 2026-07-11
    days on market $69,000 Active 100 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 99 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
  23. 2026-07-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 97 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $69,000 Active 95 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 94 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 92 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 91 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 90 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $69,000 Active 83 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $69,000 Active 81 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $69,000 Active 80 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 75 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 74 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,000 Active 72 DOM
  44. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,000 Active 69 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,000 Active 68 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,000 Active 67 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,000 Active 66 DOM
  48. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,000 Active 63 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,000 Active 62 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,468
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$6,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,579
After-tax cash flow
$5,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $2,400–$7,200 screening

This newly remodeled mobile home is in good condition with fresh updates throughout, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves overall property appearance
  • Both Add a small front porch or patio — Increases living space and enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 42/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Annie Pennycook Elementary Middle Hogan Middle High Jesse M. Bethel High F CA #472/1,170 Nat'l #7,572/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vallejo City Unified
NCES district ID
0640740
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$59,919
Composite
26.02/100
National rank
#12743
State rank
#1124 of 1400 in CA
C Composite livability gradescore 67/100

Livability — Vallejo

Score
67/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#10215

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Solano County · 478,685 people
City population
125,311
Metro
Vallejo, CA
Population (ZIP)
58,193
Household income
$104,550
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
478,685 people
By 2030
497,974 · +4.0%
By 2040
528,515 · +10.4%
By 2050
549,115 · +14.7%
By 2075
587,229 · +22.7%
By 2100
571,378 · +19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 23% Two or more races 17% Black 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 15% Spanish 14% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Solano

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+500.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $69,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $74,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $79,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $85,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-02-10 Sold (MLS) $11,500 BAREIS
  • 2026-02-02 Pending BAREIS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $11,500 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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