2500 Springs Rd #130 · Vallejo, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come take a look at this 1 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home. Home is needing a bit of TLC. Add a bit of creation with your personal touch and make it shine like a bright star.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1974
- Listed 127 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 3.2% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Annie Pennycook Elementary (451 students, 75% FRL); Hogan Middle (867 students, 85% FRL); Jesse M. Bethel High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #472 of 1,170 statewide, top 42%, 1,481 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 62% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 25% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Vallejo City Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $69k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.72%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,299
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -31.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 Springs Rd #125 | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (+4%) | 35mo | $90,000 | $180 | 72 |
| 2500 Springs Rd #226 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (+25%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $133 | 61 |
| 2500 Springs Rd #126 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 420 (-12%) | 23mo | $30,000 | $71 | 56 |
| 2500 Springs Rd #222 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 576 (+20%) | 25mo | $100,000 | $174 | 49 |
| 1161 Benicia Rd #13 | 1.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 580 (+21%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $216 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $25,276
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $63,000
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $72,450 ($132/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 227 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +60.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 94591
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,372 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $655 | -5% $631 | +0% $607 | +5% $583 | +10% $560 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $499 | -5% $553 | +0% $607 | +5% $661 | +10% $716 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $642 | -0.5pp $625 | base $607 | +0.5pp $589 | +1.0pp $571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Monthly land lease: $999
- HOA & community
- No homeowners associationNot a senior communityLocated in Trailer City park
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parkingDetached parking2 total parking spaces
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- Manufactured in-park homeSingle wideMade by Buddy / Skyline
- Construction
- Aluminum skirting
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPorch awningCorner lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Free-standing gas ovenFree-standing gas range
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingNo cooling
- Interior features
- Updated/remodeled conditionHood over rangeCarbon monoxide detectorDouble-strapped water heaterSmoke detector
- Laundry & utility
- No laundry hookups inside
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $69,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $69,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $69,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $69,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $69,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $69,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $69,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $69,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $69,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $69,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $69,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $69,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $69,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $69,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $69,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $69,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $69,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $69,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $69,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $69,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $69,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $69,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $69,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $69,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $69,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,317
- − Management
- −$1,317
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $6,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,579
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This newly remodeled mobile home is in good condition with fresh updates throughout, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves overall property appearance ↑
- Both Add a small front porch or patio — Increases living space and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vallejo City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640740
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,919
- Composite
- 26.02/100
- National rank
- #12743
- State rank
- #1124 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Vallejo
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #10215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Solano County · 478,685 people
- City population
- 125,311
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,193
- Household income
- $104,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 23% Two or more races 17% Black 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 15% Spanish 14% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -414.47%
- Current HPI
- 282.9528
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.35%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+500.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $69,000 BAREIS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $74,000 BAREIS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $79,000 BAREIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $85,000 BAREIS
- 2026-02-10 Sold (MLS) $11,500 BAREIS
- 2026-02-02 Pending — BAREIS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $11,500 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…