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10 SW South River Dr #804
D+ Composite 46.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$390,000

10 SW South River Dr #804 · Miami, FL 33130
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 997 sqft · Condo public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2003 $1146/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Business center
  • Tennis court

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMSRESORT-STYLE AMENITIESTENNIS COURTDOG PARKBUSINESS CENTER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; HOA covers internet, water, sewer, and trash; Association amenities include business center, elevators, fitness center, pool, and tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage
  • Security: Secured lobby
  • Utilities: Central utilities (water, sewer, power)
  • Home design: Resale property; Entry on level 8; Total stories: 21
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Tennis courts; Association pool; Riverfront location; Waterfront property; Secured lobby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Concrete flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-545 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (24.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $390k).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,752/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 5231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($384k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $240k; list at $390k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $293,757 (24.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.79% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.0%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-90,628
Equity at exit
$79,572
10-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
-0.42×
Total profit
$-154,963
Equity at exit
$71,688

Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33130

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,752 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$518 /mo · $6,219/yr
Insurance
$162
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,146
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$998
Net cashflow
$-545

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,441
Max offer price $293,757
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,500
Closing costs
$11,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,146 · $13,752/yr
Likely covers
poolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $390,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $390,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $390,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $390,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $390,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $390,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $390,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $390,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $390,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $390,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $390,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $390,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $390,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-27
    listed $390,000 Active
  15. 2016-11-18
    soldstatus $240,000
  16. 2016-11-17
    soldstatus $240,000 Sold 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  17. 2016-09-19
    status Pending 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  18. 2016-08-30
    status Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  19. 2016-08-18
    status Pending 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  20. 2016-07-29
    price $249,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  21. 2016-06-13
    price $269,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  22. 2016-04-21
    price $279,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  23. 2016-03-23
    listed $285,000 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Super trendy Building just West of Downtown by the Miami River and minutes from South Beach! Enjoy the breathtaking views of the pool, river and city! AMENITIES INCLUDE: pool , Clubhouse, Gym, Sauna, Jacuzzi, an amazing dog park, meditation garden, entertainment room tvs! Beauty Salon, market and deli downstairs! Great place for entertaining family and friends!

  24. 2015-11-01
    historical
  25. 2015-09-15
    status Active
  26. 2015-09-11
    historical
  27. 2015-07-20
    price $289,000
  28. 2015-07-07
    price $292,000
  29. 2015-05-11
    price $297,000
  30. 2015-03-11
    listed $305,000 Active
  31. 2005-03-16
    soldstatus $310,000
  32. 2005-03-16
    soldstatus $310,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,219 · $518/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,219 · $518/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,018
− Mortgage interest
−$21,846
− Property taxes
−$6,219
− Insurance
−$7,069
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,561
− Management
−$4,561
− HOA
−$13,752
− Depreciation
−$11,345
Taxable loss
−$12,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,961
After-tax cash flow
$-3,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami

Score
78/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#2724

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
827,308
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,964
Household income
$61,009
Rent vs Own
83.2% rent · 16.8% own
Severe rent burden
5231.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 44% White 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 24% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
60% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
23% English-only · Spanish 70% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.79%
Current HPI
344.7752
Rent YoY
▼ -0.53%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $390,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2016-11-17 Sold (MLS) $240,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-09-19 Pending MARMLS
  • 2016-08-30 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2016-08-18 Pending MARMLS
  • 2016-07-29 Price Changed $249,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-06-13 Price Changed $269,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-04-21 Price Changed $279,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-03-23 Listed $285,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-11-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2015-09-15 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2015-09-11 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2015-07-20 Price Changed $289,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-07-07 Price Changed $292,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-05-11 Price Changed $297,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-03-11 Listed $305,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2005-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2005-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,219 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…