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21851 Newland St #232
B Composite 72.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

21851 Newland St #232 · Huntington Beach, CA 92646
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,944 sqft · Manufactured · 283 Days on market
Built 1977 4,200 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Remodeled Beach Home – Huntington by the Sea . Just Steps from the Ocean | Oversized Corner Lot | Gated Community. This beautifully remodeled beach home sits on an Extra-Large Corner Lot and offers a spacious, open floor plan with 1,944 Sq. Ft. That's only $138.84 Sq. Ft. for this very unique gated beach property. Other properties in here are up to $236 SqFt with a much smaller lot and no garage. Key Features: * 3 Bedrooms + Office/4th Bedroom ' 2 Bathrooms. (MBed-11.5x15, Bed2-10.2x11.2, Bed3-9x18, Bed4/Office-11.3x8.9). * Huge permitted 600 Sq. Ft. (20'x30') family room w/ fireplace, plumbed for a wet bar. * Separate dining room perfect for entertaining. * Bright and airy inte

Key facts

  • Separate dining room
  • New central heating
  • Re-piped plumbing

Tags

EXTRA-LARGE CORNER LOTSPACIOUS OPEN FLOOR PLANHUGE PERMITTED FAMILY ROOMSEPARATE DINING ROOMNEW CENTRAL HEATINGRE-PIPED PLUMBING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Huntington By The Sea park; Directions reference: Newland & PCH
  • HOA & community: Community features: street lighting, sidewalks; Land lease: $3,900.65 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 3 spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry on main level; Mobile home (double body, 24' x 56'); View and located across the road from a lake/ocean
  • Construction: Mobile home remains; Year built source: seller
  • Exterior features: Awning; Rooftop patio; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas range; Gas oven; Garbage disposal; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Laminated flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Open floor plan; Storage space; Association/community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,105/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 1226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $237,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.93%
Cash-on-cash
34.42%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$81,107
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$207,458
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92646

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,105 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,072
Net cashflow
$2,101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,445
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21851 Newland St #104 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1248 $4,000 $3.21 17d 1 0.02mi
8216 Foxhall Dr Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 2.5 1482 $5,195 $3.51 2d 1 0.42mi
8121 Foxhall Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.5 1296 $4,950 $3.82 1d 1 0.47mi
7972 Aldea Cir Unit 1 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1900 $5,750 $3.03 22d 1 0.61mi
9022 Niguel Cir Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 2.0 2248 $7,000 $3.11 11d 1 0.67mi
7961 Southwind Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1664 $6,195 $3.72 1d 1 0.73mi
7866 Southwind Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1787 $5,000 $2.80 1d 1 0.77mi
7946 Waterfall Cir Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1439 $4,500 $3.13 1d 1 0.80mi
7832 Seaglen Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1700 $8,000 $4.71 1d 1 0.81mi
8342 Castilian Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1885 $6,000 $3.18 1d 1 0.83mi
20966 Seacoast Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1685 $4,300 $2.55 7d 1 0.86mi
7795 Neptune Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0–4.0 1.5–2.5 1155 $4,654 $4.03 1d 3 0.88mi
20904 Monarch Ln #27 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 2409 $5,000 $2.08 2d 1 0.91mi
20904 Monarch Ln #27 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 2409 $5,000 $2.08 6d 1 0.91mi
80 HUNTINGTON St Huntington Beach, OS 2.0 2.0 1276 $3,825 $3.00 1d 1 0.91mi
9192 Christine Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1453 $6,700 $4.61 5d 1 0.94mi
9352 Mokihana Dr Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 2.5 1860 $5,300 $2.85 1d 1 1.01mi
21040 Pacific City Cir Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1137 $8,055 $7.08 1d 28 1.04mi
21892 Starfire Ln Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 3.0 2265 $5,950 $2.63 2d 1 1.07mi
8777 Tulare Dr Unit 413d Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1287 $3,900 $3.03 1d 1 1.09mi
200 Pacific Coast Hwy Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0–2.5 1299 $4,575 $3.52 15d 2 1.26mi
200 Pacific Coast Hwy Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $4,900 $4.61 1d 2 1.26mi
414 Main St #210 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1530 $6,500 $4.25 22d 1 1.32mi
203 Frankfort Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 2053 $6,950 $3.39 17d 1 1.34mi
340 5th St Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 2060 $5,900 $2.86 1d 1 1.36mi
9272 Sunridge Dr Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 2.0 1684 $6,000 $3.56 1d 1 1.37mi
735 Alabama St Huntington Beach, CA 4.0 3.5 2607 $7,900 $3.03 1d 1 1.44mi
909 California St Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 2072 $6,000 $2.90 20d 1 1.44mi
610 Main St Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 2083 $6,500 $3.12 1d 1 1.46mi
215 6th St Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 2273 $10,000 $4.40 1d 1 1.48mi
626 Lake St #54 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 1400 $3,895 $2.78 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 283 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 282 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 281 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 280 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 278 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 277 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 272 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,900 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 267 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,900 Active 266 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 265 DOM
  15. 2026-03-27
    price $269,900
  16. 2025-09-15
    price $299,376
  17. 2025-09-08
    listed $349,900 Active
  18. 2008-08-01
    historical
  19. 2008-06-02
    listed $169,000
  20. 2008-06-01
    historical
  21. 2008-04-02
    listed $189,900
  22. 2007-09-28
    historical
  23. 2007-07-10
    listed $220,000
  24. 2000-10-22
    historical
  25. 2000-08-22
    listed $149,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,254
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$2,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,900
− Management
−$4,900
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$22,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,349
After-tax cash flow
$19,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntington Beach Union High
NCES district ID
0618060
Math proficiency
65% ▲ 17.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$78,159
Composite
64.9/100
National rank
#511
State rank
#39 of 517 in CA

Livability — Huntington Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#10298

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Beach, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
194,835
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
54,615
Household income
$130,672
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
1226.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 5% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1082.92%
Current HPI
459.3987
Rent YoY
▲ 1.20%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $269,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $299,376 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $349,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-08-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-06-02 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-06-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-04-02 Listed $189,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-09-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-07-10 Listed $220,000 CRMLS
  • 2000-10-22 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2000-08-22 Listed $149,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $331 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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