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22899 Byron Rd #74
B Composite 71.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,997

22899 Byron Rd #74 · Crestline, CA 92325
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 47 Days on market
Built 1975 Good condition $72/sqft · at area comps Est $92k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your beautifully updated mountain retreat in the heart of Crestline. This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home offers a perfect blend of modern updates and peaceful mountain living. Step inside to a fresh, inviting interior featuring brand new flooring, new interior paint, and thoughtfully updated finishes throughout. The bathroom has been tastefully refreshed, creating a clean and comfortable space, while the home overall feels bright, open, and move-in ready for everyday living or a weekend getaway. Recent major upgrades include a brand new roof, new heating and air conditioning system, and fresh exterior paint—providing both curb appeal and long-term peace of mind.

Key facts

  • Mountain retreat
  • Updated finishes
  • New flooring

Tags

MOUNTAIN RETREATUPDATED FINISHESNEW FLOORINGNEW INTERIOR PAINTREFRESHED BATHROOMNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required for tenancy
  • HOA & community: Located in a park community: Valley of Enchantment; Land lease (park) approximately $1,049 monthly; Pets: contact manager for details; Community features include biking, hiking, dog park, and mountainous setting

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Has parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s); Gated community; Resident manager; Manager approval required
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected (private water source); Public sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home (Royal Lancer model); Double body type; One story; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Wood construction materials; Metal and asphalt roof; Wood skirt; Pier jacks foundation; Mobile home dimensions approximately 24' x 52'; Mobile home remains on property; Year-built source: Other
  • Exterior features: Front porch and porch area; Open patio; Back yard and yard; Walkstreet; Private road frontage; Paved road surface; Has view; Chain link and wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Range/stove hood; Water heater unit; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms on the main floor; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub and shower; Stone counters in bathroom; Main-floor full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Ductless system; Electric heating; Wood stove; Energy Star-rated heating and cooling; Has cooling; Has heating
  • Interior features: One-level home with front-door entry; Turnkey condition; Walk-in closet(s); All bedrooms located on the main level; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $971 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.9% in Crestline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#805 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Rim Of The World Unified (town): math 13% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #415 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,297 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.42%
Cap rate
20.91%
Cash-on-cash
52.20%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,500
List price
$89,997
Delta
-2.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22899 Byron Rd #19 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-15%) 4mo $65,000 $61 72
22899 Byron Rd #65 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+8%) 21mo $90,000 $67 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$51,031
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
52.2%
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$140,079
Equity at exit
$7,781

Cash invested: $25,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92325

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,175 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$971

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $89,997
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,033 -5% $1,002 +0% $971 +5% $940 +10% $909
Rent -10% $799 -5% $885 +0% $971 +5% $1,057 +10% $1,143
Rate -1.0pp $1,016 -0.5pp $994 base $971 +0.5pp $948 +1.0pp $924

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,499
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22858 Lupin Ln Cedarpines Park, CA 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,000 $1.70 0d 1 0.24mi
686 Ca-138 Crestline, CA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,800 $2.50 5d 1 0.97mi
767 Woodland Rd Unit 1 Crestline, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 3d 1 1.00mi
794 Woodland Rd Crestline, CA 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,400 $1.02 18d 1 1.08mi
23654 Lake Dr Crestline, CA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,995 $2.77 0d 1 1.21mi
23855 Zuger Dr Unit B Crestline, CA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,995 $1.53 20d 1 1.40mi
23882 Springwater Rd Crestline, CA 3.0 1.0 1133 $2,500 $2.21 20d 1 1.46mi
979 Venus Way Crestline, CA 2.0 2.0 800 $2,300 $2.88 0d 1 1.48mi
198 Mile High Rd Crestline, CA 3.0 2.5 850 $2,300 $2.71 0d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,997 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,997 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,997 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,997 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,997 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,997 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,997 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,997 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,997 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,997 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,997 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,997 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,997 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,997 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,997 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $89,997 Active 1024-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 3 d/yr ≥89°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,097
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$1,952
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,088
− Management
−$2,088
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$10,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,630
After-tax cash flow
$9,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully updated mobile home in Crestline is move-in ready with recent major upgrades, including a new roof, HVAC system, and fresh exterior paint, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior — Improves curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior — Improves curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rim Of The World Unified
NCES district ID
0632610
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$55,860
Composite
21.29/100
National rank
#8389
State rank
#415 of 517 in CA

Livability — Crestline

Score
56/100
State rank
#805
US rank
#22821

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crestline, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
9,065
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
9,065
Household income
$70,563
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
179.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 20% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -255.88%
Current HPI
352.6512
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $89,997 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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