22899 Byron Rd #74 · Crestline, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 31 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 41 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,997
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your beautifully updated mountain retreat in the heart of Crestline. This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home offers a perfect blend of modern updates and peaceful mountain living. Step inside to a fresh, inviting interior featuring brand new flooring, new interior paint, and thoughtfully updated finishes throughout. The bathroom has been tastefully refreshed, creating a clean and comfortable space, while the home overall feels bright, open, and move-in ready for everyday living or a weekend getaway. Recent major upgrades include a brand new roof, new heating and air conditioning system, and fresh exterior paint—providing both curb appeal and long-term peace of mind.
Key facts
- Mountain retreat
- Updated finishes
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required for tenancy
- HOA & community: Located in a park community: Valley of Enchantment; Land lease (park) approximately $1,049 monthly; Pets: contact manager for details; Community features include biking, hiking, dog park, and mountainous setting
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Has parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s); Gated community; Resident manager; Manager approval required
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected (private water source); Public sewer
- Home design: Mobile home (Royal Lancer model); Double body type; One story; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Wood construction materials; Metal and asphalt roof; Wood skirt; Pier jacks foundation; Mobile home dimensions approximately 24' x 52'; Mobile home remains on property; Year-built source: Other
- Exterior features: Front porch and porch area; Open patio; Back yard and yard; Walkstreet; Private road frontage; Paved road surface; Has view; Chain link and wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Range/stove hood; Water heater unit; Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms on the main floor; Walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub and shower; Stone counters in bathroom; Main-floor full bath
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Ductless system; Electric heating; Wood stove; Energy Star-rated heating and cooling; Has cooling; Has heating
- Interior features: One-level home with front-door entry; Turnkey condition; Walk-in closet(s); All bedrooms located on the main level; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $971 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.9% in Crestline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#805 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute D, schools D-, crime F.
- Rim Of The World Unified (town): math 13% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #415 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.20%
- DSCR
- 3.32
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,500
- List price
- $89,997
- Delta
- -2.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22899 Byron Rd #19 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-15%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $61 | 72 |
| 22899 Byron Rd #65 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $67 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $51,031
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 52.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $140,079
- Equity at exit
- $7,781
Cash invested: $25,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92325
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,175 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $971
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,033 | -5% $1,002 | +0% $971 | +5% $940 | +10% $909 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $799 | -5% $885 | +0% $971 | +5% $1,057 | +10% $1,143 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,016 | -0.5pp $994 | base $971 | +0.5pp $948 | +1.0pp $924 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,499
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22858 Lupin Ln Cedarpines Park, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,000 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 686 Ca-138 Crestline, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 767 Woodland Rd Unit 1 Crestline, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 794 Woodland Rd Crestline, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 23654 Lake Dr Crestline, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,995 | $2.77 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 23855 Zuger Dr Unit B Crestline, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 23882 Springwater Rd Crestline, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 979 Venus Way Crestline, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 198 Mile High Rd Crestline, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 850 | $2,300 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,997 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,997 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,997 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,997 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,997 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,997 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,997 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,997 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,997 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,997 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,997 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,997 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,997 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,997 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,997 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$89,997 Active 1024-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 3 d/yr ≥89°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,952
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,088
- − Management
- −$2,088
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $10,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,630
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,020/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This beautifully updated mobile home in Crestline is move-in ready with recent major upgrades, including a new roof, HVAC system, and fresh exterior paint, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior — Improves curb appeal and adds value
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rim Of The World Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0632610
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,860
- Composite
- 21.29/100
- National rank
- #8389
- State rank
- #415 of 517 in CA
Livability — Crestline
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #805
- US rank
- #22821
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crestline, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 9,065
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,065
- Household income
- $70,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 179.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 20% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.88%
- Current HPI
- 352.6512
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $89,997 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…