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409 Florence St 🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 68.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

409 Florence St · Lakeview, GA 30741
1 bd · None ba · 512 sqft · Other · 10 Days on market
Built 2023 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring Your Vision to Life! Opportunity awaits with this partially completed small home, framed and ready for your personal touch. Design the interior to suit your needs with the freedom to choose wall placement, electrical layout, and plumbing finishes. The septic system has already been approved and installed, providing a great head start toward completion. Tucked away among the trees and currently the only home on Florence Street just off Rosa, this property offers a peaceful setting with convenient access to area shopping, restaurants, and popular destinations including Lake Winnepesaukah Amusement Park, Costco Wholesale, and downtown Chattanooga. Whether you're looking to create a cozy personal retreat, investment property, or potential short-term rental (subject to local regulations), this unique property offers endless possibilities. A 14' x 20' workshop provides additional space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Enjoy privacy, natural surroundings, and the chance to finish this home exactly the way you've imagined. Rare opportunity to create something special in a convenient location close to everything Chattanooga has to offer!

Key facts

  • 14 x 20 workshop
  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Built 2023

Tags

APPROVED SEPTIC SYSTEM14 X 20 WORKSHOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Residential cabin (single-family); One story; Under construction / New construction; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Wood siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as new construction (under construction)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Cleared, level lot; County road frontage with public maintained asphalt road; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Flooring: No flooring specified
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups indicated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/?-bath other listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.9% in Lakeview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#106 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rock Spring Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 412 students, 55% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.56%
Cash-on-cash
18.83%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$14,093
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.82×
Total profit
$62,300
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30741

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,033 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $266/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47 Bryan Ln Rossville, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 13d 1 0.70mi
124 Callan Dr Rossville, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $899 $1.50 23d 1 1.08mi
3380 Shadowlawn Dr Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 2.0 629 $1,323 $2.10 13d 1 1.09mi
2027 Lee St East Ridge, TN 2.0 1.0 655 $1,275 $1.95 23d 1 1.35mi
2904 E 37th St Unit 1 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 502 $850 $1.69 13d 1 1.38mi
4278 Spriggs St Unit 1 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $79,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$266 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$460/yr (+$38/mo · 172.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,402
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$266
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$992
− Management
−$992
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$3,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$728
After-tax cash flow
$3,437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
1305370
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,889
Composite
22.74/100
National rank
#8035
State rank
#114 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lakeview

Score
69/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#8207

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakeview, GA
County
Walker County · 48,831 people
City population
30,041
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
30,041
Household income
$58,834
Rent vs Own
32.3% rent · 67.7% own
Severe rent burden
834.0

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,050 people
By 2030
64,305 · -2.6%
By 2040
60,127 · -9.0%
By 2050
55,551 · -15.9%
By 2075
44,886 · -32.0%
By 2100
34,015 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.05%
Current HPI
267.0047
Rent YoY
▲ 7.44%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $79,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $266 · +264.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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