Duplex
903 N Neel St · Kennewick, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$419,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
MLS #292279-This Kennewick duplex features two spacious units, with a total of 2,564 sq. ft. Each unit includes 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. Convenient location & close to shopping & amenities. Hawthorne Elementary School is just around the corner! Units boast central heat and air & carport on the 'A' unit with additional off-street parking. Newer flooring in both units. Each unit also includes it's own back yard area & storage shed. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to generate rental income while enjoying comfortable living space.
Key facts
- Central heat and air
- Carport
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.75-bath units multifamily listed at $420k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($499/yr) — positive. Per door: $21/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $340k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Kennewick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#131 in WA, #2,599 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elementary School (474 students, 80% FRL); Highlands Middle School (750 students, 84% FRL); Kamiakin High School (1,884 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 48% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,401/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 2605% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.42%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-64,157
- Equity at exit
- $62,608
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-47,345
- Equity at exit
- $36,305
Cash invested: $117,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99336
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 20.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,401 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,202
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,218/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $160 | +0% $42 | +5% $-77 | +10% $-196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-227 | -5% $-93 | +0% $42 | +5% $176 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $148 | base $42 | +0.5pp $-67 | +1.0pp $-178 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.75 | $3,400 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.75 | $1,700 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.75 | $1,700 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,401 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,975
- Closing costs
- $12,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 S Union St Kennewick, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2181 | $2,295 | $1.05 | 46d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6709 W Octave St Pasco, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $6,500 | $3.02 | 46d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-20$419,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,218 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,115 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- +$897/yr (+$75/mo · 27.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,521
- − Property taxes
- −$3,218
- − Insurance
- −$2,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,265
- − Management
- −$3,265
- − Depreciation
- −$12,215
- Taxable loss
- −$6,772
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,625
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennewick School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303930
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,191
- Composite
- 45.56/100
- National rank
- #5667
- State rank
- #141 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kennewick
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #2599
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kennewick, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 104,655
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,735
- Household income
- $62,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2605.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.1143
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — PACMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $419,900 PACMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,218 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…