🏷️ Likely Rental
3215 N 20th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$1,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1906
- Listed 21 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1k).
- Recommended offer: $985 (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1234.0% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,304/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $107 of equity ($7 loan paydown + $100 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $280 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($985) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (97%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 130.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1233.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4384.51%
- DSCR
- 196.09
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,498
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3036 N 24th Pl | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,773 (-4%) | 10mo | $97,000 | $55 | 64 |
| 3512 N 15th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (-5%) | 2mo | $201,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 3532 N 23rd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (-6%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $78 | 57 |
| 3722 N 23rd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,698 (-8%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 3713 N 15th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (-5%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 3206 N 12th St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,710 (-7%) | 3mo | $25,800 | $15 | 53 |
| 2301 W Burleigh St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,564 (-15%) | 13mo | $68,000 | $43 | 51 |
| 3539 N 21st St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,998 (+9%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $115 | 46 |
| 3049 N 28th St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,636 (-11%) | 5mo | $65,700 | $40 | 41 |
| 3745 N 25th St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,635 (-11%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $61 | 38 |
| 2430 W Keefe Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,106 (+15%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $71 | 38 |
| 3559 N 11th St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,639 (-11%) | 13mo | $88,000 | $54 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 260.33×
- Total profit
- $72,613
- Equity at exit
- $901
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 642.79×
- Total profit
- $179,701
- Equity at exit
- $1,943
Cash invested: $280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $15/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $1,023
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250
- Closing costs
- $30
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2308 W Clarke St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 912 W Hadley St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2222 | $1,250 | $0.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2119 W Brown St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1754 | $995 | $0.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1718 | $1,050 | $0.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2719 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,095 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-11$37,000 Active
-
2025-10-13status Pending 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-10-13historical 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-09-18price $65,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-09-18$60,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-09-08status Pending 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929845MLS 1929843
-
2025-09-06historical 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929845MLS 1929843
-
2025-08-05$50,000 Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929845MLS 1929843
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2024-03-30status Pending
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2024-03-29historical
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2024-03-21$54,900 Active
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2023-08-12historical
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2023-03-12$67,900 Active
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2022-03-02soldstatus $713,000
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2022-03-02soldstatus $713,000
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2013-02-02$62,900
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2013-02-02historical
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2003-03-27soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56
- − Property taxes
- −$15
- − Insurance
- −$5
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$29
- Taxable income
- $13,037
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,129
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
-21.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $37,000 METROMLS
- 2025-10-13 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $65,000 METROMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $60,000 METROMLS
- 2025-09-08 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-09-06 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
- 2024-03-30 Pending — METROMLS
- 2024-03-29 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $54,900 METROMLS
- 2023-08-12 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2023-03-12 Listed $67,900 METROMLS
- 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $713,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $713,000 Public Records
- 2013-02-02 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-02 Listed $62,900 METROMLS
- 2003-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2024): $5,104 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…