500 Grant Street St Unit B206 · Daphne, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Condo In An Amazing Location! Just Minutes From I10 For Easy Commute To Mobile Or Pensacola, Convenient To All Local Malls, Restaurants, Shopping, Entertainment And So Much More. New Roof And HVAC In 2020, New Water Heater in 2023. Wood Floors and Crown Molding Throughout. Painted Cabinets In The Kitchen. Wonderful Covered Deck Right Off The Living And Dining Area With Western View Its Great For Watching Sunsets. Main Bedroom Has Large Walk-In Closet And Vanity Area Separate From Shower And Toilet Room. Another Half Bath Is Located Directly Across From The Second Bedroom And Attaches To The Shower And Toilet Room. Living And Dining Area Is Large And Open, Great For Entertaining And Everyday Living. BayForest Has A Community Pool. Property is currently leased with 10 months remaining in the lease. This lease must be honored.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Community pool
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in Daphne — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 879 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.83%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,743
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -28.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Lake Forest Boulevard Blvd Unit 123F | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 | 873 (0%) | 1mo | $136,500 | $156 | 95 |
| 104 Golf Ter Unit 1B104 | 1.02mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (+3%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 1000 D'olive Springs Dr Unit E-1 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,041 (+19%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $216 | 55 |
| 209 Golf Ter #209 | 1.02mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (+3%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $167 | 52 |
| 4 Yacht Club Dr #180 | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (+11%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $170 | 38 |
| 2101 Seacliff Dr #2101 | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 951 (+9%) | 10mo | $185,248 | $195 | 36 |
| 4 Yacht Club Dr #202 | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 1,010 (+16%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $203 | 34 |
| 6 Yacht Club Dr #109 | 0.72mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (+14%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $130 | 34 |
| 35 Summer Oaks Dr #35 | 1.38mi | 2/1.5 | 1,074 (+23%) | 10mo | $152,500 | $142 | 32 |
| 4 Yacht Club Dr #154 | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 1,035 (+19%) | 8mo | $142,500 | $138 | 31 |
| 4 Yacht Club Dr #134 | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 1,035 (+19%) | 9mo | $164,900 | $159 | 30 |
| 4 Yacht Club Dr #174 | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+24%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $153 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-36,449
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-51,951
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 36.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $149,000 ($171/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 153 d
- This list price
- 42% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +39.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 36526
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 879
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$250
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-65 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-219 | +10% $-271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-279 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-93 | -0.5pp $-130 | base $-168 | +0.5pp $-206 | +1.0pp $-246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Grant St Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 876 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 139d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 512 Lake Forest Blvd Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 873 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 117d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 29100 N Main St Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 576 | $1,300 | $2.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 133 Lake Front Dr Daphne, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,463 | $1.54 | 6d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 2024 Sea Cliff Dr N Unit 2024 Daphne, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 538 | $1,750 | $3.25 | 117d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 30000 Town Center Ave Spanish Fort, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,926 | $1.90 | 6d | 27 | 1.14mi |
| 30000 Town Center Ave Spanish Fort, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,860 | $1.83 | 109d | 24 | 1.14mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Condominium ownership
- HOA & community
- Annual association fee of $250Association fees include common area insurance, grounds maintenance, common area taxes, and poolTransfer fees applyCommunity features include an outdoor pool
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parking
- Utilities
- Total electric serviceDaphne UtilitiesRiviera Utilities
- Home design
- Attached condominiumOne storyResale propertyNo one above (upper units not above this unit)
- Construction
- Brick constructionSlab foundationComposition roofBuilding measured by agent
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchStorageBalcony (approx. 8 x 10)Few trees on groundsCommunity/association pool (outdoor)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom with bath combo and walk-in closet (Main level)Second bedroom 11 x 9
- Flooring
- Wood floors
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroomOne half bathroomMaster bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral electric coolingCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- No fireplaceUnfurnishedLiving and dining area combined with kitchen
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerElectric water heater
HOA detail $250/mo · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $149,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $149,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $149,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $149,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $149,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $149,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $149,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $149,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $149,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $149,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $149,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $149,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $149,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $149,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $149,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $149,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $149,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $149,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $149,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $149,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $149,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $149,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $149,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $149,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $149,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $149,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $149,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $149,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $149,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $149,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $149,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $149,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $149,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $149,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $149,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $149,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $149,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $149,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $149,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $149,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $149,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $149,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $149,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $149,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $149,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $149,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $149,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $149,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $149,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $149,000 Active 92 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,235
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$4,474
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $-940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This condo is in fair condition with some cosmetic repairs needed, such as painting the exterior trim and trimming the landscaping. It is located in a convenient location with a pool and easy access to local amenities.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — The exterior trim appears to be in need of touch-up paint
- Minor Landscaping — The landscaping around the building appears overgrown
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior trim — Fresh paint can make the property look more appealing ↑
- Rental Trim the landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more tenants ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daphne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daphne, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 248,264 people
- City population
- 36,484
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,484
- Household income
- $88,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.47%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-0.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $149,000 BCAR
- 2023-05-22 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BCAR
- 2023-05-22 Sold (MLS) $130,000 GCMLS AL
- 2023-05-05 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2023-05-05 Pending — BCAR
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $145,900 GCMLS AL
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $145,900 BCAR
- 2023-04-10 Listed $149,900 GCMLS AL
- 2023-04-10 Listed $149,900 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…