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205 E 2nd North St
F Composite 34.39
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$109,900

205 E 2nd North St · Mount Olive, IL 62069
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 110 Days on market
Built 1940 10,497 sqft lot Est $75k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect starter home with updates already done! Seller offering $1,000 toward buyer closing costs. This charming 2-bedroom home offers comfortable living with nicely sized bedrooms and a well-thought-out, functional layout. The eat-in kitchen is a true standout, featuring beautiful granite countertops — a major upgrade, especially at this price point — along with plenty of space for everyday meals or casual entertaining. You’ll love the newer luxury vinyl plank flooring, which adds both style and durability throughout the home, paired with updated mechanicals including an HVAC system and water heater replaced in 2020 for peace of mind. Just off the back, a versatile bonus

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 110 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.241 acre (about 10,500 sq ft)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open living area; Mud room; Basement with 8 ft+ poured walls
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-989/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (13.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (19.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#937 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mount Olive CUSD 5 (rural): math 16% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #483 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mt Olive High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 126 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mount Olive CUSD 5 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,025 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.21%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$75,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 W 2nd North St 0.19mi 2/1.0 980 (-2%) 3mo $115,000 $117 85
206 N Walnut St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (+2%) 4mo $59,900 $59 81
301 E 7th North St 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,033 (+3%) 5mo $77,000 $75 75
114 W 3rd South St 0.39mi 2/1.0 950 (-5%) 6mo $79,000 $83 68
201 N Cherry St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+10%) 4mo $69,000 $63 67
310 N Maple St 0.45mi 2/0.5 1,050 (+5%) 7mo $120,000 $114 63
304 W 3rd South St 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,050 (+5%) 12mo $60,000 $57 61
300 E 3rd South St 0.36mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (+10%) 3mo $64,900 $59 59
505 W 2nd South St 0.50mi 2/1.0 960 (-4%) 13mo $25,000 $26 59
411 S Walnut St 0.44mi 2/1.0 924 (-8%) 10mo $149,900 $162 59
700 E 1st St N 0.30mi 2/1.5 928 (-7%) 22mo $79,900 $86 54
110 Benton St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+10%) 19mo $65,000 $59 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$54,635
Equity at exit
$99,007
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$165,077
Equity at exit
$213,512

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62069

Home prices YoY
12.0%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$890 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,963/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$-82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $95,340
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-03-18
    price $109,900
  6. 2026-02-16
    price $115,000
  7. 2026-02-01
    price $119,900
  8. 2026-01-21
    listed $125,900 Active
  9. 2026-01-14
    historical $125,900
  10. 2006-08-02
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,963 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,229 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$266/yr (+$22/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,683
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,963
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$855
− Management
−$855
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$2,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$694
After-tax cash flow
$-295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Olive CUSD 5
NCES district ID
1727180
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$46,749
Composite
14.7/100
National rank
#9402
State rank
#483 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mount Olive

Score
61/100
State rank
#937
US rank
#18221

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Olive, IL
Population (ZIP)
3,102

Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,867 people
By 2030
40,796 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,135 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,469 · -26.6%
By 2075
22,102 · -48.4%
By 2100
15,380 · -64.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.34%
Current HPI
199.5
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $125,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Coming Soon $125,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,963 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…