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402 NE 2nd Ave
C- Composite 53.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$82,900

402 NE 2nd Ave · Galva, IL 61434
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1971 7,840 sqft lot $86/sqft · 25% above area Est $67k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated one story home, w/ 1 car attached garage & 10 x 12 storage shed. Home features: living room, open kitchen/dining room w/ S.S. appliances, laundry area, full bath w/tub shower combo & 3 bedrooms. Lots of updates in last 2 yrs, per the seller: New roof, vinyl siding, gutters, flooring & paint through-out, kitchen counter-tops, newer s.s. refrigerator, gas stove, range hood, ceiling fans, total bathroom remodel, replaced water meter, new access panel for washer & dryer, roof vent, plumbing under bathroom sink, front entry door & garage service door. Window blinds all stay & living room curtains. Nothing to do but move in!

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1971

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#497 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Galva CUSD 224 (rural): math 18% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #497 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($573 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $83k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $77,926 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.16%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,577
List price
$82,900
Delta
24.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 NW 3rd St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 976 (+2%) 9mo $59,900 $61 73
116 NW 3rd St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 976 (+2%) 9mo $59,900 $61 73
800 NW 1st Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 18mo $55,000 $57 66
800 NW 1st Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 18mo $55,000 $57 66
514 SW 1st Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 930 (-3%) 17mo $70,000 $75 48
804 SE 1st St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,084 (+13%) 10mo $140,000 $129 44
804 SE 1st St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,084 (+13%) 10mo $140,000 $129 44
101 NE Eight Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,073 (+12%) 13mo $85,000 $79 43
424 SE 7th Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 922 (-4%) 21mo $135,000 $146 41
424 SE 7th Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 922 (-4%) 21mo $135,000 $146 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$14,375
Equity at exit
$31,210
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$44,637
Equity at exit
$43,827

Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61434

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,636/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $767
Max offer price $82,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,725
Closing costs
$2,487
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,900 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $82,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,900 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    price $82,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    price $84,900
  18. 2026-04-02
    listed $89,900 Active
  19. 2019-08-02
    soldstatus $55,000
  20. 2019-07-31
    soldstatus $55,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Updated one story home, w/ 1 car attached garage & 10 x 12 storage shed. Home features: living room, open kitchen/dining room w/ S.S. appliances, laundry area, full bath w/tub shower combo & 3 bedrooms. Lots of updates in last 2 yrs, per the seller: New roof, vinyl siding, gutters, flooring & paint through-out, kitchen counter-tops, newer s.s. refrigerator, gas stove, range hood, ceiling fans, total bathroom remodel, replaced water meter, new access panel for washer & dryer, roof vent, plumbing under bathroom sink, front entry door & garage service door. Window blinds all stay & living room curtains. Nothing to do but move in!

  21. 2019-07-31
    soldstatus $55,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Updated one story home, w/ 1 car attached garage & 10 x 12 storage shed. Home features: living room, open kitchen/dining room w/ S.S. appliances, laundry area, full bath w/tub shower combo & 3 bedrooms. Lots of updates in last 2 yrs, per the seller: New roof, vinyl siding, gutters, flooring & paint through-out, kitchen counter-tops, newer s.s. refrigerator, gas stove, range hood, ceiling fans, total bathroom remodel, replaced water meter, new access panel for washer & dryer, roof vent, plumbing under bathroom sink, front entry door & garage service door. Window blinds all stay & living room curtains. Nothing to do but move in!

  22. 2019-02-26
    listed $59,900 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Updated one story home, w/ 1 car attached garage & 10 x 12 storage shed. Home features: living room, open kitchen/dining room w/ S.S. appliances, laundry area, full bath w/tub shower combo & 3 bedrooms. Lots of updates in last 2 yrs, per the seller: New roof, vinyl siding, gutters, flooring & paint through-out, kitchen counter-tops, newer s.s. refrigerator, gas stove, range hood, ceiling fans, total bathroom remodel, replaced water meter, new access panel for washer & dryer, roof vent, plumbing under bathroom sink, front entry door & garage service door. Window blinds all stay & living room curtains. Nothing to do but move in!

  23. 2019-02-26
    listed $59,900 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Updated one story home, w/ 1 car attached garage & 10 x 12 storage shed. Home features: living room, open kitchen/dining room w/ S.S. appliances, laundry area, full bath w/tub shower combo & 3 bedrooms. Lots of updates in last 2 yrs, per the seller: New roof, vinyl siding, gutters, flooring & paint through-out, kitchen counter-tops, newer s.s. refrigerator, gas stove, range hood, ceiling fans, total bathroom remodel, replaced water meter, new access panel for washer & dryer, roof vent, plumbing under bathroom sink, front entry door & garage service door. Window blinds all stay & living room curtains. Nothing to do but move in!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,636 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,759 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$123/yr (+$10/mo · 7.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,598
− Mortgage interest
−$4,644
− Property taxes
−$1,636
− Insurance
−$414
− Repairs & maintenance
−$928
− Management
−$928
− Depreciation
−$2,412
Taxable income
$636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$153
After-tax cash flow
$1,742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galva CUSD 224
NCES district ID
1716140
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$44,393
Composite
14.08/100
National rank
#9463
State rank
#497 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galva

Score
67/100
State rank
#497
US rank
#10271

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galva, IL
City population
2,992
Population (ZIP)
2,992

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
English 6% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.67%
Current HPI
141.1529
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $84,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $89,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2019-07-31 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-31 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-26 Listed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-26 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,636 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…