Duplex
2-4 S Front St · Wormleysburg, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$520,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Fully leased side-by-side duplex located at 2-4 S Front Street in Lemoyne Borough. Tenants are responsible for all utilities, providing an efficient operating structure for ownership. This is an excellent opportunity to acquire a well-performing multifamily asset with stable rental income and add a strong investment to your portfolio. Submit your offer today, this opportunity will not last long.
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Two-unit building
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Stick-built construction
- Construction: Stick-built construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: No tidal water on the property; Above-grade and below-grade structures present
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Semi-detached structure; Two total units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $520k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-45/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $504k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $398k (23.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $398k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#268 in PA, #2,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Cliff Hs (math 56% / reading 24%, grade F, #263 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,353 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,979/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 444% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $520k implies a 2376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.19%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,068
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 N 2nd St | 0.10mi | 3/— | 1,690 (+8%) | 7mo | $201,000 | $119 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-90,147
- Equity at exit
- $77,534
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-86,524
- Equity at exit
- $44,960
Cash invested: $145,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17043
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 21.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,727
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,679/yr
- Insurance
- −$217
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$836
- Net cashflow
- $-90
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $3,980 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $1,990 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $1,990 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,979 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $130,000
- Closing costs
- $15,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,395 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,638 | $1.82 | 13d | 14 | 0.82mi |
| 407 Herman Ave Lemoyne, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,725 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,445 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,525 | $1.76 | 13d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,097 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1320 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 13d | 14 | 1.12mi |
| 1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20 House Ave Camp Hill, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,720 | $1.38 | 13d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,574 | $1.97 | 13d | 21 | 1.28mi |
| 400 W Crestwood Dr Camp Hill, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $2,071 | $1.99 | 13d | 14 | 1.33mi |
| 1149 Columbus Ave Lemoyne, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,075 | $2.47 | 13d | 9 | 1.40mi |
| 7 Hummel Ave Camp Hill, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $520,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $520,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $520,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $520,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $520,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $520,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $520,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $520,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $520,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $520,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 398-char remark
-
2026-06-03$520,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,679 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,447 · $454/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,769/yr (+$231/mo · 103.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,128
- − Property taxes
- −$2,679
- − Insurance
- −$3,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,820
- − Management
- −$3,820
- − Depreciation
- −$15,127
- Taxable loss
- −$10,223
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,454
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Shore SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225830
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,398
- Composite
- 40.9/100
- National rank
- #3617
- State rank
- #222 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wormleysburg
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #2349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wormleysburg, PA
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,852
- Household income
- $61,173
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 444.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.77%
- Current HPI
- 229.3436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+4714.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $520,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1974-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,679 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…