620 Grommet Dr · Harrisonburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- Cash flow +5.0/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$445,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained home at 620 Grommet Drive in Rockingham, VA, offering approximately 2,740 square feet of finished living space. This spacious property features a bright and functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living and easy entertaining. The main level includes generous living and dining areas, along with a well-equipped kitchen that provides ample cabinetry and workspace. Multiple bedrooms and bathrooms offer flexibility and comfort for a variety of living arrangements. The fully finished basement adds valuable additional space, perfect for a family room, home office, gym, or guest area. This versatile lower level enhances the home’s functionality and livability. Step outside to enjoy a beautifully designed stamped concrete patio, complete with a relaxing hot tub—ideal for unwinding or entertaining guests. The outdoor space offers plenty of room to relax and enjoy the surroundings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. A great opportunity to own a spacious home in a desirable Rockingham neighborhood.
Key facts
- Relaxing hot tub
- Conveniently located
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $445k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (41.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (52.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (52.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#24 in VA, #666 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Rockingham County Public School District (rural): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #77 of 131 in VA (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 53% FRL); Wilbur S. Pence Middle (math 46% / reading 64%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 668 students, 39% FRL); Turner Ashby High (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A, #60 of 319 statewide, top 19%, 994 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 683 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockingham County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.48% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.17%
- DSCR
- 0.55
- GRM
- 17.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $474,973
- List price
- $445,000
- Delta
- -6.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570 Wingtip Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+6%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $257 | 81 |
| 730 Wingtip Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 13mo | $364,900 | $253 | 75 |
| 665 Grommet Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (-3%) | 20mo | $354,900 | $272 | 74 |
| 715 Wingtip Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+6%) | 23mo | $331,500 | $230 | 66 |
| 540 Wingtip Way | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+6%) | 19mo | $349,000 | $242 | 66 |
| 830 Wingtip Way | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (+6%) | 21mo | $369,000 | $256 | 65 |
| 211 Pear St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,196 (-12%) | 2mo | $362,000 | $303 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-131,882
- Equity at exit
- $66,351
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-168,385
- Equity at exit
- $38,475
Cash invested: $124,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22801
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 17.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,334
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,927/yr
- Insurance
- −$185
- HOA
- −$48
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-1,056
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-804 | -5% $-930 | +0% $-1,056 | +5% $-1,182 | +10% $-1,308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,223 | -5% $-1,140 | +0% $-1,056 | +5% $-972 | +10% $-889 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-832 | -0.5pp $-943 | base $-1,056 | +0.5pp $-1,171 | +1.0pp $-1,289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $111,250
- Closing costs
- $13,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Buckle St , VA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1717 | $2,654 | $1.54 | 45d | 23 | 0.24mi |
| 2511 Millwood Loop Harrisonburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2412 Millwood Loop Harrisonburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $1,495 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 229 Wakefield Pl Harrisonburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $1,595 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 207 Wakefield Pl Harrisonburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,150 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 474 Diana Ct Rockingham, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 607 John Tyler Cir Harrisonburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,716 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $48 · $576/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $445,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $445,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $445,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $445,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $445,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $445,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $445,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $445,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $445,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $445,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $445,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $445,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $445,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $445,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $445,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $445,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $445,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30statusdays on market $445,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained home at 620 Grommet Drive in Rockingham, VA, offering approximately 2,740 square feet of finished living space. This spacious property features a bright and functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living and easy entertaining. The main level includes generous living and dining areas, along with a well-equipped kitchen that provides ample cabinetry and workspace. Multiple bedrooms and bathrooms offer flexibility and comfort for a variety of living arrangements. The fully finished basement adds valuable additional space, perfect for a family room, home office, gym, or guest area. This versatile lower level enhances the home’s functionality and livability. Step outside to enjoy a beautifully designed stamped concrete patio, complete with a relaxing hot tub—ideal for unwinding or entertaining guests. The outdoor space offers plenty of room to relax and enjoy the surroundings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. A great opportunity to own a spacious home in a desirable Rockingham neighborhood.
-
2026-05-06status Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained home at 620 Grommet Drive in Rockingham, VA, offering approximately 2,740 square feet of finished living space. This spacious property features a bright and functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living and easy entertaining. The main level includes generous living and dining areas, along with a well-equipped kitchen that provides ample cabinetry and workspace. Multiple bedrooms and bathrooms offer flexibility and comfort for a variety of living arrangements. The fully finished basement adds valuable additional space, perfect for a family room, home office, gym, or guest area. This versatile lower level enhances the home’s functionality and livability. Step outside to enjoy a beautifully designed stamped concrete patio, complete with a relaxing hot tub—ideal for unwinding or entertaining guests. The outdoor space offers plenty of room to relax and enjoy the surroundings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. A great opportunity to own a spacious home in a desirable Rockingham neighborhood.
-
2026-04-15status Pending 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained home at 620 Grommet Drive in Rockingham, VA, offering approximately 2,740 square feet of finished living space. This spacious property features a bright and functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living and easy entertaining. The main level includes generous living and dining areas, along with a well-equipped kitchen that provides ample cabinetry and workspace. Multiple bedrooms and bathrooms offer flexibility and comfort for a variety of living arrangements. The fully finished basement adds valuable additional space, perfect for a family room, home office, gym, or guest area. This versatile lower level enhances the home’s functionality and livability. Step outside to enjoy a beautifully designed stamped concrete patio, complete with a relaxing hot tub—ideal for unwinding or entertaining guests. The outdoor space offers plenty of room to relax and enjoy the surroundings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. A great opportunity to own a spacious home in a desirable Rockingham neighborhood.
-
2026-04-03$445,000 Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained home at 620 Grommet Drive in Rockingham, VA, offering approximately 2,740 square feet of finished living space. This spacious property features a bright and functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living and easy entertaining. The main level includes generous living and dining areas, along with a well-equipped kitchen that provides ample cabinetry and workspace. Multiple bedrooms and bathrooms offer flexibility and comfort for a variety of living arrangements. The fully finished basement adds valuable additional space, perfect for a family room, home office, gym, or guest area. This versatile lower level enhances the home’s functionality and livability. Step outside to enjoy a beautifully designed stamped concrete patio, complete with a relaxing hot tub—ideal for unwinding or entertaining guests. The outdoor space offers plenty of room to relax and enjoy the surroundings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. A great opportunity to own a spacious home in a desirable Rockingham neighborhood.
-
2022-12-08$387,170
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,927 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,649 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,722/yr (+$143/mo · 89.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,927
- − Property taxes
- −$1,927
- − Insurance
- −$2,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,031
- − Management
- −$2,031
- − HOA
- −$576
- − Depreciation
- −$12,945
- Taxable loss
- −$21,272
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockingham County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103390
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,178
- Composite
- 47.58/100
- National rank
- #2264
- State rank
- #77 of 131 in VA
Livability — Harrisonburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrisonburg City · 70,357 people
- City population
- 70,357
- Metro
- Harrisonburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,983
- Household income
- $72,067
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2712.0
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,435 people
- By 2030
- 85,223 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 87,667 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,550 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 90,331 · +8.3%
- By 2100
- 85,122 · +2.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 30.9% · R 68.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.01%
- Current HPI
- 166.3265
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Harrisonburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+14.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — HRAR
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — HRAR
- 2026-04-15 Pending — HRAR
- 2026-04-03 Listed $445,000 HRAR
- 2022-12-08 Listed $387,170 HRAR
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,927 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…