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904 S Kirkpatrick St
C+ Composite 60.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,900

904 S Kirkpatrick St · El Dorado Springs, MO 64744
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 875 sqft · SingleFamily · 170 Days on market
Built 2025 8,276 sqft lot Est $102k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Construction Home For Sale - El Dorado Springs, MO. Tired of fixer-uppers? Discover this affordable, low-maintenance new build in the heart of El Dorado Springs - a move-in ready option for buyers seeking simplicity, efficiency, and modern comfort. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 875 sq ft of well-designed living space. The kitchen features custom cabinets, a pantry, and brand-new appliances including a refrigerator, oven, and built-in microwave - ready for use on day one. The two bedrooms share a full hall bathroom with a shower-over-tub combo. In addition, a covered back patio provides a comfortable outdoor retreat. The buyer who puts this home under contract soon will be able to select some colors and finishes, allowing them to customize to their preferences. Estimated completion is January 2026 - now is the perfect time to secure this quality-built home before it's gone. Photos provided are from a similar home by the same builder; final colors and layout may vary. Call today to schedule a tour or make an offer.

Key facts

  • Custom cabinets
  • Brand new appliances
  • Move in ready option

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMELOW MAINTENANCE NEW BUILDMOVE IN READY OPTIONCUSTOM CABINETSCOVERED BACK PATIOBRAND NEW APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $126k).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in El Dorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#370 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • El Dorado Springs R-II (town): math 25% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #279 of 324 in MO (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($870 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $110,792 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.38%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$101,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
802 S Jackson St 0.26mi 2/1.0 875 (0%) 8mo $119,000 $136 82
206 W Fields Blvd 0.27mi 2/1.0 875 (0%) 8mo $124,900 $143 80
109 W Pine St 0.12mi 2/1.0 850 (-3%) 13mo $39,900 $47 79
120 W Pine St 0.16mi 2/1.0 840 (-4%) 11mo $119,000 $142 76
314 W Fields Blvd 0.46mi 2/1.0 888 (+2%) 5mo $125,000 $141 72
210 E Oak St 0.09mi 2/1.0 972 (+11%) 9mo $129,900 $134 69
1103 South Forest St 0.32mi 2/1.0 864 (-1%) 17mo $99,900 $116 69
115 Winner Rd 0.35mi 2/1.0 817 (-7%) 18mo $76,000 $93 58
311 W Pine St 0.42mi 2/2.0 800 (-9%) 6mo $89,900 $112 58
406 S Summer St 0.48mi 2/2.0 980 (+12%) 7mo $35,900 $37 47
104 N Park St 0.66mi 1/1.0 (-1) 748 (-14%) 2mo $29,500 $39 38
311 S Park St 0.47mi 1/1.0 (-1) 764 (-13%) 19mo $10,000 $13 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$86,133
Equity at exit
$113,421
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
7.81×
Total profit
$239,895
Equity at exit
$244,596

Cash invested: $35,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64744

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$660
Tax est. 1.5%
$157 /mo · $1,888/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,101
Max offer price $125,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,475
Closing costs
$3,777
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
410 S Ohio St El Dorado Springs, MO 3.0 2.0 1020 $1,450 $1.42 43d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,900 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $125,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-04-04
    status Pending 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    New Construction Home For Sale - El Dorado Springs, MO. Tired of fixer-uppers? Discover this affordable, low-maintenance new build in the heart of El Dorado Springs - a move-in ready option for buyers seeking simplicity, efficiency, and modern comfort. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 875 sq ft of well-designed living space. The kitchen features custom cabinets, a pantry, and brand-new appliances including a refrigerator, oven, and built-in microwave - ready for use on day one. The two bedrooms share a full hall bathroom with a shower-over-tub combo. In addition, a covered back patio provides a comfortable outdoor retreat. The buyer who puts this home under contract soon will be able to select some colors and finishes, allowing them to customize to their preferences. Estimated completion is January 2026 - now is the perfect time to secure this quality-built home before it's gone. Photos provided are from a similar home by the same builder; final colors and layout may vary. Call today to schedule a tour or make an offer.

  4. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    New Construction Home For Sale - El Dorado Springs, MO. Tired of fixer-uppers? Discover this affordable, low-maintenance new build in the heart of El Dorado Springs - a move-in ready option for buyers seeking simplicity, efficiency, and modern comfort. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 875 sq ft of well-designed living space. The kitchen features custom cabinets, a pantry, and brand-new appliances including a refrigerator, oven, and built-in microwave - ready for use on day one. The two bedrooms share a full hall bathroom with a shower-over-tub combo. In addition, a covered back patio provides a comfortable outdoor retreat. The buyer who puts this home under contract soon will be able to select some colors and finishes, allowing them to customize to their preferences. Estimated completion is January 2026 - now is the perfect time to secure this quality-built home before it's gone. Photos provided are from a similar home by the same builder; final colors and layout may vary. Call today to schedule a tour or make an offer.

  5. 2025-10-17
    listed $125,900 Active 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    New Construction Home For Sale - El Dorado Springs, MO. Tired of fixer-uppers? Discover this affordable, low-maintenance new build in the heart of El Dorado Springs - a move-in ready option for buyers seeking simplicity, efficiency, and modern comfort. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 875 sq ft of well-designed living space. The kitchen features custom cabinets, a pantry, and brand-new appliances including a refrigerator, oven, and built-in microwave - ready for use on day one. The two bedrooms share a full hall bathroom with a shower-over-tub combo. In addition, a covered back patio provides a comfortable outdoor retreat. The buyer who puts this home under contract soon will be able to select some colors and finishes, allowing them to customize to their preferences. Estimated completion is January 2026 - now is the perfect time to secure this quality-built home before it's gone. Photos provided are from a similar home by the same builder; final colors and layout may vary. Call today to schedule a tour or make an offer.

  6. 2025-10-17
    listed $125,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    New Construction Home For Sale - El Dorado Springs, MO. Tired of fixer-uppers? Discover this affordable, low-maintenance new build in the heart of El Dorado Springs - a move-in ready option for buyers seeking simplicity, efficiency, and modern comfort. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 875 sq ft of well-designed living space. The kitchen features custom cabinets, a pantry, and brand-new appliances including a refrigerator, oven, and built-in microwave - ready for use on day one. The two bedrooms share a full hall bathroom with a shower-over-tub combo. In addition, a covered back patio provides a comfortable outdoor retreat. The buyer who puts this home under contract soon will be able to select some colors and finishes, allowing them to customize to their preferences. Estimated completion is January 2026 - now is the perfect time to secure this quality-built home before it's gone. Photos provided are from a similar home by the same builder; final colors and layout may vary. Call today to schedule a tour or make an offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,400
− Mortgage interest
−$7,052
− Property taxes
−$1,888
− Insurance
−$630
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$3,663
Taxable income
$1,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$332
After-tax cash flow
$2,973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Dorado Springs R-II
NCES district ID
2911310
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$31,880
Composite
24.02/100
National rank
#7772
State rank
#279 of 324 in MO

Livability — El Dorado Springs

Score
62/100
State rank
#370
US rank
#16324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Dorado Springs, MO
Population (ZIP)
8,547

Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,424 people
By 2030
13,080 · -2.6%
By 2040
12,434 · -7.4%
By 2050
11,841 · -11.8%
By 2075
10,171 · -24.2%
By 2100
7,744 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cedar

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.6) · D 14.8% · R 84.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -69.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.6 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.88%
Current HPI
242.0421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-04 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $125,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $125,900 SOMO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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