Multi-family
119 Fay St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
Key facts
- Newer electric
- Newer roof
- Newer heating
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
- Financial info: Owner pays water; water included in rent; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building; Resale property; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular lot (31 x 123)
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl and varying flooring types
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,327/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.17%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,153
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -9.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Koons Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,421 (-6%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 125 Gatchell St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (+10%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $48 | 56 |
| 262 Sumner Pl | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (+10%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $43 | 53 |
| 21 Liddell St | 0.56mi | 6/1.5 (+1) | 1,610 (+7%) | 5mo | $53,000 | $33 | 51 |
| 141 Moselle St | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 | 1,730 (+15%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $17 | 44 |
| 355 Longnecker St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,369 (-9%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $111 | 42 |
| 99 Sattler Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-8%) | 8mo | $82,500 | $59 | 41 |
| 587 Goodyear Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-10%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $99 | 40 |
| 70 Kilhoffer St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,591 (+6%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $57 | 40 |
| 395 Ideal St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,592 (+6%) | 17mo | $235,000 | $148 | 39 |
| 615 Goodyear Ave | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 | 1,320 (-12%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $125 | 37 |
| 117 Quincy St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+15%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $52 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $68,771
- Equity at exit
- $63,534
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $174,433
- Equity at exit
- $91,818
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $363/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $902
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,108 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,220 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,327 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-06$180,000 Active 253-char remark
-
2023-02-24soldstatus $145,000 Closed Sale or Rented 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-11-29status Pending Sale 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-11-14price $137,777 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-11-14status Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-10-24historical 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-10-21price $154,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-10-03$119,900 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!
-
2022-08-30soldstatus $75,000
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2005-09-29soldstatus $20,000
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2003-01-10soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $363 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,170/yr (+$98/mo · 322.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$363
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,234
- − Management
- −$2,234
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $8,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,082
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+764.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $180,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-02-24 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-11-29 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-11-14 Price Changed $137,777 WNYREIS
- 2022-11-14 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2022-10-24 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $154,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-10-03 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2003-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $363 · +131.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…