CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
119 Fay St Multi-family
B+ Composite 79.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

119 Fay St · Buffalo, NY 14211
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,506 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1935 3,844 sqft lot $106/sqft · 9% below area Est $176k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

Key facts

  • Newer electric
  • Newer roof
  • Newer heating

Tags

NEWER ELECTRICNEWER HEATINGNEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; water included in rent; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story building; Resale property; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular lot (31 x 123)

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl and varying flooring types
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,327/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
13.06%
Cash-on-cash
24.17%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,153
List price
$160,000
Delta
-9.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Koons Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,421 (-6%) 1mo $80,000 $56 63
125 Gatchell St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,650 (+10%) 13mo $80,000 $48 56
262 Sumner Pl 0.35mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (+10%) 11mo $72,000 $43 53
21 Liddell St 0.56mi 6/1.5 (+1) 1,610 (+7%) 5mo $53,000 $33 51
141 Moselle St 0.53mi 5/2.0 1,730 (+15%) 8mo $30,000 $17 44
355 Longnecker St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,369 (-9%) 4mo $152,000 $111 42
99 Sattler Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,390 (-8%) 8mo $82,500 $59 41
587 Goodyear Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,362 (-10%) 9mo $135,000 $99 40
70 Kilhoffer St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,591 (+6%) 18mo $90,000 $57 40
395 Ideal St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,592 (+6%) 17mo $235,000 $148 39
615 Goodyear Ave 0.72mi 5/2.0 1,320 (-12%) 10mo $165,000 $125 37
117 Quincy St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+15%) 4mo $90,000 $52 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$68,771
Equity at exit
$63,534
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$174,433
Equity at exit
$91,818

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,327 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $363/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$902

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 56%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,108
1× unit 3 1 $1,220
Total (2 units) $2,327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 2d 1 0.80mi
1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.27mi
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 24d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-05-06
    listed $180,000 Active 253-char remark
  13. 2023-02-24
    soldstatus $145,000 Closed Sale or Rented 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  14. 2022-11-29
    status Pending Sale 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  15. 2022-11-14
    price $137,777 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  16. 2022-11-14
    status Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  17. 2022-10-24
    historical 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  18. 2022-10-21
    price $154,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  19. 2022-10-03
    listed $119,900 Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Fay! This home is perfect for an owner occupant or investor looking to add to their portfolio! Upstairs unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Lower unit has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Updates include New electric, new heating and a new roof! The home is conveniently located near thruways and shopping! Don’t miss your chance to tour this beauty!

  20. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus $75,000
  21. 2005-09-29
    soldstatus $20,000
  22. 2003-01-10
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$363 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$1,170/yr (+$98/mo · 322.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,924
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$363
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,234
− Management
−$2,234
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$8,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,082
After-tax cash flow
$8,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+764.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $180,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-02-24 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-14 Price Changed $137,777 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-14 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-24 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-21 Price Changed $154,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-03 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2005-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $363 · +131.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…