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3184 S Heather Gardens Way Unit 212-408
D- Composite 36.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$151,900

3184 S Heather Gardens Way Unit 212-408 · Aurora, CO 80014
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · Condo · 131 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition Garage $175/sqft · 17% below area Est $183k · 17% under $552/mo HOA · 35% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

$151,900 | LOW HOA | LOW PROPERTY TAXES | 870 SQ FT | DETACHED GARAGE Affordable Heather Gardens living with a detached garage! This updated, move-in-ready 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers 870 sq. ft. of a comfortable living space in a peaceful courtyard location. Enjoy a private, park-like setting with mature trees and beautifully maintained grounds. The spacious floor plan features a bright living room, dining area, and enclosed all-season lanai overlooking the quiet courtyard-an inviting space for morning coffee, reading, or relaxing. The updated kitchen features ceramic tile flooring, white cabinetry with black hardware, a gray tile backsplash, and a black epoxy butcher-block countertop.

Key facts

  • W-in closet
  • Extra storage space
  • Large linen closet

Tags

W-IN CLOSETEXTRA STORAGE SPACEVAULTED CEILINGLANAI OVERLOOKING COURTYARDLARGE LINEN CLOSETMODERN WHITE BARN DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $152k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-352 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (33.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#70 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #11 of 86 in CO (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Polton Community Elementary School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #634 of 966 statewide, top 67%, 477 students, 55% FRL); Prairie Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #245 of 270 statewide, top 91%, 1,383 students, 71% FRL); Overland High School (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #216 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,109 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 21% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 78d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,927 units permitted in Arapahoe County in 2024 (1,525 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Arapahoe County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Recommended offer $100,933 (33.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
3.51%
Cash-on-cash
-9.94%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$183,000
List price
$151,900
Delta
-12.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13609 E Cornell Ave #102 0.20mi 2/1.0 (+1) 930 (+7%) 1mo $185,000 $199 73
13651 E Yale Ave Unit D 0.67mi 1/1.0 856 (-2%) 0mo $224,900 $263 66
12450 E Cornell Ave #104 0.44mi 1/1.0 786 (-10%) 2mo $160,000 $204 62
12662 E Warren Dr Unit E 1.19mi 1/1.0 838 (-4%) 0mo $250,000 $298 58
12560 E Warren Dr Unit D 1.18mi 1/1.0 838 (-4%) 2mo $230,000 $274 57
2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 114B 1.18mi 2/2.0 (+1) 972 (+12%) 1mo $169,000 $174 36
13744 E Lehigh Ave Unit A 0.92mi 2/1.0 (+1) 745 (-14%) 1mo $219,973 $295 35
13883 E Lehigh Ave Unit A 0.87mi 2/1.0 (+1) 746 (-14%) 1mo $190,000 $255 35
2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 216B 1.18mi 2/2.0 (+1) 972 (+12%) 2mo $159,900 $165 35
3539 S Fairplay Way Unit B-10 1.22mi 2/1.5 (+1) 993 (+14%) 1mo $231,947 $234 34
3539 S Fairplay Way #10 1.22mi 2/2.0 (+1) 993 (+14%) 1mo $231,947 $234 32
4045 S Crystal Cir #102 1.28mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,012 (+16%) 2mo $275,000 $272 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-39.8%
Equity multiple
-0.21×
Total profit
$-51,320
Equity at exit
$22,649
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.12×
Total profit
$-90,013
Equity at exit
$13,134

Cash invested: $42,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
3 active · 3 under contract
Median asking
$195,000 ($248/sqft)
Median days on market
120 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-15.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 80014

Rents YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
397
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$797
Tax est. 1.5%
$190 /mo · $2,278/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$552
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$-352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,028
Max offer price $100,933
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-247 -5% $-300 +0% $-352 +5% $-405 +10% $-457
Rent -10% $-477 -5% $-415 +0% $-352 +5% $-290 +10% $-227
Rate -1.0pp $-276 -0.5pp $-314 base $-352 +0.5pp $-392 +1.0pp $-432

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,975
Closing costs
$4,557
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3144 S Wheeling Way #311 Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,575 $1.69 88d 1 0.07mi
3124 S Wheeling Way #402 Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,650 $1.77 6d 1 0.11mi
3022 S Wheeling Way Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1065 $1,822 $1.71 7d 2 0.19mi
3063 S Ursula Cir #302 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,795 $1.77 40d 1 0.26mi
13626 E Bates Ave #402 Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,595 $1.72 120d 1 0.27mi
3021 S Ursula Cir #301 Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 786 $1,495 $1.90 88d 1 0.27mi
3021 S Ursula Cir #301 Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 786 $1,295 $1.65 64d 1 0.27mi
13606 E Bates Ave #301 Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 920 $1,800 $1.96 74d 1 0.28mi
13606 E Bates Ave Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 925 $1,625 $1.76 4d 2 0.28mi
3155 S Vaughn Way Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 612 $1,687 $2.75 0d 82 0.28mi
3012 S Ursula Cir Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,700 $1.67 120d 1 0.31mi
3012 S Ursula Cir Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,700 $1.67 116d 1 0.31mi
12546 E Cornell Ave #104 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,800 $1.77 120d 1 0.40mi
12546 E Cornell Ave Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,800 $1.77 113d 2 0.40mi
12526 E Cornell Ave #204 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,595 $1.57 9d 1 0.45mi
12150 E Dartmouth Ave Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 891 $1,849 $2.08 0d 32 0.59mi
12251 E Cornell Ave Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 640 $1,150 $1.80 100d 1 0.62mi
2656 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 856 $1,595 $1.86 30d 1 0.67mi
2479 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1091 $2,100 $1.92 108d 1 0.87mi
13873 E Lehigh Ave Unit D Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 746 $1,400 $1.88 110d 1 0.87mi
2471 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1091 $1,799 $1.65 9d 1 0.89mi
2435 S Xanadu Way Unit C Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1091 $1,695 $1.55 42d 1 0.91mi
2461 S Xanadu Way Unit D Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1091 $1,995 $1.83 5d 1 0.91mi
13722 E Lehigh Ave Unit D Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,600 $2.22 94d 1 0.94mi
13874 E Lehigh Ave Unit G Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 692 $1,599 $2.31 113d 1 0.94mi
13824 E Lehigh Ave Unit A Aurora, CO 2.0 1.0 692 $1,345 $1.94 100d 1 1.00mi
13222 E Iliff Ave Aurora, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,050 $1.19 0d 1 1.08mi
12043 E Harvard Ave #208 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,595 $1.42 0d 1 1.08mi
12043 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,625 $1.44 0d 1 1.08mi
11925 E Harvard Ave Unit 6-207 Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 742 $1,300 $1.75 84d 1 1.08mi
12005 E Harvard Ave #208 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1125 $2,500 $2.22 40d 1 1.11mi
12005 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 5d 1 1.11mi
12007 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 742 $1,350 $1.82 117d 1 1.12mi
2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301 Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,700 $1.73 120d 1 1.15mi
2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301A Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 972 $1,675 $1.72 82d 1 1.15mi
2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 206A Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 113d 1 1.15mi
2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301A Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 972 $1,675 $1.72 78d 1 1.15mi
2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 209A Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 648 $1,395 $2.15 64d 1 1.15mi
2231 S Vaughn Way Aurora, CO 2.0 2.0 972 $1,650 $1.70 7d 1 1.17mi
2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 302B Aurora, CO 1.0 1.0 648 $1,600 $2.47 120d 1 1.18mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Windows noted for energy efficiency
HOA & community
Heather Gardens HOAMonthly association fee of $552Association covers trash, snow removal, security, management, exterior maintenance, water, heat, insurance, and sewerNo association transfer feeCommunity amenities include clubhouse, tennis courts, hot tub, pool, sauna, fitness center, extra storage, elevator, trails, business center, and community laundryPets allowed (dogs and cats) with breed restrictions

Exterior

Parking
Detached garage1 garage space
Security
Security buildingCommunity security included in HOA
Utilities
City waterPublic sewerElectricity availableCable available
Home design
Residential condominiumOne levelAttached property
Construction
Block constructionTar and gravel roof
Exterior features
PatioBalconyPrivate poolLocated in a golf course neighborhoodAbuts public open spaceEast-facingPaved access

Interior

Kitchen
Self-cleaning ovenDishwasherRefrigeratorMicrowaveGarbage disposal
Bedrooms
1 bedroom
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Hot water heatingBaseboard heatingWall/window air conditioning unit(s)Ceiling fan(s)
Interior features
Eat-in kitchenCathedral ceilingsOpen floor planPantryWalk-in closet(s)Window coveringsFire alarm
Laundry & utility
Community laundry

HOA detail $552/mo · $6,624/yr condo

Likely covers
landscaping
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $151,900 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $151,900 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $151,900 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    pricedays on market $151,900 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $159,900 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 125 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 111 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 107 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 106 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $159,900 Active 104 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $159,900 Active 103 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $159,900 Active 102 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $159,900 Active 101 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $159,900 Active 100 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $159,900 Active 99 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $159,900 Active 98 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 97 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $159,900 Active 96 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 95 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 94 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 93 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 92 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 91 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 90 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 89 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 88 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $159,900 Active 87 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 86 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 85 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 84 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $159,900 Active 82 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 81 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 80 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 79 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 76 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 75 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 74 DOM
  48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $159,900 Active 73 DOM
  49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $159,900 Active 71 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,980
− Mortgage interest
−$8,509
− Property taxes
−$2,278
− Insurance
−$760
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,518
− Management
−$1,518
− HOA
−$6,624
− Depreciation
−$4,419
Taxable loss
−$6,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,595
After-tax cash flow
$-2,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,350–$13,050 screening

This well-maintained, modern townhouse is ready for move-in with a fresh paint job and updated lighting. It offers a quiet and private living environment with ample storage and a spacious bedroom.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures can improve the home's rental appeal and attract tenants who appreciate updated lighting.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 22/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Polton Community Elementary School F CO #634/966 Nat'l #31,549/41,679 Middle Prairie Middle School F CO #245/270 Nat'l #13,275/14,009 High Overland High School F CO #216/381 Nat'l #10,273/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah
NCES district ID
0802910
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$73,326
Composite
44.12/100
National rank
#2866
State rank
#11 of 86 in CO
B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Aurora

Score
72/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#6441

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, CO
County
Arapahoe County · 757,407 people
City population
397,430
Metro
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
Population (ZIP)
39,496
Household income
$73,210
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Arapahoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
757,407 people
By 2030
819,724 · +8.2%
By 2040
940,367 · +24.2%
By 2050
1,053,720 · +39.1%
By 2075
1,297,693 · +71.3%
By 2100
1,412,796 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Arapahoe

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 58.6% · R 38.5% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: 20.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.1 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+8.3 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-18.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-23 Price Changed $161,000 IRES
  • 2026-06-06 Relisted IRES
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $165,000 IRES
  • 2026-06-03 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $175,000 IRES
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $187,000 IRES
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $198,000 IRES

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…