8232 Watercourse Way · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
8232 Watercourse Way · Jacksonville, FL 32211
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,338 sqft · Townhouse
public records
· 207 Days on market
Built 2022
2,178 sqft lot
$141/sqft
· 14% below area
Est $219k · 14% under
$117/mo HOA · 7% of rent
↓ 32% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rivergate is a D.R. Horton townhome community located in the well-established Arlington area of Jacksonville. This location is affordable and convenient for those working in downtown Jacksonville. I-295, the beach, University of North Florida and Jacksonville University are also a short drive away!
Key facts
- Private bedrooms
- Upgraded appliances
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $189k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (12.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parkwood Heights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 276 students, 73% FRL); Arlington Middle School (math 23% / reading 21%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 798 students, 74% FRL); Terry Parker High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #570 of 667 statewide, top 86%, 1,353 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$164,757
(12.8% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.11%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,275
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -13.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 Rotary Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,338 (0%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $176 | 74 |
| 710 Oaks Plantation Dr #R1-2 | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,429 (+7%) | 6mo | $98,000 | $69 | 54 |
| 614 Oaks Hollow Ct #C3-2 | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,429 (+7%) | 5mo | $82,000 | $57 | 51 |
| 704 Oaks Manor Ct #N4-2 | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,429 (+7%) | 17mo | $67,500 | $47 | 42 |
| 708 Oaks Plantation Dr #R2-1 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,429 (+7%) | 11mo | $79,000 | $55 | 42 |
| 718 Oaks Plantation Dr #Q4-2 | 0.65mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,429 (+7%) | 15mo | $60,000 | $42 | 39 |
| 620 Oaks Plantation Dr #B2 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,429 (+7%) | 13mo | $57,500 | $40 | 39 |
| 620 Oaks Plantation Dr #B2-1 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,429 (+7%) | 14mo | $34,931 | $24 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-40,085
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
10-year hold
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-49,078
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active
- Months of supply
- 78.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $220,000 ($187/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 91 d
- This list price
- 23% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -12.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32211
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,667 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,211/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$117
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-137
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,841
Max offer price
$164,757
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-30 | -5% $-84 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-191 | +10% $-244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-269 | -5% $-203 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-71 | +10% $-6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-42 | -0.5pp $-89 | base $-137 | +0.5pp $-186 | +1.0pp $-236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8210 Larose Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,695 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8210 Larose Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,695 | $1.53 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8245 Watercourse Way Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 840 Gate Run Rd Unit 840 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 164d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 855 Centennial St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 162d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 860 Centennial St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 864 Gate Run Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1337 | $1,549 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 864 Gate Run Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1337 | $1,549 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 873 Gate Run Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1109 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 127d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 909 Arlingwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,795 | $1.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8514 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 144d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8526 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,525 | $0.99 | 164d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8585 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1509 | $1,688 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8450 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1635 | $1,733 | $1.06 | 133d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8816 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1509 | $1,708 | $1.13 | 155d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8437 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 117d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8824 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $1,796 | $1.08 | 148d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8424 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,521 | $1.05 | 10d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8752 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $1,796 | $1.08 | 148d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8459 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $1,386 | $1.19 | 51d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8712 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,146 | $1.07 | 55d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8720 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9069 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,696 | $1.38 | 55d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8599 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1509 | $1,741 | $1.15 | 123d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9091 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,920 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9089 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,978 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9089 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,978 | $1.27 | 36d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9097 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,871 | $1.20 | 119d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1251 Lamanto Ave E Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1802 | $1,848 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8305 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,871 | $1.20 | 119d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8301 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,728 | $1.11 | 155d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7951 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1509 | $1,638 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9059 Kipper Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 148d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 618 Oaks Plantation Dr Unit B1-2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8306 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8824 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $1,821 | $1.09 | 122d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8828 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,878 | $1.41 | 114d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8425 Free Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $3,700 | $3.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 618 Oaks Hollow Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,360 | $0.95 | 138d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8938 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Community association (Priority Community Management)Association fee $350 quarterly
Exterior
- Parking
- Additional parkingAssigned parking
- Utilities
- Public sewerCable availableElectricity connectedSewer connectedWater connected
- Home design
- TownhouseTwo levelsEntry level: 1Property attached
- Construction
- Frame and stucco construction
- Exterior features
- Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalElectric ovenElectric rangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air (electric)
- Interior features
- Breakfast bar
- Laundry & utility
- Electric dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $189,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $189,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $189,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $189,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $189,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $189,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $189,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $189,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $189,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $189,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $189,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $189,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $189,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $189,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $189,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $189,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $189,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $189,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $189,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $189,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $189,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $189,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $189,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $189,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $189,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $189,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $189,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $189,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $189,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $189,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $189,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $189,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $189,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $189,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $189,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $189,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $189,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $189,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $189,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $189,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $189,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $189,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $189,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $189,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $189,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $189,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $189,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $189,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $189,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $189,000 Active 154 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,211 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,211 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,211
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,601
- − Management
- −$1,601
- − HOA
- −$1,404
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $-486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $6,690–$20,070 screening
This well-maintained townhome is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior, and is ready for a quick cosmetic touch-up to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and can be a quick, low-cost improvement ↑
- Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetic ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and can increase property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 28/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Parkwood Heights Elementary School
F
FL #1,288/2,144
Nat'l #16,061/41,679
Middle
Arlington Middle School
F
FL #549/571
Nat'l #11,208/14,009
High
Terry Parker High School
F
FL #570/667
Nat'l #14,759/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
A
Composite livability gradescore 83/100
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Amenities A+
Commute A+
Cost of living A
Crime C
Employment C
Housing A+
Health & safety A+
User ratings F
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,013,010 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,762
- Household income
- $57,021
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.46%
- Current HPI
- 330.4724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-31.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $189,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $199,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $209,000 realMLS
- 2025-08-20 Rental Removed $1,700 NEFLMLS
- 2025-07-12 Price Changed $1,700 NEFLMLS
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $1,727 NEFLMLS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $1,750 NEFLMLS
- 2025-05-02 Listed for Rent $1,800 NEFLMLS
- 2022-10-26 Sold (MLS) $276,990 realMLS
- 2022-03-15 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-03-14 Listed $276,990 realMLS
Property tax history
+72.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,211 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…