26 Long Beach Dr · Sound Beach, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$479,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated in Sound Beach within the highly regarded Miller Place School District, this distinctive property spans street-to-street, offering exceptional versatility and opportunity. Set on a rare double lot extending from Long Beach Drive to Echo Avenue, the property features a unique layout with endless potential for customization or investment. The home includes a finished walk-out basement with a legal accessory apartment; however, the rental permit will require renewal. A charming set of stone steps provides a natural transition from the main house down to the expansive detached 2+ car garage on the Echo Avenue side, enhancing both accessibility and the property’s character. The ga
Key facts
- Double lot
- Loft for storage
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $480k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $384k (20.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $384k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Sound Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#458 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Miller Place Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #116 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Sound Beach School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 473 students, 15% FRL); North Country Road School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 534 students, 15% FRL); Miller Place High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 820 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($473k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $480k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.34%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $577,806
- List price
- $479,990
- Delta
- -16.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-68,448
- Equity at exit
- $71,568
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-48,167
- Equity at exit
- $41,501
Cash invested: $134,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11789
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,517
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$806
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $286 | +0% $150 | +5% $14 | +10% $-122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-2 | +0% $150 | +5% $301 | +10% $453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $392 | -0.5pp $272 | base $150 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,998
- Closing costs
- $14,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-01status $479,990 Pending 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $479,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $479,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-06$479,990 Active 912-char remark
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2025-10-31historical $2,500
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2025-10-18price $2,500
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2025-09-11$3,000
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2025-09-07price $599,998
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2025-08-12status Active
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2025-07-10historical
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2025-06-22$650,000 Active
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2024-09-27historical $3,000
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2024-09-27$3,000
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2024-09-13historical $3,000
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2024-09-12$3,000
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2024-09-07historical $3,000
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2024-07-25$3,000
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2024-07-07historical $3,000
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2024-05-08$3,000
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2024-05-07historical $3,000
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2024-05-07$3,000
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2002-06-26soldstatus $112,000
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1988-04-13soldstatus $120,000
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1987-05-06soldstatus $107,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,989 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,050 · $421/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,061/yr (+$255/mo · 153.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,887
- − Property taxes
- −$1,989
- − Insurance
- −$2,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,685
- − Management
- −$3,685
- − Depreciation
- −$13,963
- Taxable loss
- −$6,544
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miller Place Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619410
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,693
- Composite
- 62.5/100
- National rank
- #685
- State rank
- #116 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sound Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #7991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sound Beach, NY
- City population
- 7,447
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,447
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 6% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.99%
- Current HPI
- 366.6474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+348.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $479,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Rental Removed $2,500 ONEKEY
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $2,500 ONEKEY
- 2025-09-11 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $599,998 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-22 Listed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Rental Removed $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-09-27 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-09-13 Rental Removed $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-09-07 Rental Removed $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-07-25 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-07-07 Rental Removed $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-08 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-07 Rental Removed $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-07 Listed for Rent $3,000 ONEKEY
- 2002-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 1988-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1987-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,989 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…