704A Anson Drs · Kingsland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 342 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,161 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Llano ISD (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #359 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 435 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 121 units permitted in Llano County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Llano County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 342 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 342 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.44%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,749
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 2.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-7,614
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,613
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78639
- Active inventory
- 435
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $252 | -5% $212 | +0% $173 | +5% $133 | +10% $93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $124 | +0% $173 | +5% $221 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $202 | base $173 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Aster St Unit 930B Dallas Kingsland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 804 Redwood Dr Unit 806 Kingsland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2146 Cedar Valley Dr Kingsland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1731 Greenwood Ln Ln heuristic Kingsland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2025-10-09price $115,000 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-08-22price $135,000 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-31status Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-31historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-28status Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-28historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-26status Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-26historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-18status Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-17historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
-
2025-07-10$148,000 Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
PRICE REDUCED This 3 bed 2 bath on . 11 acres needs a little tlc but would make a great starter house with a RV trailer for rent to help make your payments already rented this could be your dream come true home or great starter home. Bring all Offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,176
- − Management
- −$1,176
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$62
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including foundation repair, roof and window replacement, and landscaping improvements. With these updates, it could become a move-in-ready starter home with potential for rental or resale.
Repairs flagged
- Major Foundation — Uneven and in need of repair
- Major Roof — Appears in need of maintenance
- Major Windows — Old and possibly in need of replacement
- Major Exterior — RV trailer parked in front, debris and trash visible
- Major Exterior — Fence in poor condition, debris and trash visible
- Major Exterior — Landscaping and curb appeal are lacking
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating exterior — Improves curb appeal and resale value
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
- Both Window replacement — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Foundation repair — Stabilizes structure and improves resale value
- Both Roof repair — Improves structural integrity and resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Foundation · Uneven and in need of repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof · Appears in need of maintenance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Old and possibly in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior · RV trailer parked in front, debris and trash visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior · Fence in poor condition, debris and trash visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior · Landscaping and curb appeal are lacking | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating exterior — Improves curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Window replacement — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Foundation repair — Stabilizes structure and improves resale value ↑
- Both Roof repair — Improves structural integrity and resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Llano ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827810
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,746
- Composite
- 35.42/100
- National rank
- #4940
- State rank
- #359 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kingsland
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1161
- US rank
- #20293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingsland, TX
- County
- Llano County · 16,310 people
- City population
- 8,719
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,719
- Household income
- $57,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 202.0
Population outlook (Llano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,847 people
- By 2030
- 21,350 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 22,281 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 23,173 · +11.2%
- By 2075
- 25,526 · +22.4%
- By 2100
- 25,866 · +24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Llano
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.2% · R 80.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+60.1 2016: R+62.2 2012: R+60.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.30%
- Current HPI
- 219.8651
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-22.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $115,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $135,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-31 Relisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-31 Delisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-28 Relisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-28 Delisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-26 Relisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-26 Delisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-18 Relisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-17 Delisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-10 Listed $148,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…