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629 N 4th St
F Composite 20.86
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

629 N 4th St · Garland, TX 75040
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1955 7,449 sqft lot Est $174k · 24% over ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully Upgraded & Move-In Ready 3- bedroom, 2-bath home features new flooring, new roof and updated plumbing throughout the house. Conveniently located near I-635 making commuting, shopping, and drinking quick and easy. Comfort, style and location all in one- don't miss out!

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • New roof
  • Conveniently located

Tags

NEW FLOORINGNEW ROOFUPDATED PLUMBINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Siding exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wire fencing; Lot under 0.5 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 2
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (29.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.5% in Garland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,447 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, health & safety F.
  • Garland ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #553 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 230 active listings in the ZIP; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,954 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.16%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,520
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
811 Magnolia Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 776 (+8%) 0mo $149,900 $193 70
836 Travis St 0.47mi 2/1.0 792 (+10%) 7mo $198,000 $250 56
813 Bowie St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (+10%) 12mo $165,000 $208 46
828 Crockett St 0.54mi 2/1.0 810 (+12%) 13mo $195,000 $241 43
1233 Nash St 0.66mi 2/1.0 793 (+10%) 15mo $182,000 $230 40
825 Magnolia Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 808 (+12%) 23mo $225,000 $278 40
1213 Nash St 0.61mi 2/1.0 793 (+10%) 19mo $204,999 $259 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.7%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-61,384
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-53.8%
Equity multiple
-0.61×
Total profit
$-97,182
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75040

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,638/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$-359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,924
Max offer price $151,531
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-04-21
    price $215,000
  4. 2026-04-11
    price $235,000
  5. 2026-03-31
    price $245,000
  6. 2026-03-19
    price $259,900
  7. 2026-03-06
    listed $285,000 Active
  8. 2025-11-10
    soldstatus
  9. 2025-11-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,638 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Expected delta
+$297/yr (+$25/mo · 8.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,634
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,638
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,411
− Management
−$1,411
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$8,198
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,967
After-tax cash flow
$-2,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garland ISD
NCES district ID
4820340
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,392
Composite
28.63/100
National rank
#6706
State rank
#553 of 826 in TX

Livability — Garland

Score
74/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#4447

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garland, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
246,342
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
64,606
Household income
$74,519
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1746.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 29% White 21% Black 15% Asian 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 40% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.91%
Current HPI
325.6966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.43%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $259,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $285,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-11-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,638 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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